Exploring the potential for energy conservation in French households through hybrid modeling

Louis-Gaëtan Giraudet, Céline Guivarch and Philippe Quirion

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Abstract: Although the building sector is recognized as having major potential for energy conservation and carbon dioxide emission mitigation, conventional bottom-up and top-down models are limited in their ability to capture the complex economic and technological dynamics of the sector. This paper introduces a hybrid framework developed to assess future household energy demand in France. Res-IRF, a bottom-up module of energy consumption for space heating, has several distinctive features: (i) a clear separation between energy efficiency, i.e. investment in energy efficient technologies, and sufficiency. i.e. changes in the utilization of energy consuming durables which allows the rebound effect to be assessed; (ii) the inclusion of barriers to energy efficiency in the form of intangible costs, consumer heterogeneity parameters and the learning-by-doing process; (iii) an endogenous determination of retrofitting which represents trade-offs between retrofit quantity and quality. Subsequently, Res-IRF is linked to the IMACLIM-R computable general equilibrium model. This exercise shows that, compared to a 37% reduction in final energy demand achievable in business as usual in existing dwellings in 2050, an additional reduction of 21% could be achieved if relevant barriers to efficiency and sufficiency were overcome. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Keywords: Hybrid modeling; Residential heating; Barriers to energy efficiency; Rebound effect; Endogenous retrofitting dynamics; Intangible costs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (38)

Published in Energy Economics, 2012, 34 (2), pp.426--445. ⟨10.1016/j.eneco.2011.07.010⟩

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Journal Article: Exploring the potential for energy conservation in French households through hybrid modeling (2012)
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Working Paper: Exploring the potential for energy conservation in French households through hybrid modelling (2011)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00715345

DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2011.07.010

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