Three ways to compute accurately the probability of the referendum paradox

Dominique Lepelley, Vincent Merlin () and Jean-Louis Rouet ()
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Jean-Louis Rouet: ISTO - Institut des Sciences de la Terre d'Orléans - INSU - CNRS - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique

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Abstract: In a recent paper published in MSS, Wilson and Pritchard (2007) exhibit some results suggesting that the limiting probability of the referendum paradox given in Feix et al. (2004) could be wrong. After having explained the origin of this disagreement, we propose in this note some further analytical (and complementary) methods to compute the probability of this paradox.

Keywords: voting paradoxes; probability calculations; IAC hypothesis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)

Published in Mathematical Social Sciences, 2011, 62 (1), pp.28-33. ⟨10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2011.04.006⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00602133

DOI: 10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2011.04.006

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