Will technological progress be sufficient to stabilize CO2 emissions from air transport in the mid-term ?
Benoît Chèze,
Julien Chevallier and
Pascal Gastineau (pascal.gastineau@ifsttar.fr)
Additional contact information
Pascal Gastineau: IFSTTAR - Institut Français des Sciences et Technologies des Transports, de l'Aménagement et des Réseaux, EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Working Papers from HAL
Abstract:
This article investigates whether anticipated technological progress can be expected to offset the CO2 emissions resulting from rapid air traffic growth. Global aviation CO2 emissions projections are examined for eight geographical zones until 2025. Air traffic flows are forecast using a dynamic panel-data econometric model, and then converted into corresponding quantities of air traffic CO2 emissions using specific hypotheses and energy factors. None of our nine scenarios appears compatible with the objective of 450 ppm CO2-eq. recommended by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Nor is any compatible with the Panel's aim of limiting global warming to 3.2 °C
Date: 2013-12
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://ifp.hal.science/hal-02489656v1
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)
Downloads: (external link)
https://ifp.hal.science/hal-02489656v1/document (application/pdf)
Related works:
Working Paper: Will technological progress be sufficient to stabilize CO2 emissions from air transport in the mid-term? (2012) 
Working Paper: Will technological progress be sufficient to stabilize CO2 emissions from air transport in the mid-term? (2012) 
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-02489656
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Working Papers from HAL
Bibliographic data for series maintained by CCSD (hal@ccsd.cnrs.fr).