IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
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2020/044: The More the Merrier? A Machine Learning Algorithm for Optimal Pooling of Panel Data: Marijn Bolhuis and Brett Rayner
2020/043: Foreign Demand and Local House Prices: Evidence from the US: Damien Puy, Anil Ari and Yu Shi
2020/042: Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries: Adrian Alter and Elizabeth Mahoney
2020/041: The Impact of Conflict and Political Instability on Banking Crises in Developing Countries: Ali Compaoré, Montfort Mlachila, Rasmane Ouedraogo and Sandrine Sourouema
2020/040: Lessons from Two Public Sector Reforms in Italy: Nazim Belhocine and La-Bhus Jirasavetakul
2020/039: Identifying Service Market Reform Priorities in Italy: Nazim Belhocine and Daniel Garcia-Macia
2020/038: Labor Costs and Corporate Investment in Italy: Daniel Garcia-Macia
2020/037: Toward a Comprehensive Tax Reform for Italy: Emile Cammeraat and Ernesto Crivelli
2020/036: Markups, Quality, and Trade Costs: Natalie Chen and Luciana Juvenal
2020/035: Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies: Luis Brandão-Marques, R. Gaston Gelos, Thomas Harjes, Ratna Sahay and Yi Xue
2020/034: Barbados’ 2018–19 Sovereign Debt Restructuring–A Sea Change?: Anthony Myrvin, Gregorio Impavido and Bert van Selm
2020/033: A Model-based Fiscal Taylor Rule and a Toolkit to Assess the Fiscal Stance: Jean-Marc Fournier and Philipp Lieberknecht
2020/032: Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality: Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa-Caro
2020/031: Vietnam's Development Success Story and the Unfinished SDG Agenda: Anja Baum
2020/030: Competition, Competitiveness and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Reda Cherif, Sandesh Dhungana, Xiangming Fang, Jesus Gonzalez-Garcia, Yuanchen Yang, Mustafa Yenice and Jung Eun Yoon
2020/029: Distributional Implications of Labor Market Reforms: Learning from Spain's Experience: Ara Stepanyan and Jorge Salas
2020/028: Cyber Risk Surveillance: A Case Study of Singapore: Joseph Goh, Heedon Kang, Zhi Xing Koh, Jin Way Lim, Cheng Wei Ng, Galen Sher and Chris Yao
2020/027: Does Child Marriage Matter for Growth?: Pritha Mitra, Eric M. Pondi Endengle, Malika Pant and Luiz Almeida
2020/026: Monetary Policy Implementation: Operational Issues for Countries with Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks: Nils Maehle
2020/025: Macroeconomic Policy, Product Market Competition, and Growth: The Intangible Investment Channel: JaeBin Ahn, Romain Duval and Can Sever
2020/024: Measuring Output Gap: Is It Worth Your Time?: Jiaqian Chen and Lucyna Gornicka
2020/023: The Minimum Wage Puzzle in Less Developed Countries: Reconciling Theory and Evidence: Christopher Adam and Edward Buffie
2020/022: Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals: Serhan Cevik
2020/021: Riding the Storm: Fiscal Sustainability in the Caribbean: Serhan Cevik and Vibha Nanda
2020/020: Guyana: Housing Market and Implications for Macroprudential Policies: Julian Chow
2020/019: Labor Market Dynamics, Informality and Regulations in Latin America: Antonio David, Samuel Pienknagura and Jorge Roldos
2020/018: Productivity Growth and Value Chains in Four European Countries: Izabela Karpowicz and Nujin Suphaphiphat
2020/017: How Big are Fiscal Multipliers in Latin America?: Jorge Restrepo
2020/016: Effectiveness and Equity in Social Spending - The Case of Spain: Svetlana Vtyurina
2020/015: Remittance Concentration and Volatility: Evidence from 72 Developing Countries: Amr Hosny
2020/014: Tech in Fin before FinTech: Blessing or Curse for Financial Stability?: Nicola Pierri and Yannick Timmer
2020/013: A Monthly Indicator of Economic Growth for Low Income Countries: Michael Stanger
2020/012: Exploring the Output Effect of Fiscal Policy Shocks in Low Income Countries: Jiro Honda, Hiroaki Miyamoto and Mina Taniguchi
2020/011: Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices and Macro-Financial Stability: Tobias Adrian, Andrea Deghi, Mitsuru Katagiri, Sohaib Shahid and Nico Valckx
2020/010: One Shock, Many Policy Responses: Rui Mano and Silvia Sgherri
2020/009: Intervention Under Inflation Targeting--When Could It Make Sense?: David Hofman, Marcos Chamon, Pragyan Deb, Thomas Harjes, Umang Rawat and Itaru Yamamoto
2020/008: Is the Whole Greater than the Sum of its Parts? Strengthening Caribbean Regional Integration: Abdullah Alhassan, Mary Burfisher, Julian Chow, Ding Ding, Fabio Di Vittorio, Dmitriy Kovtun, Arnold McIntyre, Inci Ötker-Robe, Marika Santoro, Lulu Shui and Karim Youssef
2020/007: How Do Member Countries Receive IMF Policy Advice: Results from a State-of-the-art Sentiment Index: Ghada Fayad, Chengyu Huang, Yoko Shibuya and Peng Zhao
2020/006: How Should Credit Gaps Be Measured? An Application to European Countries: Chikako Baba, Salvatore Dell'Erba, Enrica Detragiache, Olamide Harrison, Aiko Mineshima, Anvar Musayev and Asghar Shahmoradi
2020/005: The (Subjective) Well-Being Cost of Fiscal Policy Shocks: Kodjovi Eklou and Fall Mamour
2020/004: Monetary Policy Is Not Always Systematic and Data-Driven: Evidence from the Yield Curve: Ales Bulir and Jan Vlcek
2020/003: Natural Disaster Insurance for Sovereigns: Issues, Challenges and Optimality: Aliona Cebotari and Karim Youssef
2020/002: Crime and Output: Theory and Application to the Northern Triangle of Central America: Dmitry Plotnikov
2020/001: Debt Is Not Free: Marialuz Moreno Badia, Paulo Medas, Pranav Gupta and Yuan Xiang
2019/304: U.S. Monetary Policy Spillovers to GCC Countries: Do Oil Prices Matter?: Olumuyiwa Adedeji, Erik Roos, Sohaib Shahid and Ling Zhu
2019/303: Risk Management Maturity Assessment at Central Banks: Nicolas Denewet, Antonio Manzanera, Sanjeev Matai and Elie Chamoun
2019/302: Exporting Through Intermediaries: Impact on Export Dynamics and Welfare: Parisa Kamali
2019/301: Immigration and Wage Dynamics in Germany: Sabine Klinger, Anvar Musayev, Jean-Marc Natal and Enzo Weber
2019/300: Global Value Chains and External Adjustment: Do Exchange Rates Still Matter?: Gustavo Adler, Sergii Meleshchuk and Carolina Osorio-Buitron
2019/299: Cross-Border Currency Exposures: Agustín Bénétrix, Deepali Gautam, Luciana Juvenal and Martin Schmitz
2019/298: Political Costs of Tax-Based Consolidations: Chuling Chen, Era Dabla-Norris, Jay Rappaport and Aleksandra Zdzienicka
2019/297: Inflation and Public Debt Reversals in Advanced Economies: Ichiro Fukunaga, Takuji Komatsuzaki and Hideaki Matsuoka
2019/296: Autonomous Factor Forecast Quality: The Case of the Eurosystem: Romain Veyrune and Shaoyu Guo
2019/295: Post-Crisis Changes in Global Bank Business Models: A New Taxonomy: John Caparusso, Yingyuan Chen, Peter Dattels, Rohit Goel and Paul Hiebert
2019/294: Innovate to Lead or Innovate to Prevail: When do Monopolistic Rents Induce Growth?: Roberto Piazza and Yu Zheng
2019/293: The Role of Board Oversight in Central Bank Governance: Key Legal Design Issues: Wouter Bossu and Arthur D. P. Rossi
2019/292: Completing the Market: Generating Shadow CDS Spreads by Machine Learning: Nan Hu, Jian Li and Alexis Meyer-Cirkel
2019/291: Do Fiscal Rules Cause Fiscal Discipline Over the Electoral Cycle?: Kodjovi Eklou and Marcelin Joanis
2019/290: Sovereign Asset and Liability Management in Emerging Market Countries: The Case of Uruguay: André Amante, Phillip Anderson, Thordur Jonasson, Herman Kamil and Michael Papaioannou
2019/289: Is the Public Investment Multiplier Higher in Developing Countries? An Empirical Exploration: Alejandro Izquierdo, Ruy Lama, Juan Medina, Jorge Puig, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos Végh Gramont and Guillermo Vuletin
2019/288: Automation, Skills and the Future of Work: What do Workers Think?: Carlos Mulas-Granados, Richard Varghese, Vizhdan Boranova, Alice deChalendar and Judith Wallenstein
2019/287: The Impact of Profit Shifting on Economic Activity and Tax Competition: Alexander Klemm and Li Liu
2019/286: Hidden Treasure: The Impact of Automatic Exchange of Information on Cross-Border Tax Evasion: Sebastian Beer, Maria Coelho and Sebastien Leduc
2019/285: Money Creation in Fiat and Digital Currency Systems: Marco Gross and Christoph Siebenbrunner
2019/284: Liquidity Choice and Misallocation of Credit: Ehsan Ebrahimy
2019/283: Disposal is Not Free: Fiscal Instruments to Internalize the Environmental Costs of Solid Waste: Thornton Matheson
2019/282: Labor Market Dynamics: A Hidden Markov Approach: Ippei Shibata
2019/281: A Three-Country Macroeconomic Model for Portugal: Alex Pienkowski
2019/280: Wage Growth and Inflation in Europe: A Puzzle?: Vizhdan Boranova, Raju Huidrom, Sylwia Nowak, Petia Topalova, Volodymyr Tulin and Richard Varghese
2019/279: Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows: R. Gaston Gelos, Lucyna Gornicka, Robin Koepke, Ratna Sahay and Silvia Sgherri
2019/278: Explaining the Shadow Economy in Europe: Size, Causes and Policy Options: Ben Kelmanson, Koralai Kirabaeva, Leandro Medina, Borislava Mircheva and Jason Weiss
2019/277: Exchange Rate Volatility and Pass-Through to Inflation in South Africa: Ken Miyajima
2019/276: What is the Impact of Increased Business Competition?: Sónia Félix and Chiara Maggi
2019/275: Big Data on Vessel Traffic: Nowcasting Trade Flows in Real Time: Serkan Arslanalp, Marco Marini and Patrizia Tumbarello
2019/274: What Is Real and What Is Not in the Global FDI Network?: Jannick Damgaard, Thomas Elkjaer and Niels Johannesen
2019/273: News-based Sentiment Indicators: Chengyu Huang, Sean Simpson, Daria Ulybina and Agustin Roitman
2019/272: The Dynamics of Non-Performing Loans during Banking Crises: A New Database: Anil Ari, Sophia Chen and Lev Ratnovski
2019/271: Is Digitalization Driving Domestic Inflation?: Balázs Csontó, Yuxuan Huang and Camilo Tovar
2019/270: The Spending Challenge for Reaching the SDGs in Sub-Saharan Africa: Lessons Learned from Benin and Rwanda: Delphine Prady and Mouhamadou Sy
2019/269: Deepening the EU’s Single Market for Services: Christian Ebeke, Jan-Martin Frie and Louise Rabier
2019/268: How Do Changing U.S. Interest Rates Affect Banks in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Countries?: Olumuyiwa Adedeji, Yacoub Alatrash and Divya Kirti
2019/267: Tourism In Belize: Ensuring Sustained Growth: Julian Chow
2019/266: Sovereign Risk in Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing: Andreas Jobst and Hiroko Oura
2019/265: Bank Capital and the Cost of Equity: Mohamed Belkhir, Sami Ben Naceur, Ralph Chami and Anis Semet
2019/264: Network Determinants of Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions: Tatiana Didier, Sebastian Herrador and Magali Pinat
2019/263: China’s Productivity Convergence and Growth Potential—A Stocktaking and Sectoral Approach: Min Zhu, Longmei Zhang and Daoju Peng
2019/262: Recent Shifts in Capital Flow Patterns in Korea: An Investor Base Perspective: Niels-Jakob Hansen and Signe Krogstrup
2019/261: Guilt, Gender, and Work-Life Balance in Japan: A Choice Experiment: Chie Aoyagi and Alistair Munro
2019/260: Productivity and Tax Evasion: Era Dabla-Norris, Mark Gradstein, Fedor Miryugin and Florian Misch
2019/259: Quality Upgrading and Export Performance in the Asian Growth Miracle: Chris Papageorgiou, Fidel Perez-Sebastian and Nikola Spatafora
2019/258: Assessing Macro-Financial Risks of Household Debt in China: Fei Han, Emilia Jurzyk, Wei Guo, Yun He and Nadia Rendak
2019/257: Informality and Aggregate Productivity: The Case of Mexico: Jorge Alvarez and Cian Ruane
2019/256: The Caribbean and its Linkages with the World: A GVAR Model Approach: Jose P Mauricio Vargas and Daniela Hess
2019/255: Informality, Frictions, and Macroprudential Policy: Moez Ben Hassine and Nooman Rebei
2019/254: Breaking the Bank? A Probabilistic Assessment of Euro Area Bank Profitability: Selim Elekdag, Sheheryar Malik and Srobona Mitra
2019/253: Governance and State-Owned Enterprises: How Costly is Corruption?: Anja Baum, Clay Hackney, Paulo Medas and Mouhamadou Sy
2019/252: Designing Central Bank Digital Currencies: Itai Agur, Anil Ari and Giovanni Dell'ariccia
2019/251: Managed Trade: What Could be Possible Spillover Effects of a Potential Trade Agreement Between the U.S. and China?: Eugenio Cerutti, Shan Chen, Pragyan Deb, Albe Gjonbalaj, Swarnali Hannan and Adil Mohommad
2019/250: Integrating Solvency and Liquidity Stress Tests: The Use of Markov Regime-Switching Models: Fei Han and Mindaugas Leika
2019/249: Bridging the Mobile Digital Divide in Sub-Saharan Africa: Costing under Demographic Change and Urbanization: C. Emre Alper and Michal Miktus

IMF Working Papers

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