Transparency and Credibility: Monetary Policy with Unobservable Goals

Lars Svensson and Jon Faust ()

No 636, Seminar Papers from Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies

Abstract: We define and study transparency, credibility, and reputation in a model where the central bank's characteristics are unobservable to the private sector and are inferred from the policy outcome. A low-credibility bank optimally conducts a more inflationary policy than a high-credibility bank, in the sense that it induces higher inflation, but a less expansionary policy in the sense that it induces lower inflation and employment than expected. Increased transparency makes the bank's reputation and credibility more sensitive to its actions. This has a moderating influence on the bank's policy. Full transparency of the central bank's intentions is generally socially beneficial, but frequently not in the interest of the bank. Somewhat paradoxically, direct observability of idiosyncratic central bank goals removes the moderating incentive on the bank and leads to the worst equilibrium.

Keywords: Monetary Policy; transparency; credibility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E50 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 40 pages
Date: 1998-02-26
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (40)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Transparency and Credibility: Monetary Policy with Unobservable Goals (2001)
Working Paper: Transparency and Credibility: Monetary Policy with Unobservable Goals (1998)
Working Paper: Transparency and credibility: monetary policy with unobservable goals (1998)
Working Paper: Transparency and Credibility: Monetary Policy with Unobservable Goals (1998)
Working Paper: Transparency and Credibility: Monetary Policy with Unobservable Goals (1998)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hhs:iiessp:0636

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