How people vote in contests: new findings from Immortal Songs 2

Beomsoo Kim (), Sang Soo Park and Yang Zhao ()
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Beomsoo Kim: Korea University
Yang Zhao: Korea University

Journal of Cultural Economics, 2021, vol. 45, issue 1, No 3, 45-62

Abstract: Abstract Many important contests, such as job interviews and political debates, are presented in sequential order. Previous studies found serial position effects such that the later presenter has a higher probability of winning. However, no previous studies use both random assignments of contestants and a large number of contestants and judges. We use Immortal Songs 2, a popular TV program that satisfies both conditions, to confirm the findings of serial position effects. In addition, Immortal Songs 2 has round-by-round competition rules. The first round is a competition between the first and second contestants. Then, the winner of the first round is announced. The second round is a contest between the winner of the first round and the third contestant. As the rounds continue, in theory, the winner of the previous round should have a higher probability of winning; however, in fact, the second contestant’s probability of winning is always 0.5.

Keywords: Preference; Serial position effects; Step-by-step; Momentary fairness bias (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D91 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Working Paper: How People Vote in Contests: New Findings from Immortal Songs 2 (2019)
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DOI: 10.1007/s10824-020-09386-0

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