On Credible Disinflation
Jorge Roldos
No 1993/090, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund
Abstract:
We study the effects of a credible, gradual exchange rate based disinflation program in a two sector economy. After an initial real exchange rate depreciation, the reductions in the rate of devaluation reduce the monetary wedge generated by a cash in advance constraint, leading to a gradual increase in absorption that yields progressive real exchange rate appreciations and current account deficits. An initial boom in economic activity is not followed by a later contraction, as labor supply expands during the whole length of the program.
Keywords: WP; exchange rate; disinflation program; effect hinge; stabilization program; economic activity; inflation country; utility function; trade liberalization effort; gradual disinflation; nominal interest rate; durable goods; consumption opportunity; disinflation experiment; Consumption; Labor supply; Real exchange rates; Inflation; Disinflation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26
Date: 1993-11-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1993/090
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