The Hidden Heterogeneity of Inflation Expectations and its Implications
Lena Dräger (),
Michael Lamla () and
Damjan Pfajfar ()
Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) from Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
Using a new consumer survey dataset, we document a new dimension of heterogeneity in inflation expectations that has implications for consumption and saving decisions as well as monetary policy transmission. We show that German households with the same inflation expectations differently assess whether the level of expected inflation and of nominal interest rates is appropriate or too high/too low. The `hidden heterogeneity' in expectations stemming from these opinions is related to demographic characteristics and affects current and planned spending in addition to the Euler equation effect of the perceived real interest rate. Furthermore, these differences in opinions affect German households differently depending on whether they are renters or homeowners.
Keywords: Macroeconomic expectations; monetary policy perceptions; survey microdata (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E52 E58 D84 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 pages
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-eur, nep-mac and nep-mon
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Working Paper: The Hidden Heterogeneity of Inflation Expectations and its Implications (2020)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:han:dpaper:dp-666
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