Misdemeanor Prosecution

Amanda Agan, Jennifer Doleac and Anna Harvey ()
Additional contact information
Anna Harvey: New York University

No 2021-014, Working Papers from Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group

Abstract: Communities across the United States are reconsidering the public safety benefits of prosecuting nonviolent misdemeanor offenses. So far there has been little empirical evidence to inform policy in this area. In this paper we report the first estimates of the causal effects of misdemeanor prosecution on defendants' subsequent criminal justice involvement. We leverage the as-if random assignment of nonviolent misdemeanor cases to Assistant District Attorneys (ADAs) who decide whether a case should move forward with prosecution in the Suffolk County District Attorney's Office in Massachusetts. These ADAs vary in the average leniency of their prosecution decisions. We find that, for the marginal defendant, nonprosecution of a nonviolent misdemeanor offense leads to large reductions in the likelihood of a new criminal complaint over the next two years. These local average treatment effects are largest for first-time defendants, suggesting that averting initial entry into the criminal justice system has the greatest benefits. We also present evidence that a recent policy change in Suffolk County imposing a presumption of nonprosecution for a set of nonviolent misdemeanor offenses had similar beneficial effects: the likelihood of future criminal justice involvement fell, with no apparent increase in local crime rates.

Keywords: nonviolent misdemeanors; local average treatment effect; crime rates (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J24 K14 K42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-law and nep-ure
Note: MIP
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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http://humcap.uchicago.edu/RePEc/hka/wpaper/Agan_D ... anor-prosecution.pdf First version, March 28, 2021 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Misdemeanor Prosecution (2021)
Working Paper: Misdemeanor Prosecution (2021)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hka:wpaper:2021-014

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