IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
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2020/095: Improving Crop Yields in Sub-Saharan Africa - What Does the East African Data Say: Alun Thomas
2020/094: Fiscal Resilience Building: Insights from a New Tax Revenue Diversification Index: Rasmane Ouedraogo, René Tapsoba, Moussé Sow and Ali Compaoré
2020/093: How Large and Persistent is the Response of Inflation to Changes in Retail Energy Prices?: Chadi Abdallah and Kangni Kpodar
2020/092: Would Population Aging Change the Output Effects of Fiscal Policy?: Jiro Honda and Hiroaki Miyamoto
2020/091: Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment: Ruoyun Mao and Shu-Chun Yang
2020/090: FX Intervention to Stabilize or Manipulate the Exchange Rate? Inference from Profitability: Damiano Sandri
2020/089: The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap: Jiaqian Chen, Daria Finocchiaro, Jesper Lindé and Karl Walentin
2020/088: Who will Bear the Brunt of Lockdown Policies? Evidence from Tele-workability Measures Across Countries: Mariya Brussevich, Era Dabla-Norris and Salma Khalid
2020/087: Estimating the Neutral Interest Rate in the Kyrgyz Republic: Iulia Ruxandra Teodoru and Asel Toktonalieva
2020/086: How Loose, How Tight? A Measure of Monetary and Fiscal Stance for the Euro Area: Nicoletta Batini, Alessandro Cantelmo, Giovanni Melina and Stefania Villa
2020/085: Credibility Dynamics and Disinflation Plans: Rumen Kostadinov and Francisco Roldán
2020/084: Why Did Public Banks Lend More During the Global Financial Crisis?: Joshua Bosshardt and Eugenio Cerutti
2020/083: Synergies Between Monetary and Macroprudential Policies in Thailand: Ichiro Fukunaga and Manrique Saenz
2020/082: Liquidity at Risk: Joint Stress Testing of Solvency and Liquidity: Rama Cont, Artur Kotlicki and Laura Valderrama
2020/081: Measuring the Impact of a Failing Participant in Payment Systems: Ronald Heijmans and Froukelien Wendt
2020/080: Estimated Policy Rules for Capital Controls: Gurnain Pasricha
2020/079: This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds: Serhan Cevik and Joao Jalles
2020/078: Predictive Density Aggregation: A Model for Global GDP Growth: Francesca Caselli, Francesco Grigoli, Romain Lafarguette and Changchun Wang
2020/077: Tax Elasticity Estimates for Capital Stocks in Canada: Jean-Francois Wen, Fatih Yilmaz and Danea Trejo
2020/076: Tec(h)tonic Shifts: Taxing the “Digital Economy”: Aqib Aslam and Alpa Shah
2020/075: Fintech and Payments Regulation: Analytical Framework: Tanai Khiaonarong and Terry Goh
2020/074: Drivers of Financial Access: the Role of Macroprudential Policies: Corinne Delechat, Lama Kiyasseh, Margaux MacDonald and Rui Xu
2020/073: Hysteresis and Business Cycles: Valerie Cerra, Antonio Fatas and Sweta Saxena
2020/072: When Banks Punch Back: Macrofinancial Feedback Loops in Stress Tests: Mario Catalan and Alexander Hoffmaister
2020/071: The Fiscal State-Dependent Effects of Capital Income Tax Cuts: Alexandra Fotiou, Wenyi Shen and Shu-Chun Yang
2020/070: Global Smartphones Sales May Have Peaked: Joannes Mongardini and Aneta Radzikowski
2020/069: Patterns of Foreign Exchange Intervention under Inflation Targeting: Gustavo Adler, Kyun Suk Chang and Zijiao Wang
2020/068: Can Digitalization Help Deter Corruption in Africa?: Rasmane Ouedraogo and Amadou Sy
2020/067: Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates: Juliana Araujo, Manasa Patnam, Adina Popescu, Fabian Valencia and Weijia Yao
2020/066: Do Remittances Enhance Financial Inclusion in LMICs and in Fragile States?: Sami Ben Naceur, Ralph Chami and Mohamed Trabelsi
2020/065: Macroprudential Policies, Economic Growth, and Banking Crises: Mohamed Belkhir, Sami Ben Naceur, Bertrand Candelon and Jean-Charles Wijnandts
2020/064: Model-Based Globally-Consistent Risk Assessment: Michal Andrle and Benjamin Hunt
2020/063: Non-Resident Holdings of Domestic Debt in Nigeria: Internal or External Driven?: Amr Hosny
2020/062: Macro-Structural Obstacles to Firm Performance: Evidence from 2,640 Firms in Nigeria: Amr Hosny
2020/061: Are Capital Goods Tariffs Different?: Sergii Meleshchuk and Yannick Timmer
2020/060: Real Exchange Rate Overshooting in Large Depreciations: Determinants and Consequences: Alexander Culiuc
2020/059: A European Minimum Wage: Implications for Poverty and Macroeconomic Imbalances: Enrica Detragiache, Christian Ebeke, La-Bhus Jirasavetakul, Koralai Kirabaeva, Davide Malacrino, Florian Misch, Hyun Park and Yu Shi
2020/058: The Anatomy of the Transmission of Macroprudential Policies: Viral Acharya, Katharina Bergant, Matteo Crosignani, Tim Eisert and Fergal McCann
2020/057: World Seaborne Trade in Real Time: A Proof of Concept for Building AIS-based Nowcasts from Scratch: Diego Cerdeiro, András Komáromi, Yang Liu and Mamoon Saeed
2020/056: Do FDI Firms Employ More Workers than Domestic Firms for Each Dollar of Assets?: Sakai Ando and Mengxue Wang
2020/055: Unlocking Access to Finance for SMEs: A Cross-Country Analysis: Armand Fouejieu, Anta Ndoye and Tetyana Sydorenko
2020/054: Systemic Risk Modeling: How Theory Can Meet Statistics: Raphael Espinoza, Miguel Segoviano and Ji Yan
2020/053: Riding the Yield Curve: Risk Taking Behavior in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Ralph Chami, Thomas Cosimano, Celine Rochon and Julieta Yung
2020/052: r minus g negative: Can We Sleep More Soundly?: Paolo Mauro and Jing Zhou
2020/051: Household Consumption Volatility and Poverty Risk: Case Studies from South Africa and Tanzania: Matthieu Bellon, Carlo Pizzinelli and Roberto Perrelli
2020/050: Operationalizing Inclusive Growth: Per-Percentile Diagnostics to Inform Redistribution Policies: Alexei Kireyev and Andrei Leonidov
2020/049: Exploring Residual Profit Allocation: Sebastian Beer, Ruud de Mooij, Shafik Hebous, Michael Keen and Li Liu
2020/048: On the Capacity to Absorb Public Investment: How Much is Too Much?: Daniel Gurara, Kangni Kpodar, Andrea Presbitero and Dawit Tessema
2020/047: Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil: Nooman Rebei and Rashid Sbia
2020/046: International Capital Flows at the Security Level – Evidence from the ECB’s Asset Purchase Programme: Katharina Bergant, Michael Fidora and Martin Schmitz
2020/045: Deus ex Machina? A Framework for Macro Forecasting with Machine Learning: Marijn Bolhuis and Brett Rayner
2020/044: The More the Merrier? A Machine Learning Algorithm for Optimal Pooling of Panel Data: Marijn Bolhuis and Brett Rayner
2020/043: Foreign Demand and Local House Prices: Evidence from the US: Damien Puy, Anil Ari and Yu Shi
2020/042: Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries: Adrian Alter and Elizabeth Mahoney
2020/041: The Impact of Conflict and Political Instability on Banking Crises in Developing Countries: Ali Compaoré, Montfort Mlachila, Rasmane Ouedraogo and Sandrine Sourouema
2020/040: Lessons from Two Public Sector Reforms in Italy: Nazim Belhocine and La-Bhus Jirasavetakul
2020/039: Identifying Service Market Reform Priorities in Italy: Nazim Belhocine and Daniel Garcia-Macia
2020/038: Labor Costs and Corporate Investment in Italy: Daniel Garcia-Macia
2020/037: Toward a Comprehensive Tax Reform for Italy: Emile Cammeraat and Ernesto Crivelli
2020/036: Markups, Quality, and Trade Costs: Natalie Chen and Luciana Juvenal
2020/035: Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies: Luis Brandão-Marques, R. Gaston Gelos, Thomas Harjes, Ratna Sahay and Yi Xue
2020/034: Barbados’ 2018–19 Sovereign Debt Restructuring–A Sea Change?: Anthony Myrvin, Gregorio Impavido and Bert van Selm
2020/033: A Model-based Fiscal Taylor Rule and a Toolkit to Assess the Fiscal Stance: Jean-Marc Fournier and Philipp Lieberknecht
2020/032: Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality: Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa-Caro
2020/031: Vietnam's Development Success Story and the Unfinished SDG Agenda: Anja Baum
2020/030: Competition, Competitiveness and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Reda Cherif, Sandesh Dhungana, Xiangming Fang, Jesus Gonzalez-Garcia, Yuanchen Yang, Mustafa Yenice and Jung Eun Yoon
2020/029: Distributional Implications of Labor Market Reforms: Learning from Spain's Experience: Ara Stepanyan and Jorge Salas
2020/028: Cyber Risk Surveillance: A Case Study of Singapore: Joseph Goh, Heedon Kang, Zhi Xing Koh, Jin Way Lim, Cheng Wei Ng, Galen Sher and Chris Yao
2020/027: Does Child Marriage Matter for Growth?: Pritha Mitra, Eric M. Pondi Endengle, Malika Pant and Luiz Almeida
2020/026: Monetary Policy Implementation: Operational Issues for Countries with Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks: Nils Maehle
2020/025: Macroeconomic Policy, Product Market Competition, and Growth: The Intangible Investment Channel: JaeBin Ahn, Romain Duval and Can Sever
2020/024: Measuring Output Gap: Is It Worth Your Time?: Jiaqian Chen and Lucyna Gornicka
2020/023: The Minimum Wage Puzzle in Less Developed Countries: Reconciling Theory and Evidence: Christopher Adam and Edward Buffie
2020/022: Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals: Serhan Cevik
2020/021: Riding the Storm: Fiscal Sustainability in the Caribbean: Serhan Cevik and Vibha Nanda
2020/020: Guyana: Housing Market and Implications for Macroprudential Policies: Julian Chow
2020/019: Labor Market Dynamics, Informality and Regulations in Latin America: Antonio David, Samuel Pienknagura and Jorge Roldos
2020/018: Productivity Growth and Value Chains in Four European Countries: Izabela Karpowicz and Nujin Suphaphiphat
2020/017: How Big are Fiscal Multipliers in Latin America?: Jorge Restrepo
2020/016: Effectiveness and Equity in Social Spending - The Case of Spain: Svetlana Vtyurina
2020/015: Remittance Concentration and Volatility: Evidence from 72 Developing Countries: Amr Hosny
2020/014: Tech in Fin before FinTech: Blessing or Curse for Financial Stability?: Nicola Pierri and Yannick Timmer
2020/013: A Monthly Indicator of Economic Growth for Low Income Countries: Michael Stanger
2020/012: Exploring the Output Effect of Fiscal Policy Shocks in Low Income Countries: Jiro Honda, Hiroaki Miyamoto and Mina Taniguchi
2020/011: Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices and Macro-Financial Stability: Tobias Adrian, Andrea Deghi, Mitsuru Katagiri, Sohaib Shahid and Nico Valckx
2020/010: One Shock, Many Policy Responses: Rui Mano and Silvia Sgherri
2020/009: Intervention Under Inflation Targeting--When Could It Make Sense?: David Hofman, Marcos Chamon, Pragyan Deb, Thomas Harjes, Umang Rawat and Itaru Yamamoto
2020/008: Is the Whole Greater than the Sum of its Parts? Strengthening Caribbean Regional Integration: Abdullah Alhassan, Mary Burfisher, Julian Chow, Ding Ding, Fabio Di Vittorio, Dmitriy Kovtun, Arnold McIntyre, Inci Ötker-Robe, Marika Santoro, Lulu Shui and Karim Youssef
2020/007: How Do Member Countries Receive IMF Policy Advice: Results from a State-of-the-art Sentiment Index: Ghada Fayad, Chengyu Huang, Yoko Shibuya and Peng Zhao
2020/006: How Should Credit Gaps Be Measured? An Application to European Countries: Chikako Baba, Salvatore Dell'Erba, Enrica Detragiache, Olamide Harrison, Aiko Mineshima, Anvar Musayev and Asghar Shahmoradi
2020/005: The (Subjective) Well-Being Cost of Fiscal Policy Shocks: Kodjovi Eklou and Fall Mamour
2020/004: Monetary Policy Is Not Always Systematic and Data-Driven: Evidence from the Yield Curve: Ales Bulir and Jan Vlcek
2020/003: Natural Disaster Insurance for Sovereigns: Issues, Challenges and Optimality: Aliona Cebotari and Karim Youssef
2020/002: Crime and Output: Theory and Application to the Northern Triangle of Central America: Dmitry Plotnikov
2020/001: Debt Is Not Free: Marialuz Moreno Badia, Paulo Medas, Pranav Gupta and Yuan Xiang
2019/304: U.S. Monetary Policy Spillovers to GCC Countries: Do Oil Prices Matter?: Olumuyiwa Adedeji, Erik Roos, Sohaib Shahid and Ling Zhu
2019/303: Risk Management Maturity Assessment at Central Banks: Nicolas Denewet, Antonio Manzanera, Sanjeev Matai and Elie Chamoun
2019/302: Exporting Through Intermediaries: Impact on Export Dynamics and Welfare: Parisa Kamali
2019/301: Immigration and Wage Dynamics in Germany: Sabine Klinger, Anvar Musayev, Jean-Marc Natal and Enzo Weber
2019/300: Global Value Chains and External Adjustment: Do Exchange Rates Still Matter?: Gustavo Adler, Sergii Meleshchuk and Carolina Osorio-Buitron

IMF Working Papers

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