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Entry and exit in severe recessions: Lessons from the 2008–2013 Portuguese economic crisis

Carlos Carreira () and Paulino Teixeira

No 2016-02, GEMF Working Papers from GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra

Abstract: Under cleansing, productivity-enhancing reallocation is expected to be accelerated in recessions. In this paper we contribute to the analysis of one component of the National Systems of Entrepreneurship (namely capital market frictions) by showing that in the extreme scenario of deep recession efficiency in resource reallocation can actually be reduced. Using data from the pronounced Portuguese economic crisis, we do find a spike in firm exit in 2008–2012 vis-à-vis the 2004–2007 pre-crisis period, and a substantial increase in job destruction as well. But we did not find any strong evidence that job reallocation is countercyclical, while a non-negligible fraction of high-productivity firms actually shut down. In turn, our selected proxies for strictness in credit markets reveal that in deep recessions they are seemingly associated with increased firm exit and lower employment creation. Taken in round, our results show that credit market stringency in conjunction with an unfavourable economic cycle is likely to generate a long-lasting destructive process.

Keywords: Entry and exit; firm productivity; aggregate productivity growth; financial constraints; severe recessions. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D24 L11 L25 L26 L60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 48 pages
Date: 2016-01
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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