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IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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2020/290: Sovereign Debt Standstills Downloads
Juan Carlos Hatchondo, Leonardo Martinez and Cesar Sosa Padilla
2020/289: Predicting Macroeconomic and Macrofinancial Stress in Low-Income Countries Downloads
Hans Weisfeld, Irineu de Carvalho Filho, Fabio Comelli, Rahul Giri, Klaus-Peter Hellwig, Chengyu Huang, Fei Liu, Sandra Lizarazo, Alexis Meyer-Cirkel and Andrea Presbitero
2020/288: Managing External Volatility: Policy Frameworks in Non-Reserve Issuing Economies Downloads
Hélène Poirson, Nathan Porter, Ghada Fayad, Itai Agur, Ran Bi, Jiaqian Chen, Johannes Eugster, Stefan Laséen, Jeta Menkulasi, Kenji Moriyama, Celine Rochon, Katsiaryna Svirydzenka, Camilo Tovar, Zhongxia Zhang and Aleksandra Zdzienicka
2020/287: Leverage Shocks: Firm-Level Evidence on Debt Overhang and Investment Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
2020/286: Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Joao Jalles
2020/285: Hang in There: Stock Market Reactions to Withdrawals of COVID-19 Stimulus Measures Downloads
Jorge Chan-Lau and Yunhui Zhao
2020/284: Supply Spillovers During the Pandemic: Evidence from High-Frequency Shipping Data Downloads
Diego Cerdeiro and András Komáromi
2020/283: Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Firm Leverage Downloads
Ilhyock Shim and Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2020/282: Mobility under the COVID-19 Pandemic: Asymmetric Effects across Gender and Age Downloads
Francesca Caselli, Francesco Grigoli, Damiano Sandri and Antonio Spilimbergo
2020/281: Youth Unemployment in Uruguay Downloads
José Torres
2020/280: Terms-of-Trade Shocks are Not all Alike Downloads
Luciana Juvenal
2020/279: Modeling Trade Tensions: Different Mechanisms in General Equilibrium Downloads
Benjamin Hunt, Susanna Mursula, Rafael Portillo and Marika Santoro
2020/278: Identifying Reform Priorities: The Role of Non-linearities Downloads
Klaus-Peter Hellwig
2020/277: Assessing Targeted Containment Policies to Fight COVID-19 Downloads
Francesco Grigoli and Jose Manuel Mota Aquino
2020/276: Pandemics and Firms: Drawing Lessons from History Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin
2020/275: Government Intervention and Bank Market Power: Lessons from the Global Financial Crisis for the COVID-19 Crisis Downloads
Deniz Igan, Maria Martinez Peria, Nicola Pierri and Andrea Presbitero
2020/274: Individual Treatment Effects of Budget Balance Rules Downloads
Francesca Caselli, Daniel Stoehlker and Philippe Wingender
2020/273: Role of Individual Characteristics and Policies in Driving Labor Informality in Vietnam Downloads
Era Dabla-Norris, Giovanni Ganelli and Anh Thi Ngoc Nguyen
2020/272: Addressing the Pandemic's Medium-Term Fallout in Australia and New Zealand Downloads
Geoffrey Bannister, Harald Finger, Siddharth Kothari and Elena Loukoianova
2020/271: Tax Policy and Inclusive Growth Downloads
Ruud de Mooij
2020/270: Confidence as a Driver of Private Investment in Selected Countries of Central America Downloads
Iulia Ruxandra Teodoru
2020/269: Assessing Dutch Fiscal and Debt Sustainability Downloads
Benjamin Carton and Armand Fouejieu
2020/268: Reconsidering Climate Mitigation Policy in the UK Downloads
Nicolas Arregui and Ian Parry
2020/267: Crossing the Credit Channel: Credit Spreads and Firm Heterogeneity Downloads
Gareth Anderson and Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi
2020/266: Government Insurance Against Natural Disasters: An Application to the ECCU Downloads
Alejandro Guerson
2020/265: Incomplete Financial Markets and the Booming Housing Sector in China Downloads
Tamim Bayoumi and Yunhui Zhao
2020/264: International Taxation and Luxembourg’s Economy Downloads
Ruud de Mooij, Dinar Prihardini and Emil Stavrev
2020/263: Contagion of Fear: Is the Impact of COVID-19 on Sovereign Risk Really Indiscriminate? Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Belma Öztürkkal
2020/262: UnFEAR: Unsupervised Feature Extraction Clustering with an Application to Crisis Regimes Classification Downloads
Jorge Chan-Lau
2020/261: Public Debt Dynamics and Intra-Year Exchange Rate Fluctuations Downloads
Santiago Acosta Ormaechea
2020/260: Corporate Vulnerabilities in Vietnam and Implications of COVID-19 Downloads
Anh Thi Ngoc Nguyen and Yuanyan Zhang
2020/259: What Do We Talk About When We Talk About Output Gaps? Downloads
Jelle Barkema, Tryggvi Gudmundsson and Mico Mrkaic
2020/258: Local Currency Bond Markets Law Reform: A Methodology for Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Downloads
Wouter Bossu, Cory Hillier and Wolfgang Bergthaler
2020/257: Technological and Economic Decoupling in the Cyber Era Downloads
Daniel Garcia-Macia and Rishi Goyal
2020/256: Labor Market Informality and the Business Cycle Downloads
Frederic Lambert, Andrea Pescatori and Frederik Toscani
2020/255: Dirty Money: Does the Risk of Infectious Disease Lower Demand for Cash? Downloads
Serhan Cevik
2020/254: Legal Aspects of Central Bank Digital Currency: Central Bank and Monetary Law Considerations Downloads
Wouter Bossu, Masaru Itatani and Arthur D. P. Rossi
2020/253: Energy, Efficiency Gains and Economic Development: When Will Global Energy Demand Saturate? Downloads
Christian Bogmans, Lama Kiyasseh, Akito Matsumoto and Andrea Pescatori
2020/252: Monetary Policy Surprises and Inflation Expectation Dispersion Downloads
Bertrand Gruss, Sandra Lizarazo and Francesco Grigoli
2020/251: India’s Inflation Process Before and After Flexible Inflation Targeting Downloads
Patrick Blagrave and Weicheng Lian
2020/250: Enhancing Fiscal Transparency and Reporting in India Downloads
Patrick Blagrave and Fabien Gonguet
2020/249: Banking Across Borders: Are Chinese Banks Different? Downloads
Eugenio Cerutti, Catherine Koch and Swapan-Kumar Pradhan
2020/248: Imported Food Price Shocks and Socio-Political Instability: Do Fiscal Policy and Remittances Matter? Downloads
Carine Meyimdjui
2020/247: Improving the Short-term Forecast of World Trade During the Covid-19 Pandemic Using Swift Data on Letters of Credit Downloads
Benjamin Carton, Nan Hu, Joannes Mongardini, Kei Moriya and Aneta Radzikowski
2020/246: Non-Linearities in Fiscal Policy:The Role of Debt Downloads
Alexandra Fotiou
2020/245: Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference? Downloads
Emmanouil Kitsios, Joao Jalles and Genevieve Verdier
2020/244: Optimal Simple Objectives for Monetary Policy when Banks Matter Downloads
Lien Laureys, Roland Meeks and Boromeus Wanengkirtyo
2020/243: Perfect Storm: Climate Change and Tourism Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Manuk Ghazanchyan
2020/242: The Great Lockdown: International Risk Sharing Through Trade and Policy Coordination Downloads
Philipp Engler, Nathalie Pouokam, Diego Rodriguez Guzman and Irina Yakadina
2020/241: Fintech in Europe: Promises and Threats Downloads
Chikako Baba, Cristina Batog, Enrique Flores, Borja Gracia, Izabela Karpowicz, Piotr Kopyrski, James Roaf, Anna Shabunina and Xin Xu
2020/240: Inflation Expectations in the U.S.: Linking Markets, Households, and Businesses Downloads
Peter Williams
2020/239: China’s Rebalancing: Opportunities and Challenges for LAC Exporters Downloads
Nitya Aasaavari, Fabio Di Vittorio, Ana Lariau, Yuebo Li, Rui Mano and Pedro Rodriguez
2020/238: Stress Testing U.S. Leveraged Corporates in a COVID-19 World Downloads
Carlos Caceres, Diego Cerdeiro, Dan Pan and Suchanan Tambunlertchai
2020/237: Pre- and Post-GFC Policy Multipliers Downloads
Sam Ouliaris and Celine Rochon
2020/236: Monetary and Macroprudential Policy with Endogenous Risk Downloads
Tobias Adrian, Fernando Duarte, Nellie Liang and Pawel Zabczyk
2020/235: Climate Mitigation Policy in Denmark: A Prototype for Other Countries Downloads
Nicoletta Batini, Ian Parry and Philippe Wingender
2020/234: Protecting Lives and Livelihoods with Early and Tight Lockdowns Downloads
Francesca Caselli, Francesco Grigoli, Weicheng Lian and Damiano Sandri
2020/233: COVID-19 Impact and Mitigation Policies: A Didactic Epidemiological-Macroeconomic Model Approach Downloads
John Ansah, Natan Epstein and Valeriu Nalban
2020/232: Climate-Related Stress Testing: Transition Risks in Norway Downloads
Pierpaolo Grippa and Samuel Mann
2020/231: An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Joao Jalles
2020/230: External Private Financing and Domestic Revenue Mobilization: A Dilemma? Downloads
Hippolyte Balima, Deirdre Daly and Boileau Loko
2020/229: Optimism Bias in Growth Forecasts—The Role of Planned Policy Adjustments Downloads
Kareem Ismail, Roberto Perrelli and Jessie Yang
2020/228: Crouching Beliefs, Hidden Biases: The Rise and Fall of Growth Narratives Downloads
Reda Cherif, Marc Engher and Fuad Hasanov
2020/227: Constrained Efficient Borrowing with Sovereign Default Risk Downloads
Juan Carlos Hatchondo, Leonardo Martinez and Francisco Roch
2020/226: Twenty Years of Unconventional Monetary Policies: Lessons and Way Forward for the Bank of Japan Downloads
Niklas Westelius
2020/225: Caught in the Crosswinds: The Experiences of Selected Economies Responding to External Volatility with Multiple Policy Levers Downloads
Ghada Fayad and Hélène Poirson
2020/224: COVID-19 and the CPI: Is Inflation Underestimated? Downloads
Marshall Reinsdorf
2020/223: External Financing Dependence and Corporate Saving in ASEAN5 Downloads
Xin Li
2020/222: Mobile Phone Ownership and Welfare: Evidence from South Africa’s Household Survey Downloads
Ken Miyajima
2020/221: The Economic Consequences of Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa Downloads
Xiangming Fang, Siddharth Kothari, Cameron McLoughlin and Mustafa Yenice
2020/220: The Sources of Fiscal Fluctuations Downloads
Antoine Levy, Luca Ricci and Alejandro Werner
2020/219: Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Interventions: Evidence from the Kyrgyz Republic Downloads
Tigran Poghosyan
2020/218: Exiting from Lockdowns: Early Evidence from Reopenings in Europe Downloads
Jeffrey Franks, Bertrand Gruss, Carlos Mulas-Granados, Manasa Patnam and Sebastian Weber
2020/217: COVID-19 and Inequality in Asia: Breaking the Vicious Cycle Downloads
Emilia Jurzyk, Medha Madhu Nair, Nathalie Pouokam, Tahsin Saadi Sedik and Irina Yakadina
2020/216: A Vicious Cycle: How Pandemics Lead to Economic Despair and Social Unrest Downloads
Tahsin Saadi Sedik and Rui Xu
2020/215: Mexico Needs a Fiscal Twist: Response to Covid-19 and Beyond Downloads
Swarnali Hannan, Keiko Honjo and Mehdi Raissi
2020/214: A Mexican State-level Perspective on Covid-19 and its Economic Fallout Downloads
Juan Pablo Cuesta Aguirre and Swarnali Hannan
2020/213: Managing Fiscal Risks from State-Owned Enterprises Downloads
Anja Baum, Paulo Medas, Alberto Soler and Mouhamadou Sy
2020/212: US Housing Market during COVID-19: Aggregate and Distributional Evidence Downloads
Yunhui Zhao
2020/211: Financial Frictions and Firm Informality: A General Equilibrium Perspective Downloads
Luis Franjo, Nathalie Pouokam and Francesco Turino
2020/210: Are Bilateral Trade Balances Irrelevant? Downloads
Margaux MacDonald, Roberto Piazza, Johannes Eugster and Florence Jaumotte
2020/209: Capital Gaps, Risk Dynamics, and the Macroeconomy Downloads
Fabian Lipinsky and Mirela Miescu
2020/208: IT Shields: Technology Adoption and Economic Resilience during the COVID-19 Pandemic Downloads
Nicola Pierri and Yannick Timmer
2020/207: COVID-19 and SME Failures Downloads
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Veronika Penciakova and Nick Sander
2020/206: Market Power, Growth, and Inclusion: The South African Experience Downloads
Vimal Thakoor
2020/205: Worker Mobility and Domestic Production Networks Downloads
Marvin Cardoza, Francesco Grigoli, Nicola Pierri and Cian Ruane
2020/204: Sovereign Investor Relations: From Principles to Practice Downloads
James Knight and Bill Northfield
2020/203: In the Eye of the Storm Firms and Capital Destruction in India Downloads
Martino Pelli, Jeanne Tschopp, Natalia Bezmaternykh and Kodjovi Eklou
2020/202: A Simple Macrofiscal Model for Policy Analysis: An Application to Cambodia Downloads
Daniel Baksa, Ales Bulir and Dyna Heng
2020/201: The Monetary Policy Credibility Channel and the Amplification Effects in a Semi-structural Model Downloads
Thitipat Chansriniyom, Natan Epstein and Valeriu Nalban
2020/200: Demographics and the Housing Market: Japan’s Disappearing Cities Downloads
Yuko Hashimoto, Gee Hee Hong and Xiaoxiao Zhang
2020/199: The Fiscal Multiplier of Public Investment: The Role of Corporate Balance Sheet Downloads
Raphael Espinoza, Juliana Gamboa-Arbelaez and Mouhamadou Sy
2020/198: Beyond the COVID-19 Crisis: A Framework for Sustainable Government-To-Person Mobile Money Transfers Downloads
Delphine Prady, Hervé Tourpe, Sonja Davidovic and Soheib Nunhuck
2020/197: Do FX Interventions Lead to Higher FX Debt? Evidence from Firm-Level Data Downloads
Minsuk Kim, Rui Mano and Mico Mrkaic
2020/196: Should Inequality Factor into Central Banks' Decisions? Downloads
Niels-Jakob Hansen, Alessandro Lin and Rui Mano
2020/195: The Macroeconomic Effects of Structural Reforms in Latin America and the Caribbean Downloads
Antonio David, Takuji Komatsuzaki and Samuel Pienknagura
2020/194: To Pass (or Not to Pass) Through International Fuel Price Changes to Domestic Fuel Prices in Developing Countries: What Are the Drivers? Downloads
Kangni Kpodar and Patrick Imam
2020/193: Fintech Credit Risk Assessment for SMEs: Evidence from China Downloads
Yiping Huang, Longmei Zhang, Zhenhua Li, Han Qiu, Tao Sun and Xue Wang
2020/192: Benchmark-Driven Investments in Emerging Market Bond Markets: Taking Stock Downloads
Serkan Arslanalp, Dimitris Drakopoulos, Rohit Goel and Robin Koepke
2020/191: What are the Economic Effects of Pandemic Containment Policies? Evidence from Sweden Downloads
Jana Bricco ('Gieck'), Florian Misch and Alexandra Solovyeva
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