IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
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2021/012: Food Price Shocks and Household Consumption in Developing Countries: The Role of Fiscal Policy: Carine Meyimdjui and Jean-Louis Combes
2021/011: Pandemics and Automation: Will the Lost Jobs Come Back?: Tahsin Saadi Sedik
2021/010: Bank Balance Sheets and External Shocks in Asia: The Role of FXI, MPMs and CFMs: Sanaa Nadeem and Shanaka Peiris
2021/009: Is There Money on the Table? Evidence on the Magnitude of Profit Shifting in the Extractive Industries: Sebastian Beer
2021/008: The Role of E-Government in Promoting Foreign Direct Investment Inflows: Ali Al-Sadiq
2021/007: Revisiting the Stabilization Role of Public Banks: Public Debt Matters: H. Elif Ture
2021/006: Some Alternative Monetary Facts: Peter Stella and Manmohan Singh
2021/005: Investor Information and Bank Instability During the Euro Crisis: Silvia Iorgova
2021/004: Financial Globalization and Inequality: Capital Flows as a Two-Edged Sword: Barry Eichengreen, Balázs Csontó, Asmaa ElGanainy and Zsoka Koczan
2021/003: The Transmission of External Shocks in Asia: Country Characteristics and Policy Responses: Pragyan Deb, Sanaa Nadeem and Shanaka Peiris
2021/002: Dissecting Economic Growth in Uruguay: Natasha Che
2021/001: Politically Robust Financial Regulation: Itai Agur
2020/295: Quarterly Projection Model for the National Bank of Rwanda: Jan Vlcek and Mikhail Pranovich
2020/294: Small and Vulnerable: Small Firm Productivity in the Great Productivity Slowdown: Sophia Chen and Do Lee
2020/293: The Aggregate-Demand Doom Loop: Precautionary Motives and the Welfare Costs of Sovereign Risk: Francisco Roldán
2020/292: Effects of Emerging Market Asset Purchase Program Announcements on Financial Markets During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Can Sever, Rohit Goel, Dimitris Drakopoulos and Evan Papageorgiou
2020/291: House Prices and Macroprudential Policies: Evidence from City-level Data in India: International Monetary Fund
2020/290: Sovereign Debt Standstills: Juan Carlos Hatchondo, Leonardo Martinez and Cesar Sosa Padilla
2020/289: Predicting Macroeconomic and Macrofinancial Stress in Low-Income Countries: Hans Weisfeld, Irineu de Carvalho Filho, Fabio Comelli, Rahul Giri, Klaus-Peter Hellwig, Chengyu Huang, Fei Liu, Sandra Lizarazo, Alexis Meyer-Cirkel and Andrea Presbitero
2020/288: Managing External Volatility: Policy Frameworks in Non-Reserve Issuing Economies: Hélène Poirson, Nathan Porter, Ghada Fayad, Itai Agur, Ran Bi, Jiaqian Chen, Johannes Eugster, Stefan Laséen, Jeta Menkulasi, Kenji Moriyama, Celine Rochon, Katsiaryna Svirydzenka, Camilo Tovar, Zhongxia Zhang and Aleksandra Zdzienicka
2020/287: Leverage Shocks: Firm-Level Evidence on Debt Overhang and Investment: Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
2020/286: Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings: Serhan Cevik and Joao Jalles
2020/285: Hang in There: Stock Market Reactions to Withdrawals of COVID-19 Stimulus Measures: Jorge Chan-Lau and Yunhui Zhao
2020/284: Supply Spillovers During the Pandemic: Evidence from High-Frequency Shipping Data: Diego Cerdeiro and András Komáromi
2020/283: Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Firm Leverage: Ilhyock Shim and Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2020/282: Mobility under the COVID-19 Pandemic: Asymmetric Effects across Gender and Age: Francesca Caselli, Francesco Grigoli, Damiano Sandri and Antonio Spilimbergo
2020/281: Youth Unemployment in Uruguay: José Torres
2020/280: Terms-of-Trade Shocks are Not all Alike: Luciana Juvenal
2020/279: Modeling Trade Tensions: Different Mechanisms in General Equilibrium: Benjamin Hunt, Susanna Mursula, Rafael Portillo and Marika Santoro
2020/278: Identifying Reform Priorities: The Role of Non-linearities: Klaus-Peter Hellwig
2020/277: Assessing Targeted Containment Policies to Fight COVID-19: Francesco Grigoli and Jose Manuel Mota Aquino
2020/276: Pandemics and Firms: Drawing Lessons from History: Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
2020/275: Government Intervention and Bank Market Power: Lessons from the Global Financial Crisis for the COVID-19 Crisis: Deniz Igan, Maria Martinez Peria, Nicola Pierri and Andrea Presbitero
2020/274: Individual Treatment Effects of Budget Balance Rules: Francesca Caselli, Daniel Stoehlker and Philippe Wingender
2020/273: Role of Individual Characteristics and Policies in Driving Labor Informality in Vietnam: Era Dabla-Norris, Giovanni Ganelli and Anh Thi Ngoc Nguyen
2020/272: Addressing the Pandemic's Medium-Term Fallout in Australia and New Zealand: Geoffrey Bannister, Harald Finger, Siddharth Kothari and Elena Loukoianova
2020/271: Tax Policy and Inclusive Growth: Ruud de Mooij
2020/270: Confidence as a Driver of Private Investment in Selected Countries of Central America: Iulia Ruxandra Teodoru
2020/269: Assessing Dutch Fiscal and Debt Sustainability: Benjamin Carton and Armand Fouejieu
2020/268: Reconsidering Climate Mitigation Policy in the UK: Nicolas Arregui and Ian Parry
2020/267: Crossing the Credit Channel: Credit Spreads and Firm Heterogeneity: Gareth Anderson and Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi
2020/266: Government Insurance Against Natural Disasters: An Application to the ECCU: Alejandro Guerson
2020/265: Incomplete Financial Markets and the Booming Housing Sector in China: Tamim Bayoumi and Yunhui Zhao
2020/264: International Taxation and Luxembourg’s Economy: Ruud de Mooij, Dinar Prihardini and Emil Stavrev
2020/263: Contagion of Fear: Is the Impact of COVID-19 on Sovereign Risk Really Indiscriminate?: Serhan Cevik and Belma Öztürkkal
2020/262: UnFEAR: Unsupervised Feature Extraction Clustering with an Application to Crisis Regimes Classification: Jorge Chan-Lau
2020/261: Public Debt Dynamics and Intra-Year Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Santiago Acosta Ormaechea
2020/260: Corporate Vulnerabilities in Vietnam and Implications of COVID-19: Anh Thi Ngoc Nguyen and Yuanyan Zhang
2020/259: What Do We Talk About When We Talk About Output Gaps?: Jelle Barkema, Tryggvi Gudmundsson and Mico Mrkaic
2020/258: Local Currency Bond Markets Law Reform: A Methodology for Emerging Markets and Developing Economies: Wouter Bossu, Cory Hillier and Wolfgang Bergthaler
2020/257: Technological and Economic Decoupling in the Cyber Era: Daniel Garcia-Macia and Rishi Goyal
2020/256: Labor Market Informality and the Business Cycle: Frederic Lambert, Andrea Pescatori and Frederik Toscani
2020/255: Dirty Money: Does the Risk of Infectious Disease Lower Demand for Cash?: Serhan Cevik
2020/254: Legal Aspects of Central Bank Digital Currency: Central Bank and Monetary Law Considerations: Wouter Bossu, Masaru Itatani and Arthur D. P. Rossi
2020/253: Energy, Efficiency Gains and Economic Development: When Will Global Energy Demand Saturate?: Christian Bogmans, Lama Kiyasseh, Akito Matsumoto and Andrea Pescatori
2020/252: Monetary Policy Surprises and Inflation Expectation Dispersion: Bertrand Gruss, Sandra Lizarazo and Francesco Grigoli
2020/251: India’s Inflation Process Before and After Flexible Inflation Targeting: Patrick Blagrave and Weicheng Lian
2020/250: Enhancing Fiscal Transparency and Reporting in India: Patrick Blagrave and Fabien Gonguet
2020/249: Banking Across Borders: Are Chinese Banks Different?: Eugenio Cerutti, Catherine Koch and Swapan-Kumar Pradhan
2020/248: Imported Food Price Shocks and Socio-Political Instability: Do Fiscal Policy and Remittances Matter?: Carine Meyimdjui
2020/247: Improving the Short-term Forecast of World Trade During the Covid-19 Pandemic Using Swift Data on Letters of Credit: Benjamin Carton, Nan Hu, Joannes Mongardini, Kei Moriya and Aneta Radzikowski
2020/246: Non-Linearities in Fiscal Policy:The Role of Debt: Alexandra Fotiou
2020/245: Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference?: Emmanouil Kitsios, Joao Jalles and Genevieve Verdier
2020/244: Optimal Simple Objectives for Monetary Policy when Banks Matter: Lien Laureys, Roland Meeks and Boromeus Wanengkirtyo
2020/243: Perfect Storm: Climate Change and Tourism: Serhan Cevik and Manuk Ghazanchyan
2020/242: The Great Lockdown: International Risk Sharing Through Trade and Policy Coordination: Philipp Engler, Nathalie Pouokam, Diego Rodriguez Guzman and Irina Yakadina
2020/241: Fintech in Europe: Promises and Threats: Chikako Baba, Cristina Batog, Enrique Flores, Borja Gracia, Izabela Karpowicz, Piotr Kopyrski, James Roaf, Anna Shabunina and Xin Xu
2020/240: Inflation Expectations in the U.S.: Linking Markets, Households, and Businesses: Peter Williams
2020/239: China’s Rebalancing: Opportunities and Challenges for LAC Exporters: Nitya Aasaavari, Fabio Di Vittorio, Ana Lariau, Yuebo Li, Rui Mano and Pedro Rodriguez
2020/238: Stress Testing U.S. Leveraged Corporates in a COVID-19 World: Carlos Caceres, Diego Cerdeiro, Dan Pan and Suchanan Tambunlertchai
2020/237: Pre- and Post-GFC Policy Multipliers: Sam Ouliaris and Celine Rochon
2020/236: Monetary and Macroprudential Policy with Endogenous Risk: Tobias Adrian, Fernando Duarte, Nellie Liang and Pawel Zabczyk
2020/235: Climate Mitigation Policy in Denmark: A Prototype for Other Countries: Nicoletta Batini, Ian Parry and Philippe Wingender
2020/234: Protecting Lives and Livelihoods with Early and Tight Lockdowns: Francesca Caselli, Francesco Grigoli, Weicheng Lian and Damiano Sandri
2020/233: COVID-19 Impact and Mitigation Policies: A Didactic Epidemiological-Macroeconomic Model Approach: John Ansah, Natan Epstein and Valeriu Nalban
2020/232: Climate-Related Stress Testing: Transition Risks in Norway: Pierpaolo Grippa and Samuel Mann
2020/231: An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults: Serhan Cevik and Joao Jalles
2020/230: External Private Financing and Domestic Revenue Mobilization: A Dilemma?: Hippolyte Balima, Deirdre Daly and Boileau Loko
2020/229: Optimism Bias in Growth Forecasts—The Role of Planned Policy Adjustments: Kareem Ismail, Roberto Perrelli and Jessie Yang
2020/228: Crouching Beliefs, Hidden Biases: The Rise and Fall of Growth Narratives: Reda Cherif, Marc Engher and Fuad Hasanov
2020/227: Constrained Efficient Borrowing with Sovereign Default Risk: Juan Carlos Hatchondo, Leonardo Martinez and Francisco Roch
2020/226: Twenty Years of Unconventional Monetary Policies: Lessons and Way Forward for the Bank of Japan: Niklas Westelius
2020/225: Caught in the Crosswinds: The Experiences of Selected Economies Responding to External Volatility with Multiple Policy Levers: Ghada Fayad and Hélène Poirson
2020/224: COVID-19 and the CPI: Is Inflation Underestimated?: Marshall Reinsdorf
2020/223: External Financing Dependence and Corporate Saving in ASEAN5: Xin Li
2020/222: Mobile Phone Ownership and Welfare: Evidence from South Africa’s Household Survey: Ken Miyajima
2020/221: The Economic Consequences of Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa: Xiangming Fang, Siddharth Kothari, Cameron McLoughlin and Mustafa Yenice
2020/220: The Sources of Fiscal Fluctuations: Antoine Levy, Luca Ricci and Alejandro Werner
2020/219: Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Interventions: Evidence from the Kyrgyz Republic: Tigran Poghosyan
2020/218: Exiting from Lockdowns: Early Evidence from Reopenings in Europe: Jeffrey Franks, Bertrand Gruss, Carlos Mulas-Granados, Manasa Patnam and Sebastian Weber
2020/217: COVID-19 and Inequality in Asia: Breaking the Vicious Cycle: Emilia Jurzyk, Medha Madhu Nair, Nathalie Pouokam, Tahsin Saadi Sedik and Irina Yakadina
2020/216: A Vicious Cycle: How Pandemics Lead to Economic Despair and Social Unrest: Tahsin Saadi Sedik and Rui Xu
2020/215: Mexico Needs a Fiscal Twist: Response to Covid-19 and Beyond: Swarnali Hannan, Keiko Honjo and Mehdi Raissi
2020/214: A Mexican State-level Perspective on Covid-19 and its Economic Fallout: Juan Pablo Cuesta Aguirre and Swarnali Hannan
2020/213: Managing Fiscal Risks from State-Owned Enterprises: Anja Baum, Paulo Medas, Alberto Soler and Mouhamadou Sy
2020/212: US Housing Market during COVID-19: Aggregate and Distributional Evidence: Yunhui Zhao
2020/211: Financial Frictions and Firm Informality: A General Equilibrium Perspective: Luis Franjo, Nathalie Pouokam and Francesco Turino
2020/210: Are Bilateral Trade Balances Irrelevant?: Margaux MacDonald, Roberto Piazza, Johannes Eugster and Florence Jaumotte
2020/209: Capital Gaps, Risk Dynamics, and the Macroeconomy: Fabian Lipinsky and Mirela Miescu
2020/208: IT Shields: Technology Adoption and Economic Resilience during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Nicola Pierri and Yannick Timmer

IMF Working Papers

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