IHEID Working Papers

From Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies
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19-2026: Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Machine Learning Methods: An Application to Uzbekistan

Abdukakhkhor Abdurakhmonov

19-2024: Perceived abilities and gender stereotypes within the household: experimental evidence from Bangladesh

Carlotta Nani

19-2023: Local Currency Sovereign Debt Markets, Global Financial Conditions and the Role of Foreign Investors

Guilherme Suedekum

19-2022: A Mixed Duopoly in Interbank Payment Services

Carlos Alberto Arango and Yanneth Betancourt-Garcia

19-2019: Uncertainty as a Predictor of Economic Activity

Martina Hengge

19-2017: A Note on the Economics of Philanthropy

Nathalie Monnet and Ugo Panizza

19-2015: Riot Rewards? Study of BJP's Electoral Performance and Hindu Muslim Riots

Rohit Ticku

19-2010: Do Foreign Asset Holdings Affect Household Consumption?

Cameron McLoughlin

19-2007: Interest Rate Signals and Central Bank Transparency

Pierre Gosselin, Aileen Lotz and Charles Wyplosz

19-2006: Trade Liberalization and New Exporters’ Size: Theory and Evidence

Virginia Di Nino, Rosen Marinov, Nadia Rocha

18-2026: External Trade Competitiveness Index (ETCI): a sectoral and granular perspective on the Peruvian export basket

Carmen Rojas and Bruno Gonzaga

18-2025: Two Decades of Chinese Industry Subsidies

Shuhui Xiang, Xinran Yin and Yuan Zi

18-2024: Crime in the Dark: Role of Electricity Rationing

Imelda Imelda and Xiaoying Guo

18-2023: Impact of the Loan Guarantees Program Reactiva on the Performance of Peruvian Companies

Marcos Ceron, Gerald Cisnero and Rafael Nivin

18-2022: Unravelling the Narratives Behind Macroeconomic Forecasts

Marcela De Castro-Valderrama, Santiago Forero-Alvarado, Nicolas Moreno-Arias and Sara Naranjo-Saldarriaga

18-2021: On the Benefits of Repaying

Francesca Caselli, Matilde Faralli, Paolo Manasse and Ugo Panizza

18-2020: Non-US global banks and dollar (co-)dependence: how housing markets became internationally synchronized

Torsten Ehlers, Mathias Hoffmann and Alexander Raabe

18-2019: Euro Area Sovereign Debt: Restructuring Options

Theresa Arnold, Mitu Gulati and Ugo Panizza

18-2017: Identities and Public Policies: Unintended Effects of Political Reservations for Women in India

Guilhem Cassan and Lore Vandewalle

18-2016: Trade Liberalization and the Great Labor Reallocation

Yuan Zi

18-2015: Billions on the Sidewalk: Improving Savings by Reducing Investment Mistakes

Ugo Panizza

18-2010: The Great Retrenchment: International Capital Flows During the Global Financial Crisis

Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti and Cédric Tille

18-2007: Preference Erosion: The case of Bangladesh - A SUR-EC-AR Gravity Model of Trade

Erika Vianna Grossrieder

18-2006: Preferential Trade Liberalization and the Range of Exported Products: The Case of the Euro-Mediterranean FTA

Alberto Amurgo Pacheco

17-2026: Intraday Prediction of Operating-Rate Deviations from the Policy Rate: Evidence from Peru

Diego Franco, Delia Ruiz and Walter Cuba

17-2025: The Exceptions that Prove the Rule? Revisiting the effectiveness of Capital Controls Under International Investment Agreements

Giovanni Donato

17-2024: Is Foreign Exchange Intervention through derivative instruments effective? An analysis of the Peruvian case

Flavio Abanto Salcedo

17-2023: Measuring the link between cyclical systemic risk and capital adequacy for Ukrainian banking sector

Alona Shmygel

17-2022: Real-Time Pricing and the Cost of Clean Power

Imelda Imelda, Matthias Fripp and Michael Roberts

17-2021: Carbon Taxation and Greenflation- Evidence from Europe and Canada

Maximilian Konradt and Beatrice Weder di Mauro

17-2020: Fiscal Risk and its Drivers An Empirical Analysis

Ugo Panizza

17-2019: Spillover Effects of Foreign Monetary Policy on the Foreign Indebtedness of Banks and Corporations

Paola Morales-Acevedo

17-2017: The Cyclicality of International Public Sector Borrowing in Developing Countries: Does the Lender Matter?

Arturo Galindo and Ugo Panizza

17-2016: Exogenous Macroeconomic Shocks and their Propagation in Bosnia And Herzegovina

Bojan Baskot

17-2015: On the roles of different foreign currencies in European bank lending

Signe Krogstrup and Cédric Tille

17-2014: Liquidity-Driven FDI

Rahul Mukherjee, Linda Tesar and Ron Alquist

17-2010: Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics

Philippe Bacchetta, Cédric Tille and Eric van Wincoop

17-2007: Do unilateral trade preferences help export diversification? An investigation of the impact of European unilateral trade preferences on the extensive and intensive margin of trade

Elisa Gamberoni

17-2006: Trade Liberalisation and Agglomeration with Firm Heterogeneity - Forward and Backward Linkages

Toshihiro Okubo

16-2026: Currency Differences in the Determinants of Corporate Bond Spreads: Evidence from Peruvian Issuers

Gerald Alex Cisneros Rojas

16-2025: The Sovereign Greenium: Big Promise but Small Price Effect

Ugo Panizza, Beatrice Weder di Mauro, Shuyang Shi and Mitu Gulati

16-2024: Distress Prediction and Stress Testing of Nonfinancial Firms: Case of Mongolia

Davaasukh Damdinjav, Dulamzaya Batjargal and Ninjin Batmunkh

16-2023: Corporate credit growth determinants in Ukraine: bank lending survey data application

Anatolii Hlazunov

16-2022: Interest Rate Caps in an Economy with Formal and Informal Credit Markets

Jorge Pozo

16-2021: The Odious Haitian Independence Debt

Kim Oosterlinck, Ugo Panizza, W. Mark C. Weidemaier and Mitu Gulati

16-2020: Legal Air Cover

Patrick Bolton, Mitu Gulati and Ugo Panizza

16-2019: Forecasting the Albanian short-term inflation through a Bayesian VAR model

Meri Papavangjeli

16-2017: Exchange rate elasticity of exports and the role of institutions

Aygun Garayeva and Gulzar Tahirova

16-2016: The Role of Exchange Rate in Supporting Trade Balance in Vietnam

Lan Huong Hoang

16-2015: Characteristics of the Tunisian Business Cycle and its International Synchronization

Mehdi Bhoury and Mohamed Slim Mouha