An Analysis of Foreign Tourism Demand for Croatian Destinations: Long-Run Elasticity Estimates

Andrea Mervar and James Payne

No 701, Working Papers from The Institute of Economics, Zagreb

Abstract: Given that tourism is a significant source of export revenues for Croatia, it is vital for policymakers to understand the factors affecting foreign tourism demand for Croatian destinations. This study provides long-run elasticity estimates associated with the aggregate foreign tourism demand for Croatian destinations in the period 1994:1-2004:4 using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. Foreign tourism demand is proxied by the aggregate number of foreign overnight stays in Croatia. The long-run elasticity estimates indicate that tourism demand is positive and highly elastic with respect to the income of tourist-generating countries. Moreover, tourism demand is adversely affected by the political conflicts in the 1990s. The real exchange rate and transportation costs are not statistically significant determinants of foreign tourism demand.

Keywords: tourism demand; cointegration; ARDL; Croatia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21 pages
Date: 2007-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-tur
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (25)

Published - Mervar, Andrea i James E. Payne, 2007, «Analysis of Foreign Tourism Demand for Croatian Destinations: Long-Run Elasticity Estimates», Tourism Economics, 13(3), September, pp. 407-420.

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Journal Article: Analysis of Foreign Tourism Demand for Croatian Destinations: Long-Run Elasticity Estimates (2007)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iez:wpaper:0701

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