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THE INDIVIDUAL WELFARE COSTS OF STAY-AT-HOME POLICIES

Ola Andersson, Pol Campos-Mercade, Fredrik Carlsson, Florian Schneider and Erik Wengström

No 787, Working Papers in Economics from University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics

Abstract: This paper reports the results of a choice experiment designed to estimate the private welfare costs of stay-at-home policies during the COVID-19 pandemic. The study is conducted on a large and representative sample of the Swedish population. The results suggest that the welfare cost of a one-month stay-at-home policy, restricting non-working hours away from home, amounts to 9.1 percent of qSweden's monthly GDP. The cost can be interpreted as 29,600 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), which roughly corresponds to between 3,700 and 8,000 COVID-19 fatalities. Moreover, we find that stricter and longer lockdowns are disproportionately more costly than more lenient ones. This result indicates that strict stay-at-home policies are likely to be cost-effective only if they slow the spread of the disease much more than more lenient ones.

Keywords: Stay-at-home orders; welfare effects; choice experiment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D62 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 43 pages
Date: 2020-06
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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https://gupea.ub.gu.se/handle/2077/64576 Full text (text/html)

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Working Paper: The Individual Welfare Costs of Stay-at-Home Policies (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: The Individual Welfare Costs of Stay-At-Home Policies (2020) Downloads
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