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The Impact of Regional Trade Agreements on Trade in Agricultural Product

L'impact des accords commerciaux régionaux sur la production agricole

Jean-Christophe Bureau and Sebastien Jean

Working Papers from HAL

Abstract: Trade flows are significantly affected by the trade agreements both with respect to impacts on pre-existing trade flows, (intensive margin) and on new, previously non-existent trade flows (extensive margin). The effect of the Regional Trade Agreements on pre-existing trade flows are found to be significant with a mean elasticity of substitution at the product level of about 2 so that a 1% preferential margin increases trade by only 2% on average. Total bilateral exports are found to be increased by 18% on average for products benefiting from a preferential margin between 5 and 10%, and by 48% for products where the margin exceeds 10%. The effect of an RTA agreement on extensive margin is to increase the probability to export a given a product to a partner country by one percentage point on average. Furthermore preferential margins, as measured through their impact on tax-inclusive consumer prices, nearly double within eight years of entry into force rising from 4.7% to 8.9% on average.

Keywords: Preferential margins; Extensive and intensive margins; Accord préférentiel; Commerce agricole; Estimation économétrique (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Published in [Research Report] OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, n° 65, OCDE. 2013, 32 p

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01590459

DOI: 10.1787/5k3xznkz60vk-en

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