Working Papers

From National Institute of Economic Research
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99: Kan arbetsmarknadens parter minska jämviktsarbetslösheten? Teori och modellsimuleringar

Göran Hjelm

98: Empirical Studies in Consumption, House Prices and the Accuracy of European Growth and Inflation Forecasts

Bharat Barot

97: The significance of transport costs in the Swedish forest industry

Henrik Hammar, Tommy Lundgren and Magnus Sjöström

96: The EMEC model: Version 2.0

Göran Östblom and Charlotte Berg

95: The Effective Exchange Rate Index KIX - Theory and Practice

Mattias Erlandsson and Alek Markowski

94: Matters Risk? The Allocation of Government Subsidies for Remediation of Contaminated Sites under the Local Investment Programme

Johanna Forslund, Eva Samakovlis and Maria Vredin

93: Costs of Climate Policy when Pollution Affects Health and Labour Productivity. A general Equilibrium Analysis Applied to Sweden

Göran Östblom and Eva Samakovlis

92: When Are Fiscal Contractions Successful? Lessons for Countries Within and Outside the EMU

Göran Hjelm

91: Is Rising Returns to Scale a Figment of Poor Data?

Sten Hansen and Tomas Lindström

90: A New Method for Constructing a Cyclically Adjusted Budget Balance: the Case of Sweden

Henrik Braconier and Tomas Forsfält

89: The Labor Market in KIMOD

Johan Lindén

88: Modelling the Foreign Sector in a Macroeconometric Model of Sweden

Jan Alsterlind, Alek Markowski and Kristian Nilsson

87: Air Quality and Morbidity: Concentration-response Relationships for Sweden

Eva Samakovlis, Anni Huhtala, Tom Bellander and Magnus Svartengren

86: Monetary Green Accounting and Ecosystem Services

Ing-Marie Gren

85: Applying the Contingent Valuation Method in Resource Accounting: A Bold Proposal

Mattias Boman, Anni Huhtala, Charlotte Nilsson, Sofia Alroth, Göran Bostedt, Leif Mattssson and Peichen Gong

84: Business Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting the Macro Economy?

Jesper Hansson, Per Jansson and Mårten Löf

83: The Role of High-Tech Capital Formation for Swedish Productivity Growth

Tomas Lindström

82: Green Accounting, Air Pollution and Health

Anni Huhtala and Eva Samakovlis

81: Simultaneous Determination of NAIRU, Output Gaps, and Structural Budget Balances: Swedish Evidence

Göran Hjelm

80: House Prices and Housing Investment in Sweden and the United Kingdom: Econometric Analysis for the Period 1970-1998

Bharat Barot and Zan Yang

79: Growth and Business Cycles for the Swedish Economy 1963-1999

Bharat Barot

78: Do Fundamentals Explain the Behavior of the Real Effective Exchange Rate?

Kristian Nilsson

77: An Environmental Accountant`s Dilemma: Are Stumpage Prices Reliable Indicators of Resource Scarcity?

Anni Huhtala, Anne Toppinen and Mattias Boman

76: Constructing a Partially Environmentally Adjusted Net Domestic Product for Sweden 1993 and 1997

Kristian Skånberg

75: Is CO2 Trading Always Beneficial? A CGE-Model Analysis on Secondary Environmental Benefits

Charlotta Nilsson and Anni Huhtala

74: Improving Fractional Integration Tests With Bootstrap Distributions

Michael K. Andersson and Mikael P. Gredenhoff

73: Correcting Net Domestic Product for Sulphur Dioxide and Nitrogen Oxide Emissions: Implementation of a Theoretical Model in Practice

Sofia Ahlroth

72: The Accuracy of European Growth and Inflation Forecasts

Lars-Erik Öller and Bharat Barot

71: Permanent and Temporary Labour: Job and Worker Flows in Sweden, 1989-1998

Mahmood Arai and Fredrik Heyman

70: An Econometric Study of Private Consumption Expenditure in Sweden

Helena Johnsson and Peter Kaplan

69: An Environmental Medium Term Economic Model - EMEC

Göran Östblom

68: Alternative Measures of the Swedish Real Effective Exchange Rate

Kristian Nilsson

67: The Public Budget Balance - Fiscal Indicators and Cyclical Sensitivity in the Nordic Countries

Henrik Braconier and Steinar Holden

66: A Unilateral Versus a Multilateral Carbon Dioxide Tax - A Numerical Analysis with the European Model GEM-E3

Charlotte Nilsson

65: Does International Harmonization of Environmental Policy Instruments Make Economic Sense? The Case of Paper Recycling in Europe

Anni Huhtala and Eva Samakovlis

64: Comparing the Accuracy of European GDP Forecasts

Lars-Erik Öller and Bharat Barot

63: Permanent Shocks and Spillovers: A Sectoral Approach Using a Structural VAR

Kerstin Johansson

62: Exports in the Econometric Model KOSMOS

Kerstin Johansson

61: Model Evaluation Using Stochastic Simulations: The Case of the Econometric Model KOSMOS

Jan B. Gajda and Aleksander Markowski

60: KOFI - A Macromodel of the Swedish Financial Markets

Börje Kragh and Aleksander Markowski

59: A Hidden Markov Model as a Dynamic Bayesian Classifier, With an Application to Forecasting Business-Cycle Turning Points

Lasse Koskinen and Lars-Erik Öller

58: The Effect of Precautionary Saving on Consumption in Sweden

Johan Lyhagen

57: Investment Plan Revisions and Share Price Volatility

Anders Johansson and Karl-Markus Modén

56: Testing for Short Memory in a VARMA Process

Timothy Oke and Lars-Erik Öller

55: Three Seminar Papers on Output Gap

Lasse Koskinen, Aleksander Markowski, Parameswar Nandakumar and Lars-Erik Öller

54: Emissions to the Air and the Allocation of GDP: Medium Term Projections for Sweden in Conflict with the Goals of CO2, SO2 and NOx Emissions for Year 2000

Göran Östblom

53: The Financial Block in the Econometric Model KOSMOS

Aleksander Markowski

52: Temporal Aggregation of an Econometric Equation

Erik Ruist

51: Internationalists, Regionalists, or Eurocentrists

Thomas Url

50: Hierarchical Assignments: Stability and Fairness

Kimmo Eriksson, Johan Karlander and Lars-Erik Öller

49: Generational Accounting in a Small Open Economy

Petter Lundvik