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Cyclical Dimensions of Labour Mobility after EU Enlargement

Alan Ahearne (), Herbert Br Cker (), Zsolt Darvas () and Jakob von Weizs„cker ()
Additional contact information
Alan Ahearne: Department of Economics-National University of Ireland, Bruegel-Brussels, Trinity College Dublin
Herbert Br Cker: Head of the Department for International Comparisons and European Integration, Institute for Employment Research, University of Bamberg
Jakob von Weizs„cker: Bruegel, Brussels

No 910, CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS from Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies

Abstract: This paper explores the influence of the economic cycle on labour mobility within the EU, focusing on the likely impact of the present economic crisis. To do so, we use an econometrically calibrated simulation and a case study of Ireland. We find that, in the short run, the crisis is likely to lead to a somewhat lower stock of migrants from the new member states in the EU15 than would have been the case without the crisis on account of diminished job opportunities for migrants. By contrast, in the longer run the crisis might lead to a moderate increase in migration from some of the new member states compared to what would have been the case without the crisis. The latter is driven by the observation that the crisis may have undermined the economic growth model of some of the new member states, thereby slowing down their economic catching-up process.

Keywords: labour mobility; economic cycle; crisis; European Union (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 F22 J61 O11 O15 O24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 45 pages
Date: 2009-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec and nep-mig
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http://econ.core.hu/file/download/mtdp/MTDP0910.pdf (application/pdf)

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Working Paper: Cyclical dimensions of labour mobility after EU Enlargement (2009) Downloads
Working Paper: Cyclical dimensions of labour mobility after EU enlargement (2009) Downloads
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