Working Papers

From IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University
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376: Transparent Restrictions on Beliefs and Forward Induction Reasoning in Games with Asymmetric Information

Pierpaolo Battigalli and Andrea Prestipino

375: Strategies and interactive beliefs in dynamic games

Pierpaolo Battigalli, Alfredo Di Tillio and Dov Samet

374: Factors of Vulnerability to Human Trafficking and Prospects for Reintegration of Former Victims. Evidence from the Philippines

Elsa Artadi, Martina Bjorkman and Eliana La Ferrara

373: Alpha as Ambiguity: Robust Mean-Variance Portfolio Analysis

Fabio Maccheroni, Massimo Marinacci and Doriana Ruffino

372: Liberalizing Professional Services: Evidence from Italian Lawyers

Michele Pellizzari and Giovanni Pica

371: Dynamic Dark Pool Trading Strategies in Limit Order Markets

Sabrina Buti, Barbara Rindi and Ingrid M. Werner

370: A Spectral Estimation of Tempered Stable Stochastic Volatility Models and Option Pricing

Junye Lia, Carlo Favero and Fulvio Ortu

369: What explains fertilit? Evidence from Italian Pension reforms

Francesco Billari and Vincenzo Galasso

368: Competing on Good Politicians

Vincenzo Galasso and Tommaso Nannicini

367: Demographics and the Econometrics of the Term Structure of Stock Market Risk

Carlo Favero and Andrea Tamoni

366: Singed Integral Representations of Comonotonic Additive Functionals

Simone Cerreia-Vioglio, Fabio Maccheroni, Massimo Marinacci and Luigi Montrucchio

365: The Output Gap, the Labor Wedge, and the Dynamic Behavior of Hours

Luca Sala, Ulf Söderström and Antonella Trigari

364: Old Habits Die Hard (Sometimes) Can département heterogeneity tell us something about the French fertility decline??

Tommy Murphy

363: Persistence of Malthus or Persistence in Malthus? Mortality, Income, and Marriage in the French Fertility Decline of the Long Nineteenth Century?

Tommy Murphy

362: Understanding the Income Gradient in College Attendance in Mexico: The Role of Heterogeneity in Expected Returns

Katja Kaufmann

361: Reconciling VAR-based and Narrative Measures of the Tax-Multiplier

Carlo Favero and Francesco Giavazzi

360: Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns

Carlo Favero, Arie E. Gozluklu and Andrea Tamoni

359: Extremal Incentive Compatible Transfers

Nenad Kos and Matthias Messner

358: Tying Your Enemy’s Hands in Close Races: The Politics of Federal Transfers in Brazil

Fernanda Brollo and Tommaso Nannicini

357: Cultural and Institutional Bifurcation: China and Europe Compared

Avner Greif and Guido Tabellini

356: The Political Resource Curse

Fernanda Brollo, Tommaso Nannicini, Roberto Perotti and Guido Tabellini

355: Policy Uncertainty and Precautionary Savings

Francesco Giavazzi and Michael McMahon

354: College cost and time to complete a degree: Evidence from tuition discontinuities

Francesco Giavazzi, Pietro Garibaldi, Andrea Ichino and Enrico Rettore

353: Culture, Policies and Labor Market Outcomes

Francesco Giavazzi, Fabio Schiantarelli and Michel Serafinelli

352: Yes You Can, Can’t You? A Statistical Comparison of Economic Liberalizations Around the World

Tommaso Nannicini and Andreas Billmeier

351: Context-Dependent Forward Induction Reasoning

Pierpaolo Battigalli and Amanda Friedenberg

350: How large are the effects of tax changes?

Carlo Favero and Francesco Giavazzi

349: Incentives to Innovate and Social Harm:Laissez-Faire, Authorization or Penalties?

Giovanni Immordino, Marco Pagano and Michele Polo

348: Moderating Political Extremism: Single Round vs Runoff Elections under Plurality Rule

Massimo Bordignon, Tommaso Nannicini and Guido Tabellini

347: Informal Finance: A Theory of Moneylenders

Andreas Madestam

346: Do Better Paid Politicians Perform Better? Disentangling Incentives from Selection

Stefano Gagliarducci and Tommaso Nannicini

345: Demographics and fluctuations in Dividend/Price

Andrea Tamoni, Arie E.Gozluklu and Carlo Favero

344: The Euro and Structural Reforms

Alberto Alesina, Silvia Ardagna and Vincenzo Galasso

343: What Explains fertility? Evidence from Italian pension reforms

Francesco Billari and Vincenzo Galasso

342: Political Intergenerational Risk Sharing

Marcello D’Amato and Vincenzo Galasso

341: An Estimated Monetary DSGE Model with Unemployment and Staggered Nominal Wage Bargaining

Mark Gertler, Luca Sala and Antonella Trigari

340: Interactive Epistemology and Solution Concepts for Games with Asymmetric Information

Pierpaolo Battigalli, Alfredo Di Tillio, Edoardo Grillo and Antonio Penta

339: Off-Shoring and Productivity Growth in the Italian Manufacturing Industries

Francesco Daveri and Cecilia Jona-Lasinio

338: The Option to Wait in Collective Decisions

Matthias Messner and Mattias K Polborn

337: Judicial Errors and Innovative Activity

Giovanni Immordino and Michele Polo

336: Who Is Punishing Corrupt Politicians – Voters or the Central Government? Evidence from the Brazilian Anti-Corruption Program

Fernanda Brollo

335: Factor-augmented Error Correction Models

Anindya Banerjee and Massimiliano Marcellino

334: Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change

Anindya Banerjee, Massimiliano Marcellino and Igor Masten

333: Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP1

Massimiliano Marcellino and Christian Schumacher

332: Tax Cuts in Open Economies

Alejandro Cunat, Szabolcs Deak and Marco Maffezzoli

331: Should the Euro Area be Run as a Closed Economy?

Carlo Favero and Francesco Giavazzi

330: Institutions and Culture

Guido Tabellini

329: The Econometrics of Monetary Policy: an Overview

Carlo Favero

328: The Scope of Cooperation: values and incentives

Guido Tabellini

327: Model Evaluation in Macroeconometrics: from early empirical macroeconomic models to DSGE models

Carlo Favero