Cyclical dimensions of labour mobility after EU enlargement
Alan Ahearne (),
Herbert Brücker (),
Zsolt Darvas () and
Jakob von Weizsäcker ()
No 902, Working Papers from Department of Mathematical Economics and Economic Analysis, Corvinus University of Budapest
This paper explores the influence of the economic cycle on labour mobility within the EU, focusing on the likely impact of the present economic crisis. To do so, we use an econometrically calibrated simulation and a case study of Ireland. We find that, in the short run, the crisis is likely to lead to a somewhat lower stock of migrants from the new member states in the EU15 than would have been the case without the crisis on account of diminished job opportunities for migrants. By contrast, in the longer run the crisis might lead to a moderate increase in migration from some of the new member states compared to what would have been the case without the crisis. The latter is driven by the observation that the crisis may have undermined the economic growth model of some of the new member states, thereby slowing down their economic catching-up process.
Keywords: labour mobility; economic cycle; crisis; European Union (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F22 C33 J61 O11 O15 O24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-mig and nep-tra
Date: 2009-03-02, Revised 2009-05-25
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Working Paper: Cyclical dimensions of labour mobility after EU Enlargement (2009)
Working Paper: Cyclical Dimensions of Labour Mobility after EU Enlargement (2009)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mkg:wpaper:0902
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