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IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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2020/095: Improving Crop Yields in Sub-Saharan Africa - What Does the East African Data Say Downloads
Alun Thomas
2020/094: Fiscal Resilience Building: Insights from a New Tax Revenue Diversification Index Downloads
Rasmane Ouedraogo, René Tapsoba, Moussé Sow and Ali Compaoré
2020/093: How Large and Persistent is the Response of Inflation to Changes in Retail Energy Prices? Downloads
Chadi Abdallah and Kangni Kpodar
2020/092: Would Population Aging Change the Output Effects of Fiscal Policy? Downloads
Jiro Honda and Hiroaki Miyamoto
2020/091: Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment Downloads
Ruoyun Mao and Shu-Chun Yang
2020/090: FX Intervention to Stabilize or Manipulate the Exchange Rate? Inference from Profitability Downloads
Damiano Sandri
2020/089: The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap Downloads
Jiaqian Chen, Daria Finocchiaro, Jesper Lindé and Karl Walentin
2020/088: Who will Bear the Brunt of Lockdown Policies? Evidence from Tele-workability Measures Across Countries Downloads
Mariya Brussevich, Era Dabla-Norris and Salma Khalid
2020/087: Estimating the Neutral Interest Rate in the Kyrgyz Republic Downloads
Iulia Ruxandra Teodoru and Asel Toktonalieva
2020/086: How Loose, How Tight? A Measure of Monetary and Fiscal Stance for the Euro Area Downloads
Nicoletta Batini, Alessandro Cantelmo, Giovanni Melina and Stefania Villa
2020/085: Credibility Dynamics and Disinflation Plans Downloads
Rumen Kostadinov and Francisco Roldán
2020/084: Why Did Public Banks Lend More During the Global Financial Crisis? Downloads
Joshua Bosshardt and Eugenio Cerutti
2020/083: Synergies Between Monetary and Macroprudential Policies in Thailand Downloads
Ichiro Fukunaga and Manrique Saenz
2020/082: Liquidity at Risk: Joint Stress Testing of Solvency and Liquidity Downloads
Rama Cont, Artur Kotlicki and Laura Valderrama
2020/081: Measuring the Impact of a Failing Participant in Payment Systems Downloads
Ronald Heijmans and Froukelien Wendt
2020/080: Estimated Policy Rules for Capital Controls Downloads
Gurnain Pasricha
2020/079: This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Joao Jalles
2020/078: Predictive Density Aggregation: A Model for Global GDP Growth Downloads
Francesca Caselli, Francesco Grigoli, Romain Lafarguette and Changchun Wang
2020/077: Tax Elasticity Estimates for Capital Stocks in Canada Downloads
Jean-Francois Wen, Fatih Yilmaz and Danea Trejo
2020/076: Tec(h)tonic Shifts: Taxing the “Digital Economy” Downloads
Aqib Aslam and Alpa Shah
2020/075: Fintech and Payments Regulation: Analytical Framework Downloads
Tanai Khiaonarong and Terry Goh
2020/074: Drivers of Financial Access: the Role of Macroprudential Policies Downloads
Corinne Delechat, Lama Kiyasseh, Margaux MacDonald and Rui Xu
2020/073: Hysteresis and Business Cycles Downloads
Valerie Cerra, Antonio Fatas and Sweta Saxena
2020/072: When Banks Punch Back: Macrofinancial Feedback Loops in Stress Tests Downloads
Mario Catalan and Alexander Hoffmaister
2020/071: The Fiscal State-Dependent Effects of Capital Income Tax Cuts Downloads
Alexandra Fotiou, Wenyi Shen and Shu-Chun Yang
2020/070: Global Smartphones Sales May Have Peaked Downloads
Joannes Mongardini and Aneta Radzikowski
2020/069: Patterns of Foreign Exchange Intervention under Inflation Targeting Downloads
Gustavo Adler, Kyun Suk Chang and Zijiao Wang
2020/068: Can Digitalization Help Deter Corruption in Africa? Downloads
Rasmane Ouedraogo and Amadou Sy
2020/067: Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates Downloads
Juliana Araujo, Manasa Patnam, Adina Popescu, Fabian Valencia and Weijia Yao
2020/066: Do Remittances Enhance Financial Inclusion in LMICs and in Fragile States? Downloads
Sami Ben Naceur, Ralph Chami and Mohamed Trabelsi
2020/065: Macroprudential Policies, Economic Growth, and Banking Crises Downloads
Mohamed Belkhir, Sami Ben Naceur, Bertrand Candelon and Jean-Charles Wijnandts
2020/064: Model-Based Globally-Consistent Risk Assessment Downloads
Michal Andrle and Benjamin Hunt
2020/063: Non-Resident Holdings of Domestic Debt in Nigeria: Internal or External Driven? Downloads
Amr Hosny
2020/062: Macro-Structural Obstacles to Firm Performance: Evidence from 2,640 Firms in Nigeria Downloads
Amr Hosny
2020/061: Are Capital Goods Tariffs Different? Downloads
Sergii Meleshchuk and Yannick Timmer
2020/060: Real Exchange Rate Overshooting in Large Depreciations: Determinants and Consequences Downloads
Alexander Culiuc
2020/059: A European Minimum Wage: Implications for Poverty and Macroeconomic Imbalances Downloads
Enrica Detragiache, Christian Ebeke, La-Bhus Jirasavetakul, Koralai Kirabaeva, Davide Malacrino, Florian Misch, Hyun Park and Yu Shi
2020/058: The Anatomy of the Transmission of Macroprudential Policies Downloads
Viral Acharya, Katharina Bergant, Matteo Crosignani, Tim Eisert and Fergal McCann
2020/057: World Seaborne Trade in Real Time: A Proof of Concept for Building AIS-based Nowcasts from Scratch Downloads
Diego Cerdeiro, András Komáromi, Yang Liu and Mamoon Saeed
2020/056: Do FDI Firms Employ More Workers than Domestic Firms for Each Dollar of Assets? Downloads
Sakai Ando and Mengxue Wang
2020/055: Unlocking Access to Finance for SMEs: A Cross-Country Analysis Downloads
Armand Fouejieu, Anta Ndoye and Tetyana Sydorenko
2020/054: Systemic Risk Modeling: How Theory Can Meet Statistics Downloads
Raphael Espinoza, Miguel Segoviano and Ji Yan
2020/053: Riding the Yield Curve: Risk Taking Behavior in a Low Interest Rate Environment Downloads
Ralph Chami, Thomas Cosimano, Celine Rochon and Julieta Yung
2020/052: r minus g negative: Can We Sleep More Soundly? Downloads
Paolo Mauro and Jing Zhou
2020/051: Household Consumption Volatility and Poverty Risk: Case Studies from South Africa and Tanzania Downloads
Matthieu Bellon, Carlo Pizzinelli and Roberto Perrelli
2020/050: Operationalizing Inclusive Growth: Per-Percentile Diagnostics to Inform Redistribution Policies Downloads
Alexei Kireyev and Andrei Leonidov
2020/049: Exploring Residual Profit Allocation Downloads
Sebastian Beer, Ruud de Mooij, Shafik Hebous, Michael Keen and Li Liu
2020/048: On the Capacity to Absorb Public Investment: How Much is Too Much? Downloads
Daniel Gurara, Kangni Kpodar, Andrea Presbitero and Dawit Tessema
2020/047: Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil Downloads
Nooman Rebei and Rashid Sbia
2020/046: International Capital Flows at the Security Level – Evidence from the ECB’s Asset Purchase Programme Downloads
Katharina Bergant, Michael Fidora and Martin Schmitz
2020/045: Deus ex Machina? A Framework for Macro Forecasting with Machine Learning Downloads
Marijn Bolhuis and Brett Rayner
2020/044: The More the Merrier? A Machine Learning Algorithm for Optimal Pooling of Panel Data Downloads
Marijn Bolhuis and Brett Rayner
2020/043: Foreign Demand and Local House Prices: Evidence from the US Downloads
Damien Puy, Anil Ari and Yu Shi
2020/042: Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries Downloads
Adrian Alter and Elizabeth Mahoney
2020/041: The Impact of Conflict and Political Instability on Banking Crises in Developing Countries Downloads
Ali Compaoré, Montfort Mlachila, Rasmane Ouedraogo and Sandrine Sourouema
2020/040: Lessons from Two Public Sector Reforms in Italy Downloads
Nazim Belhocine and La-Bhus Jirasavetakul
2020/039: Identifying Service Market Reform Priorities in Italy Downloads
Nazim Belhocine and Daniel Garcia-Macia
2020/038: Labor Costs and Corporate Investment in Italy Downloads
Daniel Garcia-Macia
2020/037: Toward a Comprehensive Tax Reform for Italy Downloads
Emile Cammeraat and Ernesto Crivelli
2020/036: Markups, Quality, and Trade Costs Downloads
Natalie Chen and Luciana Juvenal
2020/035: Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Downloads
Luis Brandão-Marques, R. Gaston Gelos, Thomas Harjes, Ratna Sahay and Yi Xue
2020/034: Barbados’ 2018–19 Sovereign Debt Restructuring–A Sea Change? Downloads
Anthony Myrvin, Gregorio Impavido and Bert van Selm
2020/033: A Model-based Fiscal Taylor Rule and a Toolkit to Assess the Fiscal Stance Downloads
Jean-Marc Fournier and Philipp Lieberknecht
2020/032: Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Carolina Correa-Caro
2020/031: Vietnam's Development Success Story and the Unfinished SDG Agenda Downloads
Anja Baum
2020/030: Competition, Competitiveness and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa Downloads
Reda Cherif, Sandesh Dhungana, Xiangming Fang, Jesus Gonzalez-Garcia, Yuanchen Yang, Mustafa Yenice and Jung Eun Yoon
2020/029: Distributional Implications of Labor Market Reforms: Learning from Spain's Experience Downloads
Ara Stepanyan and Jorge Salas
2020/028: Cyber Risk Surveillance: A Case Study of Singapore Downloads
Joseph Goh, Heedon Kang, Zhi Xing Koh, Jin Way Lim, Cheng Wei Ng, Galen Sher and Chris Yao
2020/027: Does Child Marriage Matter for Growth? Downloads
Pritha Mitra, Eric M. Pondi Endengle, Malika Pant and Luiz Almeida
2020/026: Monetary Policy Implementation: Operational Issues for Countries with Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks Downloads
Nils Maehle
2020/025: Macroeconomic Policy, Product Market Competition, and Growth: The Intangible Investment Channel Downloads
JaeBin Ahn, Romain Duval and Can Sever
2020/024: Measuring Output Gap: Is It Worth Your Time? Downloads
Jiaqian Chen and Lucyna Gornicka
2020/023: The Minimum Wage Puzzle in Less Developed Countries: Reconciling Theory and Evidence Downloads
Christopher Adam and Edward Buffie
2020/022: Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals Downloads
Serhan Cevik
2020/021: Riding the Storm: Fiscal Sustainability in the Caribbean Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Vibha Nanda
2020/020: Guyana: Housing Market and Implications for Macroprudential Policies Downloads
Julian Chow
2020/019: Labor Market Dynamics, Informality and Regulations in Latin America Downloads
Antonio David, Samuel Pienknagura and Jorge Roldos
2020/018: Productivity Growth and Value Chains in Four European Countries Downloads
Izabela Karpowicz and Nujin Suphaphiphat
2020/017: How Big are Fiscal Multipliers in Latin America? Downloads
Jorge Restrepo
2020/016: Effectiveness and Equity in Social Spending - The Case of Spain Downloads
Svetlana Vtyurina
2020/015: Remittance Concentration and Volatility: Evidence from 72 Developing Countries Downloads
Amr Hosny
2020/014: Tech in Fin before FinTech: Blessing or Curse for Financial Stability? Downloads
Nicola Pierri and Yannick Timmer
2020/013: A Monthly Indicator of Economic Growth for Low Income Countries Downloads
Michael Stanger
2020/012: Exploring the Output Effect of Fiscal Policy Shocks in Low Income Countries Downloads
Jiro Honda, Hiroaki Miyamoto and Mina Taniguchi
2020/011: Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices and Macro-Financial Stability Downloads
Tobias Adrian, Andrea Deghi, Mitsuru Katagiri, Sohaib Shahid and Nico Valckx
2020/010: One Shock, Many Policy Responses Downloads
Rui Mano and Silvia Sgherri
2020/009: Intervention Under Inflation Targeting--When Could It Make Sense? Downloads
David Hofman, Marcos Chamon, Pragyan Deb, Thomas Harjes, Umang Rawat and Itaru Yamamoto
2020/008: Is the Whole Greater than the Sum of its Parts? Strengthening Caribbean Regional Integration Downloads
Abdullah Alhassan, Mary Burfisher, Julian Chow, Ding Ding, Fabio Di Vittorio, Dmitriy Kovtun, Arnold McIntyre, Inci Ötker-Robe, Marika Santoro, Lulu Shui and Karim Youssef
2020/007: How Do Member Countries Receive IMF Policy Advice: Results from a State-of-the-art Sentiment Index Downloads
Ghada Fayad, Chengyu Huang, Yoko Shibuya and Peng Zhao
2020/006: How Should Credit Gaps Be Measured? An Application to European Countries Downloads
Chikako Baba, Salvatore Dell'Erba, Enrica Detragiache, Olamide Harrison, Aiko Mineshima, Anvar Musayev and Asghar Shahmoradi
2020/005: The (Subjective) Well-Being Cost of Fiscal Policy Shocks Downloads
Kodjovi Eklou and Fall Mamour
2020/004: Monetary Policy Is Not Always Systematic and Data-Driven: Evidence from the Yield Curve Downloads
Ales Bulir and Jan Vlcek
2020/003: Natural Disaster Insurance for Sovereigns: Issues, Challenges and Optimality Downloads
Aliona Cebotari and Karim Youssef
2020/002: Crime and Output: Theory and Application to the Northern Triangle of Central America Downloads
Dmitry Plotnikov
2020/001: Debt Is Not Free Downloads
Marialuz Moreno Badia, Paulo Medas, Pranav Gupta and Yuan Xiang
2019/304: U.S. Monetary Policy Spillovers to GCC Countries: Do Oil Prices Matter? Downloads
Olumuyiwa Adedeji, Erik Roos, Sohaib Shahid and Ling Zhu
2019/303: Risk Management Maturity Assessment at Central Banks Downloads
Nicolas Denewet, Antonio Manzanera, Sanjeev Matai and Elie Chamoun
2019/302: Exporting Through Intermediaries: Impact on Export Dynamics and Welfare Downloads
Parisa Kamali
2019/301: Immigration and Wage Dynamics in Germany Downloads
Sabine Klinger, Anvar Musayev, Jean-Marc Natal and Enzo Weber
2019/300: Global Value Chains and External Adjustment: Do Exchange Rates Still Matter? Downloads
Gustavo Adler, Sergii Meleshchuk and Carolina Osorio-Buitron
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