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The first-mover advantage in penalty shoot-outs: Really?

Existe-t-il un avantage à commencer la séance de tirs au but au football ?

Luc Arrondel, Richard Duhautois and Jean-François Laslier

PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) from HAL

Abstract: The paper analyses sequences of penalty kicks during football shoot-outs in French cup competitions. We consider the psychological effects to which the kicker is subject: the "fear" of winning, the "fear" of losing, and the "fear" of catching up his opponent. Our main conclusion is that the performance (the probability of scoring) is negatively affected by both what is at stake and the difficulty of the situation. We find no advantage for the team that takes the first kick.

Keywords: Penalty shoot-outs; First-mover advantage; Emotions; Pressure; Séances de tirs au but; Avantage à tirer le premier; Pression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-12-31
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-spo
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Published in Statistique et Société, 2020, 8 (2), pp.49-59

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