Quelle dette publique à l’horizon 2030 en France ?

Eric Heyer, Mathieu Plane and Xavier Timbeau

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Abstract: The financial and banking crisis in France, as in all industrialized countries, has had a considerable impact on the activity and evolution of public finances. If the lack of activity accumulated since the beginning of the crisis is expected to take over the next decade, the level of public debt (percent of GDP), however, should keep long-term effect of this crisis (2030). The purpose of this paper is to assess from different growth scenarios, the different trajectories of balances and public debt over the next two decades. Finally, beyond the uncertainties concerning the evolution of long term growth, we tested sensitivity to long-term debt to several assumptions (sustained rise in interest rates, fiscal policy more or less restrictive, etc.).

Keywords: Croissance à moyen terme; Finances publiques; Sortie de crise (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-01
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03461741
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Published in Revue de l'OFCE, 2010, 112, pp.5 - 34. ⟨10.3917/reof.112.0005⟩

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Journal Article: Quelle dette publique à l'horizon 2030 en France ? (2010)
Working Paper: Quelle dette publique à l’horizon 2030 en France ? (2010)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-03461741

DOI: 10.3917/reof.112.0005

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