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IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
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2020/252: Monetary Policy Surprises and Inflation Expectation Dispersion Downloads
Bertrand Gruss, Sandra Lizarazo and Francesco Grigoli
2020/251: India’s Inflation Process Before and After Flexible Inflation Targeting Downloads
Patrick Blagrave and Weicheng Lian
2020/250: Enhancing Fiscal Transparency and Reporting in India Downloads
Patrick Blagrave and Fabien Gonguet
2020/249: Banking Across Borders: Are Chinese Banks Different? Downloads
Eugenio Cerutti, Catherine Koch and Swapan-Kumar Pradhan
2020/248: Imported Food Price Shocks and Socio-Political Instability: Do Fiscal Policy and Remittances Matter? Downloads
Carine Meyimdjui
2020/247: Improving the Short-term Forecast of World Trade During the Covid-19 Pandemic Using Swift Data on Letters of Credit Downloads
Benjamin Carton, Nan Hu, Joannes Mongardini, Kei Moriya and Aneta Radzikowski
2020/246: Non-Linearities in Fiscal Policy:The Role of Debt Downloads
Alexandra Fotiou
2020/245: Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference? Downloads
Emmanouil Kitsios, Joao Jalles and Genevieve Verdier
2020/244: Optimal Simple Objectives for Monetary Policy when Banks Matter Downloads
Lien Laureys, Roland Meeks and Boromeus Wanengkirtyo
2020/243: Perfect Storm: Climate Change and Tourism Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Manuk Ghazanchyan
2020/242: The Great Lockdown: International Risk Sharing Through Trade and Policy Coordination Downloads
Philipp Engler, Nathalie Pouokam, Diego Rodriguez Guzman and Irina Yakadina
2020/241: Fintech in Europe: Promises and Threats Downloads
Chikako Baba, Cristina Batog, Enrique Flores, Borja Gracia, Izabela Karpowicz, Piotr Kopyrski, James Roaf, Anna Shabunina, Rachel Elkan and Xin Cindy Xu
2020/240: Inflation Expectations in the U.S.: Linking Markets, Households, and Businesses Downloads
Peter D. Williams
2020/239: China’s Rebalancing: Opportunities and Challenges for LAC Exporters Downloads
Nitya Aasaavari, Fabio Di Vittorio, Ana Lariau, Yuebo Li, Rui Mano and Pedro Rodriguez
2020/238: Stress Testing U.S. Leveraged Corporates in a COVID-19 World Downloads
Carlos Caceres, Diego A. Cerdeiro, Dan Pan and Suchanan Tambunlertchai
2020/237: Pre- and Post-GFC Policy Multipliers Downloads
Sam Ouliaris and Celine Rochon
2020/236: Monetary and Macroprudential Policy with Endogenous Risk Downloads
Tobias Adrian, Fernando Duarte, Nellie Liang and Pawel Zabczyk
20/235: Climate Mitigation Policy in Denmark: A Prototype for Other Countries Downloads
Nicoletta Batini, Ian Parry and Philippe Wingender
20/234: Protecting Lives and Livelihoods with Early and Tight Lockdowns Downloads
Francesca G Caselli, Francesco Grigoli, Weicheng Lian and Damiano Sandri
20/233: COVID-19 Impact and Mitigation Policies: A Didactic Epidemiological-Macroeconomic Model Approach Downloads
John P. Ansah, Natan P. Epstein and Valeriu Nalban
20/232: Climate-Related Stress Testing: Transition Risks in Norway Downloads
Pierpaolo Grippa and Samuel Mann
20/231: An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Joao Jalles
20/230: External Private Financing and Domestic Revenue Mobilization: A Dilemma? Downloads
Hippolyte W. Balima, Deirdre Daly and Boileau Loko
20/229: Optimism Bias in Growth Forecasts—The Role of Planned Policy Adjustments Downloads
Kareem Ismail, Roberto Perrelli and Jessie Yang
20/228: Crouching Beliefs, Hidden Biases: The Rise and Fall of Growth Narratives Downloads
Reda Cherif, Marc Engher and Fuad Hasanov
20/227: Constrained Efficient Borrowing with Sovereign Default Risk Downloads
Juan Carlos Hatchondo, Leonardo Martinez and Francisco Roch
20/226: Twenty Years of Unconventional Monetary Policies: Lessons and Way Forward for the Bank of Japan Downloads
Niklas Westelius
20/225: Caught in the Crosswinds: The Experiences of Selected Economies Responding to External Volatility with Multiple Policy Levers Downloads
Ghada Fayad and Helene Poirson Ward
20/224: COVID-19 and the CPI: Is Inflation Underestimated? Downloads
Marshall B Reinsdorf
2020/223: External Financing Dependence and Corporate Saving in ASEAN5 Downloads
Xin Li
2020/222: Mobile Phone Ownership and Welfare: Evidence from South Africa’s Household Survey Downloads
Ken Miyajima
2020/221: The Economic Consequences of Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa Downloads
Xiangming Fang, Siddharth Kothari, Cameron McLoughlin and Mustafa Yenice
2020/220: The Sources of Fiscal Fluctuations Downloads
Antoine Levy, Luca A Ricci and Alejandro M. Werner
2020/219: Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Interventions: Evidence from the Kyrgyz Republic Downloads
Tigran Poghosyan
2020/218: Exiting from Lockdowns: Early Evidence from Reopenings in Europe Downloads
Jeffrey R. Franks, Bertrand Gruss, Carlos Mulas-Granados, Manasa Patnam and Sebastian Weber
2020/217: COVID-19 and Inequality in Asia: Breaking the Vicious Cycle Downloads
Emilia M Jurzyk, Medha Madhu Nair and Nathalie Pouokam
2020/216: A Vicious Cycle: How Pandemics Lead to Economic Despair and Social Unrest Downloads
Tahsin Saadi Sedik and Rui Xu
2020/215: Mexico Needs a Fiscal Twist: Response to Covid-19 and Beyond Downloads
Swarnali A Hannan, Keiko Honjo and Mehdi Raissi
2020/214: A Mexican State-level Perspective on Covid-19 and its Economic Fallout Downloads
Juan Pablo Cuesta Aguirre and Swarnali A Hannan
2020/213: Managing Fiscal Risks from State-Owned Enterprises Downloads
Anja Baum, Paulo Medas, Alberto Soler and Mouhamadou Sy
2020/212: US Housing Market during COVID-19: Aggregate and Distributional Evidence Downloads
Yunhui Zhao
2020/211: Financial Frictions and Firm Informality: A General Equilibrium Perspective Downloads
Luis Franjo, Nathalie Pouokam and Francesco Turino
2020/210: Are Bilateral Trade Balances Irrelevant? Downloads
Margaux MacDonald, Roberto Piazza, Johannes Eugster and Florence Jaumotte
2020/209: Capital Gaps, Risk Dynamics, and the Macroeconomy Downloads
Fabian Lipinsky and Mirela S. Miescu
2020/208: IT Shields: Technology Adoption and Economic Resilience during the COVID-19 Pandemic Downloads
Nicola Pierri and Yannick Timmer
2020/207: COVID-19 and SME Failures Downloads
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Veronika Penciakova and Nick Sander
2020/206: Market Power, Growth, and Inclusion: The South African Experience Downloads
Vimal V Thakoor
2020/205: Worker Mobility and Domestic Production Networks Downloads
Marvin Cardoza, Francesco Grigoli, Nicola Pierri and Cian Ruane
2020/204: Sovereign Investor Relations: From Principles to Practice Downloads
James Knight and Bill Northfield
2020/203: In the Eye of the Storm Firms and Capital Destruction in India Downloads
Martino Pelli, Jeanne Tschopp, Natalia Bezmaternykh and Kodjovi M. Eklou
2020/202: A Simple Macrofiscal Model for Policy Analysis: An Application to Cambodia Downloads
Daniel Baksa, Ales Bulir and Dyna Heng
2020/201: The Monetary Policy Credibility Channel and the Amplification Effects in a Semi-structural Model Downloads
Thitipat Chansriniyom, Natan P. Epstein and Valeriu Nalban
2020/200: Demographics and the Housing Market: Japan’s Disappearing Cities Downloads
Yuko Hashimoto, Gee Hee Hong and Xiaoxiao Zhang
2020/199: The Fiscal Multiplier of Public Investment: The Role of Corporate Balance Sheet Downloads
Raphael A Espinoza, Juliana Gamboa-Arbelaez and Mouhamadou Sy
2020/198: Beyond the COVID-19 Crisis: A Framework for Sustainable Government-To-Person Mobile Money Transfers Downloads
Delphine Prady, Herve Tourpe, Sonja Davidovic and Soheib Nunhuck
2020/197: Do FX Interventions Lead to Higher FX Debt? Evidence from Firm-Level Data Downloads
Minsuk Kim, Rui Mano and Mico Mrkaic
2020/196: Should Inequality Factor into Central Banks' Decisions? Downloads
Niels-Jakob H Hansen, Alessandro Lin and Rui Mano
2020/195: The Macroeconomic Effects of Structural Reforms in Latin America and the Caribbean Downloads
Antonio David, Takuji Komatsuzaki and Samuel Pienknagura
2020/194: To Pass (or Not to Pass) Through International Fuel Price Changes to Domestic Fuel Prices in Developing Countries: What Are the Drivers? Downloads
Kangni Kpodar and Patrick A. Imam
2020/193: Fintech Credit Risk Assessment for SMEs: Evidence from China Downloads
Yiping Huang, Longmei Zhang, Zhenhua Li, Han Qiu, Tao Sun and Xue Wang
2020/192: Benchmark-Driven Investments in Emerging Market Bond Markets: Taking Stock Downloads
Serkan Arslanalp, Dimitris Drakopoulos, Rohit Goel and Robin Koepke
2020/191: What are the Economic Effects of Pandemic Containment Policies? Evidence from Sweden Downloads
Jana Bricco, Florian Misch and Alexandra Solovyeva
2020/190: Intangible Investment and Low Inflation: A Framework and Some Evidence Downloads
Subir Lall and Li Zeng
2020/189: Financial Amplification of Labor Supply Shocks Downloads
Nina Biljanovska and Alexandros Vardoulakis
2020/188: Information and Inequality in the Time of a Pandemic Downloads
Allan Dizioli and Roberto Pinheiro
2020/187: Exchange Rates and Domestic Credit—Can Macroprudential Policy Reduce the Link? Downloads
Erlend Nier, Thorvardur Tjoervi Olafsson and Yuan Gao Rollinson
2020/186: What Drives Bank Lending Spreads and Collateral Requirements in the Kyrgyz Republic Downloads
Iulia Ruxandra Teodoru
2020/185: Impact of Remittances on Natural Rate of Dollarization—Trends in Caucasus and Central Asia Downloads
Rocio Gondo, Altynai Aidarova and Manmohan Singh
2020/184: Will the AI Revolution Cause a Great Divergence? Downloads
Cristian Alonso, Andrew Berg, Siddharth Kothari, Chris Papageorgiou and Sidra Rehman
2020/183: Review of the Public Financial Management Reform Strategy for Pacific Island Countries, 2010-2020 Downloads
Richard I Allen, Majdeline El Rayess, Laura Doherty and Priya Goel
2020/182: Structural Changes in Japanese Firms: Business Dynamism in an Aging Society Downloads
Gee Hee Hong, Arata Ito, Yukiko Umeno Saito and Anh Thi Ngoc Nguyen
2020/181: Reducing Risk While Sharing It: A Fiscal Recipe for The EU at the Time of COVID-19 Downloads
Nicoletta Batini, Francesco Lamperti and Andrea Roventini
2020/180: Monetary Policy Under an Exchange Rate Anchor Downloads
Mariam El Hamiani Khatat, Mark Buessings-Loercks and Vincent Fleuriet
2020/179: Offshore Currency Markets: Non-Deliverable Forwards (NDFs) in Asia Downloads
Jochen M. Schmittmann and Chua Han Teng
2020/178: Global Firms, National Corporate Taxes: An Evolution of Incompatibility Downloads
Shafik Hebous
2020/177: Strengthening Public Investment Management in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union: Getting more bang for the dollar! Downloads
A. E. Wayne Mitchell, Ann Marie Wickham and Manuel Rosales Torres
2020/176: Coordinating Revenue Incentive Policies in the Caribbean Downloads
Ding Ding, Samira Kalla, Manuel Rosales Torres and Abdoul Karim Sidibé
2020/175: Intelligent Export Diversification: An Export Recommendation System with Machine Learning Downloads
Natasha X Che
2020/173: Destabilizing Stability? Exchange Rate Arrangements and Foreign Currency Debt Downloads
Balazs Csonto and Tryggvi Gudmundsson
2020/172: Tackling Private Over-Indebtedness in Asia: Economic and Legal Aspects Downloads
José Garrido, Sanaa Nadeem, Nagwa Riad, Anjum Rosha, Chanda M DeLong and Nadia Rendak
2020/171: Capital Flow Data – A Guide for Empirical Analysis and Real-time Tracking Downloads
Robin Koepke and Simon Paetzold
2020/170: Socio-Economic Spillovers from Special Economic Zones: Evidence from Cambodia Downloads
Mariya Brussevich
2020/169: Japan’s Inbound Tourism Boom: Lessons for its Post-COVID-19 Revival Downloads
Anh Thi Ngoc Nguyen
2020/168: Mitigating Long-term Unemployment in Europe Downloads
Nujin Suphaphiphat and Hiroaki Miyamoto
2020/167: Tunisia Monetary Policy Since the Arab Spring: The Fall of the Exchange Rate Anchor and Rise of Inflation Targeting Downloads
Nicolas End, Mariam El Hamiani Khatat and Rym Kolsi
2020/166: Investor Sentiment, Sovereign Debt Mispricing, and Economic Outcomes Downloads
Ramzy Al Amine and Tim Willems
2020/165: Stress Testing and Calibration of Macroprudential Policy Tools Downloads
Lucyna Gornicka and Laura Valderrama
2020/164: Measuring Income Inequality and Implications for Economic Transmission Channels Downloads
Robert Blotevogel, Eslem Imamoglu, Kenji Moriyama and Babacar Sarr
2020/163: Trade, Productivity and (Mis)allocation Downloads
Antoine Berthou, John Jong-Hyun Chung, Kalina Manova and Charlotte Sandoz
2020/162: Do Enhanced Collective Action Clauses Affect Sovereign Borrowing Costs? Downloads
Kay Chung and Michael G. Papaioannou
2020/161: Financial Intermediation and Technology: What’s Old, What’s New? Downloads
Arnoud W.A. Boot, Peter Hoffmann, Luc Laeven and Lev Ratnovski
2020/160: Monetary Policy and Intangible Investment Downloads
Robin Döttling and Lev Ratnovski
2020/159: The Effect of Containment Measures on the COVID-19 Pandemic Downloads
Pragyan Deb, Davide Furceri, Jonathan David Ostry and Nour Tawk
2020/158: The Economic Effects of COVID-19 Containment Measures Downloads
Pragyan Deb, Davide Furceri, Jonathan David Ostry and Nour Tawk
2020/157: Financial Inclusion: What Have We Learned So Far? What Do We Have to Learn? Downloads
Adolfo Barajas, Thorsten Beck, Mohammed Belhaj and Sami Ben Naceur
2020/156: The Nature of Islamic Banking and Solvency Stress Testing - Conceptual Considerations Downloads
Andreas A. Jobst and Juan Sole
2020/155: Productivity in the Netherlands Downloads
Sakai Ando
2020/154: Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Caucasus and Central Asia Downloads
Tigran Poghosyan
2020/153: Demographic Transition and Pension Reforms: Adding Demographics to GIMF Downloads
Benjamin Carton, Emilio Fernández Corugedo, Benjamin L Hunt and Simon Voigts
2020/152: Do Multi-Sector Bond Funds Pose Risks to Emerging Markets? Downloads
Fabio Cortes and Luca Sanfilippo
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