IMF Working Papers

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2006/059: An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts

Allan Timmermann

2006/058: Spending Seigniorage: Do Central Banks Have a Governance Problem?

Alain Ize

2006/057: Is One Watchdog Better Than Three? International Experience with Integrated Financial Sector Supervision

Martin Cihak and Richard Podpiera

2006/056: Trade, Inequality, and the Political Economy of Institutions

Andrei Levchenko and Quy-Toan Do

2006/055: The Dynamics of Provincial Growth in China: A Nonparametric Approach

Bulent Unel and Harm Zebregs

2006/054: To Peg or Not to Peg: A Template for Assessing the Nobler

Aasim Husain

2006/053: Why Do Prices in Sierra Leone Change So Often? A Case Study Using Micro-level Price Data

Arto Kovanen

2006/052: Business Cycles and Workers' Remittances: How Do Migrant Workers Respond to Cyclical Movements of GDP At Home?

Serdar Sayan

2006/051: Malaysian Capital Controls: Macroeconomics and Institutions

Natalia Tamirisa, Simon Johnson, Kalpana Kochhar and Todd Mitton

2006/050: The Implications of Trade Barriers for Sectoral Diversification and Macroeconomic Stability in Developing Economies

Gabriel Srour

2006/049: Common Factors in Latin America's Business Cycles

Allan Timmermann, Luis Catão and Marco Aiolfi

2006/048: The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Jordan

Tushar Poddar, Hasmik Khachatryan and Randa Sab

2006/047: Domestic Taxes and International Trade: Some Evidence

Michael Keen and Murtaza Syed

2006/046: How Different Is the Cyclical Behavior of Home Production Across Countries?

Ayhan Kose and William Blankenau

2006/045: A New-Open-Economy Macro Model for Fiscal Policy Evaluation

Dirk Muir, Douglas Laxton, Dennis Botman and Andrei Romanov

2006/044: Banking Spreads in Latin America

R. Gaston Gelos

2006/043: Quasi-Fiscal Deficits and Energy Conditionality in Selected CIS Countries

Tapio Saavalainen and Joy Mylène Berge

2006/042: Banks During the Argentine Crisis: Were they All Hurt Equally? Did they All Behave Equally?

V. Juan-Ramon, Emiliano Basco, Carlos Quarracino and Adolfo Barajas

2006/041: Forecasting ECB Monetary Policy: Accuracy is (Still) a Matter of Geography

Michael Ehrmann, Marcel Fratzscher and Helge Berger

2006/040: Macroeconomic Challenges with EU Accession in Southeastern Europe: An Overview

Piritta Sorsa

2006/039: Does NGO Aid Go to the Poor? Empirical Evidence from Europe

Gilles Nancy and Boriana Yontcheva

2006/038: Providing official Statistics for the Common Market and Monetary Union in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Countries: A Case for "Gulfstat"

Abdulrahman Al-Mansouri and Claudia Dziobek

2006/037: The Impact of Foreign Interest Rateson the Economy: The Role of the Exchange Rate Regime

Julian di Giovanni and Jay Shambaugh

2006/036: Does Inflation in China Affect the United States and Japan?

Luke Willard and Tarhan Feyzioglu

2006/035: Does Economic Diversification Lead to Financial Development? Evidence From topography

Rodney Ramcharan

2006/034: Regulatory Capture in Banking

International Monetary Fund

2006/033: Financial Sector Projections and Stress Testing in Financial Programming: A New Framework

Antonio Garcia Pascual, Nada Choueiri and Ritu Basu

2006/032: Toward An Effective Supervision of Partially Dollarized Banking Systems

Antonio Garcia Pascual, Jorge Cayazzo, Socorro Heysen and Eva Gutierrez

2006/031: Stylized Facts on Bilateral Trade and Currency Unions: Implications for Africa

Michal Hulej, Charalambos Tsangarides and Pierre Ewenczyk

2006/030: Wealth Effects in Europe: A Tale of Two Countries (Italy and the United Kingdom)

Sònia Muñoz

2006/029: Habit Formation and Persistence in Individual Asset Portfolio Holdings: The Case of Italy

Sònia Muñoz

2006/028: Zimbabwe's Export Performance: The Impact of the Parallel Market and Governance Factors

Sònia Muñoz

2006/027: Procyclical Fiscal Policy: Shocks, Rules, and Institutions: A View From Mars

Paolo Manasse

2006/026: Fiscal Policy and Financial Development

David Hauner

2006/025: Emigration and Brain Drain: Evidence From the Caribbean

Prachi Mishra

2006/024: Implications of Quasi-Fiscal Activities in Ghana

Mali Chivakul and Robert York

2006/023: Tax Incentives and Investment in the Eastern Caribbean

Sebastian Sosa

2006/022: India's Pattern of Development: What Happened, What Follows?

Arvind Subramanian, Raghuram Rajan, Ioannis Tokatlidis, Kalpana Kochhar and Utsav Kumar

2006/021: Economic Transformation, Population Growth, and the Long-Run World Income Distribution

Marcos Chamon and Michael Kremer

2006/020: Does Import Protection Discourage Exports?

Stephen Tokarick

2006/019: Equilibrium Wage Dispersion: An Example

International Monetary Fund

2006/018: Foreign Banks in Poor Countries: Theory and Evidence

Enrica Detragiache, Poonam Gupta and Thierry Tressel

2006/017: The Net Worth Approach to Fiscal Analysis: Dynamics and Rules

International Monetary Fund

2006/016: Fiscal Policy and Financial Markets

Bernardin Akitoby and Thomas Stratmann

2006/015: Suppressed Inflation and Money Demand in Zimbabwe

Sònia Muñoz

2006/014: Foreign Aid Policy and Sources of Poverty: A Quantitative Framework

Alex Mourmouras and Peter Rangazas

2006/013: Pricing and Hedging of Contingent Credit Lines

Elena Loukoianova, Salih Neftci and Sunil Sharma

2006/012: Reforming External Tariffs in Central and Western African Countries

Lubin Kobla Doe

2006/011: Corruption, Competition, and Contracts: A Model of Vote Buying

Felix Vardy and John Morgan

2006/010: Will the Doha Round Lead to Preference Erosion?

John Romalis and Mary Amiti

2006/009: The Global Impact of Demographic Change

Tim Callen, Warwick McKibbin and Nicoletta Batini

2006/008: Harmonization of Domestic Consumption Taxes in Central and Western African Countries

Lubin Kobla Doe

2006/007: Financial Dollarization in Latin America

Robert Rennhack and Masahiro Nozaki

2006/006: American in the Shadows: Harry Dexter White and the Design of the International Monetary Fund

James Boughton

2006/005: Sectoral Balance Sheet Mismatches and Macroeconomic Vulnerabilities in Colombia, 1996-2003

Juan Manuel Lima, Johannes Wiegand, Enrique Montes-Uribe and Carlos Varela

2006/004: Seasonalities in China's Stock Markets: Cultural or Structural?

Jason Mitchell and Li Ong

2006/003: How Does Trade Openness Influence Budget Deficits in Developing Countries?

Jean-Louis Combes and Tahsin Saadi Sedik

2006/002: The Macroeconomics of Remittances: The Case of Tajikistan

Alexei Kireyev

2006/001: Are Donor Countries Giving More or Less Aid?

Sanjeev Gupta, Catherine Pattillo and Smita Wagh

2005/241: Measuring the Performance of Fiscal Policy in Russia

Antonio Spilimbergo

2005/240: Bank Efficiency and Competition in Low-Income Countries: The Case of Uganda

David Hauner and Shanaka Peiris

2005/239: How Tight Is Too Tight? A Look at Welfare Implications of Distortionary Policies in Uzbekistan

David Grigorian and Edward Gemayel

2005/238: Service Offshoring, Productivity, and Employment: Evidence from the United States

Mary Amiti and Shang-Jin Wei

2005/237: Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles in an Oil-Producing Economy: The Case of Venezuela

Alfredo Baldini

2005/236: Money Demand and Inflation in Madagascar

Koffie Ben Nassar

2005/235: Emergence of the Gulf of Guinea in the Global Economy: Prospects and Challenges

Damian Ondo Mañe

2005/234: Remittances, Financial Development, and Growth

Marta Ruiz-Arranz and Paola Giuliano

2005/233: Real Exchange Rates in Growing Economies: How Strong Is the Role of the Nontradables Sector?

Ken Miyajima

2005/232: FIRST: A Market-Based Approach to Evaluate Financial System Risk and Stability

Renzo Avesani

2005/231: The END: A New Indicator of Financial and Nonfinancial Corporate Sector Vulnerability

Jorge Chan-Lau and Toni Gravelle

2005/230: Financial Sector Conditionality: Is Tougher Better?

Roger Kronenberg and Alessandro Giustiniani

2005/229: A Fair Exchange? Theory and Practice of Calculating Equilibrium Exchange Rates

Jaewoo Lee, Hamid Faruqee and Tamim Bayoumi

2005/228: Long-Run Productivity Shifts and Cyclical Fluctuations: Evidence for Italy

Silvia Sgherri

2005/227: Labor and Product Market Deregulation: Partial, Sequential, or Simultaneous Reform?

Helge Berger and Stephan Danninger

2005/226: Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies Using Stochastic Simulation Methods

Philippe Karam and Doug Hostland

2005/225: Fiscal Transparency and Economic Outcomes

International Monetary Fund

2005/224: Macroeconomic Determinants of Remittances: Evidence from India

Poonam Gupta

2005/223: Debt Overhang or Debt Irrelevance? Revisiting the Debt-Growth Link

Tito Cordella, Luca Ricci and Marta Ruiz-Arranz

2005/222: Monitoring and Commitment in Bank Lending Behavior

Rodolphe Blavy

2005/221: Fiscal Dominance and Inflation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Jean-Claude Nachega

2005/220: Barriers to Capital Accumulation and the Incidence of Child Labor

Marco Espinosa-Vega and Richard Barnett

2005/219: Estimating Markov Transition Matrices Using Proportions Data: An Application to Credit Risk

Matthew Jones

2005/218: VAT Refunds: A Review of Country Experience

Graham Harrison and Russell Krelove

2005/217: How Important Is Sovereign Risk in Determining Corporate Default Premia? The Case of South Africa

Marcel Peter and Martín Grandes

2005/216: Pricing Growth-Indexed Bonds

Paolo Mauro and Marcos Chamon

2005/215: Oil Price Shocks: Can they Account for the Stagflation in the 1970's?

Benjamin Hunt

2005/214: The Impact on India of Trade Liberalization in the Textiles and Clothing Sector

Sonali Jain-Chandra and Ananthakrishnan Prasad

2005/213: Capital Account Liberalization, Capital Flow Patterns, and Policy Responses in the EU's New Member States

Zsofia Arvai

2005/212: Financial Globalization and Fiscal Perfomance in Emerging Markets

David Hauner and Manmohan Kumar

2005/211: Understanding the Evolution of World Business Cycles

Ayhan Kose, Christopher Otrok and Charles Whiteman

2005/210: Does Performance Budgeting Work? An Analytical Review of the Empirical Literature

Marc Robinson and Jim Brumby

2005/209: The Domestic and Global Impact of Japan's Policies for Growth

Nicoletta Batini, Alessandro Rebucci and Papa N'Diaye

2005/208: Macroeconomic Effects of Social Security and Tax Reform in the United States

Tamim Bayoumi, Dennis Botman and Manmohan Kumar

2005/207: The Perils of Tax Smoothing: Sustainable Fiscal Policy with Random Shocks to Permanent Output

Evan Tanner and Kevin Carey

2005/206: Strengthening IMF Crisis Prevention

Jonathan Ostry and Jeromin Zettelmeyer

2005/205: The Role of Domestic and Foreign Investors in a Simple Model of Speculative Attacks

Cees Diks and Dennis Botman

2005/204: Can the Standard International Business Cycle Model Explain the Relation Between Trade and Comovement?

Kei-Mu Yi and Ayhan Kose

2005/203: Revenue Administration Reform in Middle Eastern Countries, 1994-2004

Jean-Paul Bodin and William Joseph Crandall

2005/202: Estimating China's "Equilibrium" Real Exchange Rate

Xiangming Li and Steven Dunaway

2005/201: Debt Maturity, Risk, and Asymmetric Information

Marco Espinosa-Vega, Allen Berger, Nathan Miller and W Frame