Transparency and Credibility: Monetary Policy with Unobservable Goals

Jon Faust () and Lars Svensson

No 1852, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: We define and study transparency, credibility and reputation in a model where the central bank’s characteristics are unobservable to the private sector and are inferred from the policy outcome. A low-credibility bank optimally conducts a more inflationary policy than a high-credibility bank, in the sense that it induces higher inflation, but a less expansionary policy, in the sense that it induces lower inflation and employment than expected. Increased transparency makes the bank’s reputation and credibility more sensitive to its actions. This has a moderating influence on the bank’s policy. Full transparency of the central bank’s intentions is generally socially beneficial, but frequently not in the interest of the bank. Somewhat paradoxically, direct observability of idiosyncratic central bank goals removes the moderating incentive on the bank and leads to the worst equilibrium.

Keywords: Reputation; Time Consistency (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1998-03
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (41)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Transparency and Credibility: Monetary Policy with Unobservable Goals (2001)
Working Paper: Transparency and credibility: monetary policy with unobservable goals (1998)
Working Paper: Transparency and Credibility: Monetary Policy with Unobservable Goals (1998)
Working Paper: Transparency and Credibility: Monetary Policy with Unobservable Goals (1998)
Working Paper: Transparency and Credibility: Monetary Policy with Unobservable Goals (1998)
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