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A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France

Andrew Clark () and Anthony Lepinteur

PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) from HAL

Abstract: Job insecurity can have wide-ranging consequences outside of the labour market. A 1999 rise in the French layoff tax paid by large private firms when they laid off older workers made younger workers less secure; this insecurity reduced their fertility by 3.7 percentage points (with a 95% confidence interval between 0.7 and 6.6 percentage points). Reduced fertility is only found at the intensive margin: job insecurity reduces family size but not the probability of parenthood itself. Our results also suggest negative selection into parenthood, as this fertility effect does not appear for low-income and less-educated workers.

Keywords: Perceived Job Security; Difference-in-Differences; Fertility; Layoff tax; Employment protection (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-02973086
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Published in Review of Economics and Statistics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press (MIT Press), In press, pp.1-47. ⟨10.1162/rest_a_00964⟩

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Working Paper: A natural experiment on job insecurity and fertility in France (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: A natural experiment on job insecurity and fertility in France (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France (2020)
Working Paper: A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in France (2020) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:pseptp:halshs-02973086

DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_00964

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