 The Impact of Regional Trade Agreements on Trade in Agricultural ProductsJean-Christophe Bureau and Sebastien Jean No 65, OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers from OECD Publishing Abstract: Trade flows are significantly affected by the trade agreements both with respect to impacts on pre-existing trade flows, (intensive margin) and on new, previously non-existent trade flows (extensive margin). The effect of the Regional Trade Agreements on pre-existing trade flows are found to be significant with a mean elasticity of substitution at the product level of about 2 so that a 1% preferential margin increases trade by only 2% on average. Total bilateral exports are found to be increased by 18% on average for products benefiting from a preferential margin between 5 and 10%, and by 48% for products where the margin exceeds 10%. The effect of an RTA agreement on extensive margin is to increase the probability to export a given a product to a partner country by one percentage point on average. Furthermore preferential margins, as measured through their impact on tax-inclusive consumer prices, nearly double within eight years of entry into force rising from 4.7% to 8.9% on average. Keywords: agricultural trade; econometric estimates; extensive and intensive margins; preferential margins; regional trade agreements (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oec:agraaa:65-en Access Statistics for this paper More papers in OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers from OECD Publishing Contact information at EDIRC. |
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