To Kill Hope? In Search of a Reliable Strategy to Fight Terrorism

Sergey Zhavoronkov, Konstantin Yanovskiy, Timofey Ginker and Ilia Zatkovetsky
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Timofey Ginker: Department of Economics Bar-Ilan University, Israel
Ilia Zatkovetsky: Samuel Neaman Institute for Advanced Studies in Science and Technology

Working Papers from Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Abstract: A panoply of anti-terrorism strategies were utilized in Israel throughout its history, beginning with Palestine under the British Mandate and continuing after the creation of the State of Israel to the present day. This history similar to international experience overall, and provides no basis to link terrorism with poverty or despair. Nor does history suggest any reasonable expectation that terrorists will be appeased by concessions of any kind, whether transfer of funds or relinquishing territory to terrorist control. Neither statistical analysis nor the study of particular incidents support such a hypothesis. The immediate and most obvious criterion of success for parties in mutual conflict is the control of new territory and its population, which allows terrorists freedom of movement and opportunities to try new terrorist technologies and take the initiative in dynamic situations. Loss of land and population, humiliating defeat, or ostentatious display of triumph by the enemy, in contrast, discourage both terrorist leaders and perpetrators, who would lose the posthumous reward typically promised them in the guise of prestige and income for their families. Factual instances and statistical data provide evidence to support the hypothesis that terrorism is best put down by force. When opting for such a strategy, it is of critical importance that military personnel be provided with appropriate legal protection.

Keywords: Hope; Government strategy; terrorist rationality; military justice (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 H56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 69 pages
Date: 2016, Revised 2016
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https://www.iep.ru/files/RePEc/gai/wpaper/149Zhavoronkov.pdf Revised version, 2016 (application/pdf)

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