IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
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2018/078: Finland’s Public Sector Balance Sheet: A Novel Approach to Analysis of Public Finance

Maren Brede and Christian Henn

2018/077: When Do We Repair the Roof? Insights from Responses to Fiscal Crisis Early Warning Signals

Jiro Honda, René Tapsoba and Ismael Issifou

2018/076: Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective

Adrian Alter, Alan Xiaochen Feng and Nico Valckx

2018/075: Globalization and the New Normal

Alina Carare, Bertrand Candelon, Jean-Baptiste Hasse and Jing Lu

2018/074: A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks

Thordur Jonasson and Michael Papaioannou

2018/073: On the Impact of Structural Reforms on Output and Employment: Evidence from a Cross-country Firm-level Analysis

Luiza Antoun de Almeida and Vybhavi Balasundharam

2018/072: Policy Conflicts and Inflation Targeting: The Role of Credit Markets

Woon Gyu Choi and David Cook

2018/071: Tax Incentives in Cambodia

Manuk Ghazanchyan, Alexander Klemm and Yong Sarah Zhou

2018/070: Monetary Policy Transmission in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union

Alla Myrvoda and Julien Reynaud

2018/069: At A Cost: the Real Effects of Transfer Pricing Regulations

Ruud de Mooij and Li Liu

2018/068: Independent Fiscal Councils: Recent Trends and Performance

Roel Beetsma, Xavier Debrun, Xiangming Fang, Young-Bae Kim, Victor Lledo, Samba Mbaye and Xiaoxiao Zhang

2018/067: Aging, Secular Stagnation and the Business Cycle

Callum Jones

2018/066: Organizing Central Securities Depositories in Developing Markets—7 Considerations

Froukelien Wendt, Peter Katz and Alice Zanza

2018/065: Central Counterparties Resolution—An Unresolved Problem

Manmohan Singh and Dermot Turing

2018/064: Structural Reforms and Labor Reallocation: A Cross-Country Analysis

Khalid ElFayoumi, Anta Ndoye, Sanaa Nadeem and Allan Gregory Auclair

2018/063: Structural Reforms and Firms’ Productivity: Evidence from Developing Countries

Wilfried Kouamé and Sampawende Tapsoba

2018/062: Leverage—A Broader View

Manmohan Singh and Zohair Alam

2018/061: Competitiveness and Wage Bargaining Reform in Italy

Alvar Kangur

2018/060: Italy: Quantifying the Benefits of a Comprehensive Reform Package

Michal Andrle, Alvar Kangur and Mehdi Raissi

2018/059: Italy: Toward a Growth-Friendly Fiscal Reform

Michal Andrle, Shafik Hebous, Alvar Kangur and Mehdi Raissi

2018/058: Carry Trade vs. Deposit-Driven Euroization

Nan Geng, Tiberiu Scutaru and Johannes Wiegand

2018/057: The Distributional Effects of Government Spending Shocks in Developing Economies

Davide Furceri, Jun Ge, Prakash Loungani and Giovanni Melina

2018/056: The Long-Run Decoupling of Emissions and Output: Evidence from the Largest Emitters

Gail Cohen, Joao Jalles, Prakash Loungani and Ricardo Marto

2018/055: The Effective Lower Bound for the Policy Rate in Euroized Economies—An Application to the Case of Albania

Guido della Valle, Erald Themeli, Romain Veyrune, Ezequiel Cabezon and Shaoyu Guo

2018/054: The Distribution of Gains from Globalization

Valentin Lang and Marina Tavares

2018/053: Financial Development and Inclusion in the Caribbean

Chuan Li and Joyce Wong

2018/052: Growth Accelerations and Reversals in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: The Role of External Conditions

Bertrand Gruss, Malhar Nabar and Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro

2018/051: International Technology Sourcing and Knowledge Spillovers: Evidence from OECD Countries

Sophia Chen and Estelle Dauchy

2018/050: More Slack than Meets the Eye? Recent Wage Dynamics in Advanced Economies

Gee Hee Hong, Zsoka Koczan, Weicheng Lian and Malhar Nabar

2018/049: Macroprudential Stress Tests: A Reduced-Form Approach to Quantifying Systemic Risk Losses

Zineddine Alla, Raphael Espinoza, Qiaoluan Li and Miguel Segoviano

2018/048: Forecasts in Times of Crises

Theo Eicher, David Kuenzel, Chris Papageorgiou and Charalambos Christofides

2018/047: Estimating the Demand for Reserve Assets Across Diverse Groups

Rina Bhattacharya, Katja Mann and Mwanza Nkusu

2018/046: The Global Banking Network: What is Behind the Increasing Regionalization Trend?

Eugenio Cerutti and Haonan Zhou

2018/045: Banks’ Maturity Transformation: Risk, Reward, and Policy

Pierluigi Bologna

2018/044: Is There a Phillips Curve? A Full Information Partial Equilibrium Approach

Roberto Piazza

2018/043: Is Credit Easing Viable in Emerging and Developing Economies? An Empirical Approach

Luis Jácome, Tahsin Saadi Sedik and Alexander Ziegenbein

2018/042: Canada’s Carbon Price Floor

Ian Parry and Victor Mylonas

2018/041: Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and GDP: What National Accounts Bring to the Table

Thomas Alexander, Claudia Dziobek and Tadeusz Galeza

2018/040: Economic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa

Giovanni Melina and Rafael Portillo

2018/039: How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?

Zidong An, Joao Jalles and Prakash Loungani

2018/038: What is Driving Women’s Financial Inclusion Across Countries?

Corinne Delechat, Monique Newiak, Rui Xu, Fan Yang and Goksu Aslan

2018/037: The Status of GDP Compilation Practices in 189 Economies and the Relevance for Policy Analysis

Francien Berry, Massimiliano Iommi, Michael Stanger and Louis Venter

2018/036: Inflation Anchoring and Growth: Evidence from Sectoral Data

Sangyup Choi, Davide Furceri and Prakash Loungani

2018/035: Welfare Gains from Market Insurance: The Case of Mexican Oil Price Risk

Chang Ma and Fabian Valencia

2018/034: Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm-Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries

Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin

2018/033: Corporate Indebtedness and Low Productivity Growth of Italian Firms

Gareth Anderson and Mehdi Raissi

2018/032: A Multidimensional Approach to Trade Policy Indicators

Diego Cerdeiro and Rachel Nam

2018/031: Central Bank Reserve Management and International Financial Stability—Some Post-Crisis Reflections

Bradley Jones

2018/030: International Capital Flow Pressures

Linda Goldberg and Signe Krogstrup

2018/029: Portfolio Inflows Eclipsing Banking Inflows: Alternative Facts?

Eugenio Cerutti and Gee Hee Hong

2018/028: Monetary Policy and Models of Currency Demand

Mariam El Hamiani Khatat

2018/027: Morocco: A Practical Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis in a Country with Capital Controls

Mokhtar Benlamine, Ales Bulir, Meryem Farouki, Ágnes Horváth, Faiçal Hossaini, Hasnae El Idrissi, Zineb Iraoui, Mihály Kovács, Douglas Laxton, Anass Maaroufi, Katalin Szilágyi, Mohamed Taamouti and David Vavra

2018/026: Commodity-based Sovereign Wealth Funds: Managing Financial Flows in the Context of the Sovereign Balance Sheet

Abdullah Alhassan, Sue Brake, Michael Papaioannou and Martin Skancke

2018/025: Foreign Direct Investment and Women Empowerment: New Evidence on Developing Countries

Rasmane Ouedraogo and Elodie Marlet

2018/024: Disagreement about Future Inflation: Understanding the Benefits of Inflation Targeting and Transparency

Steve Brito, Yan Carrière-Swallow and Bertrand Gruss

2018/023: Lending Standards and Output Growth

Divya Kirti

2018/022: A New Smartphone for Every Fifth Person on Earth: Quantifying the New Tech Cycle

Benjamin Carton, Joannes Mongardini and Yiqun Li

2018/021: Euroization Drivers and Effective Policy Response: An Application to the case of Albania

Guido della Valle, Vasilika Kota, Romain Veyrune, Ezequiel Cabezon and Shaoyu Guo

2018/020: Reserve Currency Blocs: A Changing International Monetary System?

Camilo Tovar and Tania Mohd Nor

2018/019: A Narrative Database of Major Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies

Romain Duval, Davide Furceri, Bingjie Hu, Joao Jalles and Huy Nguyen

2018/018: On International Integration of Emerging Sovereign Bond Markets

Itai Agur, Melissa Chan, Mangal Goswami and Sunil Sharma

2018/017: Shadow Economies Around the World: What Did We Learn Over the Last 20 Years?

Leandro Medina and Friedrich Schneider

2018/016: New Estimates for Direction of Trade Statistics

Marco Marini, Robert Dippelsman and Michael Stanger

2018/015: Can Countries Manage Their Financial Conditions Amid Globalization?

Nicolas Arregui, Selim Elekdag, R. Gaston Gelos, Romain Lafarguette and Dulani Seneviratne

2018/014: A Comprehensive Multi-Sector Tool for Analysis of Systemic Risk and Interconnectedness (SyRIN)

Fabio Cortes, Peter Lindner, Sheheryar Malik and Miguel Segoviano

2018/013: Household Credit, Global Financial Cycle, and Macroprudential Policies: Credit Register Evidence from an Emerging Country

Mircea Epure, Irina Mihai, Camelia Minoiu and Jose-Luis Peydro

2018/012: An Application of Distribution-Neutral Fiscal Policy

Sanjeev Gupta, Sugata Marjit and Sandip Sarkar

2018/011: A New Wave of ECB’s Unconventional Monetary Policies: Domestic Impact and Spillovers

Richard Varghese and Yuanyan Zhang

2018/010: Economic Convergence in the Euro Area: Coming Together or Drifting Apart?

Jeffrey Franks, Bergljot Barkbu, Rodolphe Blavy, William Oman and Hanni Schoelermann

2018/009: Friend or Foe? Cross-Border Linkages, Contagious Banking Crises, and “Coordinated” Macroprudential Policies

Seung Mo Choi, Laura Kodres and Jing Lu

2018/008: Regulatory Cycles: Revisiting the Political Economy of Financial Crises

Jihad Dagher

2018/007: Where Does Multinational Investment Go with Territorial Taxation? Evidence from the UK

Li Liu

2018/006: Investment in Brazil: From Crisis to Recovery

Ivo Krznar and Troy Matheson

2018/005: Growth-Equity Trade-offs in Structural Reforms

Jonathan Ostry, Andrew Berg and Siddharth Kothari

2018/004: Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows

Sangyup Choi and Davide Furceri

2018/003: Foreign Banks and Credit Dynamics in CESEE

Maria Arakelyan

2018/002: Credit Booms—Is China Different?

Sally Chen and Joong Kang

2018/001: Optimism, Pessimism, and Short-Term Fluctuations

C. Di Bella and Francesco Grigoli

2017/291: Why are Countries’ Asset Portfolios Exposed to Nominal Exchange Rates?

Jonathan Adams and Philip Barrett

2017/290: Monetary Policy and the Relative Price of Durable Goods

Alessandro Cantelmo and Giovanni Melina

2017/289: Structural Transformation and the Agricultural Wage Gap

Jorge Alvarez

2017/288: China’s Impacts on SSA through the Lens of Growth and Exports

Yibin Mu, Chu Wang and Dong Frank Wu

2017/287: Oil Price Shocks and Economic Growth in Oil-Exporting Countries: Does the Size of Government Matter?

Amir Sadeghi

2017/286: Australia’s Fiscal Framework: Revisiting Options for a Fiscal Anchor

Allan Dizioli, Philippe Karam, Dirk Muir and Siegfried Steinlein

2017/285: Shadow Banking and Market Discipline on Traditional Banks

Anil Ari, Matthieu Darracq-Paries and Christoffer Kok

2017/284: FDI, Global Value Chains, and Local Sourcing in Developing Countries

Vito Amendolagine, Andrea Presbitero, Roberta Rabellotti, Marco Sanfilippo and Adnan Seric

2017/283: Exchange Rate Misalignment and Growth: A Myth?

Carlos Goncalves and Mauro Rodrigues

2017/282: A Model to Assess the Probabilities of Growth, Fiscal, and Financial Crises

Suman Basu, Marcos Chamon and Christopher Crowe

2017/281: The Impact of Fiscal Consolidations on Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

Francisco Arizala, Jesus Gonzalez-Garcia, Charalambos Tsangarides and Mustafa Yenice

2017/280: Sovereign Risk and Bank Risk-Taking

Anil Ari

2017/279: International Commodity Prices and Domestic Bank Lending in Developing Countries

Isha Agrawal, Rupa Duttagupta and Andrea Presbitero

2017/278: Firms and the Decline in Earnings Inequality in Brazil

Jorge Alvarez, Felipe Benguria, Niklas Engbom and Christian Moser

2017/277: Job Protection Deregulation in Good and Bad Times

Romain Duval, Davide Furceri and Joao Jalles

2017/276: Identical Twins? Destination-Based Cash-Flow Taxes Versus Consumption Taxes with Payroll Subsidies

Benjamin Carton, Emilio Fernández Corugedo and Benjamin Hunt

2017/275: Collective Bargaining Through the Magnifying Glass: A Comparison Between the Netherlands and Portugal

Alexander Hijzen, Pedro Martins and Jante Parlevliet

2017/274: Crisis and Reform: The 1893 Demise of Banca Romana

Marco Pani

2017/273: Credit and Fiscal Multipliers in China

Sophia Chen, Lev Ratnovski and Pi-Han Tsai

2017/272: Reassessing the Perimeter of Government Accounts in China

Rui Mano and Phil Stokoe

2017/271: Welfare vs. Income Convergence and Environmental Externalities

Geoffrey Bannister and Alex Mourmouras

2017/270: Djibouti’s Quest for Inclusive Growth

Alexei Kireyev