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How People Vote in Contests: New Findings from Immortal Songs 2

Beomsoo Kim (), Sang Soo Park and Yang Zhao ()
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Beomsoo Kim: Department of Economics, Korea University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
Yang Zhao: Department of Economics, Korea University, Seoul, Republic of Korea

No 1902, Discussion Paper Series from Institute of Economic Research, Korea University

Abstract: Many important contests, such as job interviews and political debates, are presented in sequential order. Previous studies find serial position effects such that the later presenter has a higher probability of a win. However, no previous studies use both random assignments of contestants and a large number of contestants and judges. We use Immortal Songs 2, a popular TV program that satisfies both conditions, to confirm the findings of serial position effects. In addition, Immortal Songs 2 has round-by-round competition rules. The first round is a competition between the first and second contestants. Then, the winner of the first round is announced. The second round is a contest between the winner of the first round and the third contestant. As the rounds continue, the winner of the previous round should have a higher probability of winning in theory, but, in fact, the second contestant¡¯s probability of winning is always 0.5.

Keywords: preference; serial position effects, step-by-step, momentary fairness bias (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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