The influence of unemployment insurance rules on employment effects of pension reforms

Sarah Le Duigou and Pierre-Jean Messe ()
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Sarah Le Duigou: IREGE - Institut de Recherche en Gestion et en Economie - USMB [Université de Savoie] [Université de Chambéry] - Université Savoie Mont Blanc
Pierre-Jean Messe: LEMNA - Laboratoire d'économie et de management de Nantes Atlantique - Nantes Univ - IAE Nantes - Nantes Université - Institut d'Administration des Entreprises - Nantes - Nantes Université - pôle Sociétés - Nantes Univ - Nantes Université, GAINS - Groupe d'Analyse des Itinéraires et des Niveaux Salariaux - UM - Le Mans Université, TEPP - Théorie et évaluation des politiques publiques - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CEET - Centre d'études de l'emploi et du travail - CNAM - Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers [CNAM] - M.E.N.E.S.R. - Ministère de l'Education nationale, de l’Enseignement supérieur et de la Recherche - Ministère du Travail, de l'Emploi et de la Santé, LIRSA - Laboratoire interdisciplinaire de recherche en sciences de l'action - CNAM - Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers [CNAM]

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Abstract: This paper examines how unemployment insurance rules influence the employment effects of pension reforms prior to retirement. We develop a job-search model with a finite horizon introducing age-specific unemployment insurance rules and endogenous separations. The latter result from the employer's decision to offer a mutually agreed termination after an adverse productivity shock and from the worker's choice to accept the offer. We estimate the structural parameters of the model using French data on quarterly job separation and finding rates for workers aged 55-59 years. The model fits the data at more than 99%. It allows to reproduce the observed peak in employment outflows when the distance to the legal retirement age equals the potential benefit duration of the UI system. We demonstrate that combining an increase in the retirement age with a reduction in the generosity of the unemployment insurance scheme is an efficient policy for raising older workers' employment rates. We also put forward that the horizon effect, i.e. the positive effect of a rise in the legal retirement age on employment prior to retirement, is greater when the job-search requirements are low or when the potential benefit duration is high.

Keywords: Pension Reform; Unemployment Benefits; Older Workers’ Employment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-eur and nep-pbe
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04814517v1
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Published in Annals of Economics and Statistics, 2024, 154, pp.139-175. ⟨10.2307/48777888⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04814517

DOI: 10.2307/48777888

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