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Systemic Risk in U.S. Crop and Revenue Insurance Programs

Chuck Mason, Dermot Hayes and Sergio Lence

Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications from Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University

Abstract: This study estimates the probability density function of the Federal Risk Management Agency's (RMA) net income from reinsuring crop insurance for corn, wheat, and soybeans. Based on 1997 data, the authors estimate that there is a 5 percent probability that RMA will need to reimburse at least $1 billion to insurance companies, and that the fair value of RMA's reinsurance services to insurance firms equals $78.7 million. In addition, various hedging strategies are examined for their potential to reduce RMA's reinsurance risk. The risk reduction achievable by hedging is appreciable, but use of derivative contracts alone is clearly no panacea.

Date: 2001-03
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https://www.card.iastate.edu/products/publications/pdf/01wp266.pdf Full Text (application/pdf)
https://www.card.iastate.edu/products/publications/synopsis/?p=325 Online Synopsis (text/html)

Related works:
Working Paper: SYSTEMIC RISK IN U.S. CROP AND REVENUE INSURANCE PROGRAMS (2001) Downloads
Working Paper: Systemic Risk in U.S. Crop and Revenue Insurance Programs (2001)
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