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IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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2025/188: Bottlenecks to Private Sector Development in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Firm-Level Analysis Downloads
Razan Amine, Qianqian Zhang, Shushanik Hakobyan and Ankita Goel
2025/187: Tax Reform, Subsidies, and Labor Supply: Lessons from Türkiye Downloads
Silvia Domit, Yomna Gaafar, Duncan MacDonald and Carolina Osorio-Buitron
2025/186: Blockchain Consensus Mechanisms: A Primer for Supervisors (2025 Update) Downloads
Parma Bains
2025/185: Optimal Policy for Financial Market Tokenization Downloads
Itai Agur and Alexander Copestake
2025/184: The Impact of Aging and AI on Japan's Labor Market: Challenges and Opportunities Downloads
Kohei Asao, Haruki Seitani, Ara Stepanyan and TengTeng Xu
2025/183: Did R&D Misallocation Contribute to Slower Growth? Downloads
Nils Lehr
2025/182: Macroeconomic Exposure to the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism: The Case of the Middle East and Central Asia Downloads
Mariz Abdou, Hasan Dudu, Kerstin Gerling and Dalia Kadissi
2025/181: Targeted Transparency: Sectoral Approach to Beneficial Ownership in Procurement and Real Estate Downloads
Ivana Rossi, Chady El Khoury, Indulekha Thomas, Luisa Malcherek and Mohammed Al Janahi
2025/180: Relocation of Global Value Chains: The Role of Mexico Downloads
Francisco Arizala, Tomohide Mineyama and Hugo Tuesta
2025/179: Tread with Care: Benefits and Costs of Domestic Debt Restructurings Downloads
Jean-Marc Atsebi and Jeta Menkulasi
2025/178: Patterns of Invoicing Currency in Global Trade in a Fragmenting World Economy Downloads
Emine Boz, Anja Brüggen, Camila Casas, Georgios Georgiadis, Gita Gopinath and Arnaud Mehl
2025/177: Monetary Policy Transmission in Euroized Countries: Evidence from Emerging Europe Downloads
Wentong Chen, Fazurin Jamaludin, Florian Misch, Alex Pienkowski, Mengxue Wang and Zeju Zhu
2025/176: Afghan Exodus: Regional Macroeconomic Implications and Policy Challenges Downloads
Rhea Gupta, Chandana Kularatne, Dirk Muir, Pedro Rodriguez and Li Zeng
2025/175: Sri Lanka’s Sovereign Debt Restructuring: Lessons from Complex Processes Downloads
Peter Breuer, Sandesh Dhungana and Mike Li
2025/174: Gulf Cooperation Council Diversification: The Role of Foreign Investments and Sovereign Wealth Funds Downloads
Yevgeniya Korniyenko and Weining Xin
2025/173: Monetary Policy Effectiveness in Kazakhstan: Results With a Small Macro Model Downloads
Gregorio Impavido
2025/172: A Python Package to Assist Macroframework Forecasting: Concepts and Examples Downloads
Sakai Ando, Shuvam Das and Sultan Orazbayev
2025/171: Payment Frictions, Capital Flows, and Exchange Rates Downloads
Marco Reuter, Itai Agur, Alexander Copestake, Maria Martinez Peria and Ken Teoh
2025/170: Integrating Climate Change into Macroeconomic Analysis: A Review of Impact Channels, Data, Models, and Scenarios Downloads
Pritha Mitra, Mehdi Raissi, Bruno Versailles, Samuele Centorrino, Maksym Ivanyna, Koralai Kirabaeva, Emanuele Massetti, Mariza Montes de Oca Leon, Ha Nguyen, William Oman, Nooman Rebei, Filippos Tagklis, Alice Tianbo Zhang, Christoph Ungerer, Javier Uruñuela López and Sha Yu
2025/169: The Impact of Central Bank Climate Communication on Green Bonds Downloads
Marina Conesa Martinez
2025/168: Dissecting Medium-Term Growth Prospects for Asia Downloads
Natasha Che, Federico Diez, Anne Oeking and Weining Xin
2025/167: Impact of Cross-Border Migration on the Gender Gap in Labor Force Participation in Latin America and in the Caribbean Countries Downloads
Cassie Chen Xiang and Manuk Ghazanchyan
2025/166: Inside (the) Money Machine: Modeling Liquidity, Maturity and Credit Transformations Downloads
Shalva Mkhatrishvili
2025/165: Efficiency Aspects of the Value Added Tax Downloads
Ruud de Mooij, Shafik Hebous and Michael Keen
2025/164: Beyond Costs: The Dominant Role of Strategic Complementarities in Pricing Downloads
Elías Albagli, Francesco Grigoli, Emiliano Luttini, Dagoberto Quevedo and Marco Rojas
2025/163: Bilateral Trade in Services: Insights from A New Database Downloads
Nan Li, Sergii Meleshchuk, Qiuyan Yin, Dennis Zhao and Robert Zymek
2025/162: Sign Restrictions with a New-Keynesian Macro Model: Results From a “Quasi-Agnostic” Identification Procedure Downloads
Gregorio Impavido
2025/161: Housing Booms and Productivity Growth Downloads
Yuanchen Yang, Flora Lutz and Lucy Qian Liu
2025/160: Measuring Monetary Policy Stance in Sub-Saharan African Emerging and Frontier Markets Downloads
Johanna Tiedemann, Olivier Bizimana and Shant Arzoumanian
2025/159: Making Cost Data Work for Public Financial Management Downloads
Lorena Rivero del Paso, Chloe Cho and Ramon Narvaez Terron
2025/158: Macroeconomic and Fiscal Consequences of Quantitative Easing Downloads
Tobias Adrian, Christopher Erceg, Marcin Kolasa, Jesper Linde and Pawel Zabczyk
2025/157: Potential Growth and Productivity in the Caribbean Downloads
Alexander Amundsen, Sophia Chen, Pierre Guérin, Sinem Kiliç Çelik and Masahiro Nishida
2025/156: Economic Tectonics: A Closer Look at Structural Change and Productivity Trends in the U.S. Economy Downloads
Belinda Azenui, Sandile Hlatshwayo and A. Spence
2025/155: Industrial Policy in China: Quantification and Impact on Misallocation Downloads
Daniel Garcia-Macia, Siddharth Kothari and Yifan Tao
2025/154: Ramsey-Optimal Fiscal Spending and Reserve Accumulation Policies under Volatile Aid Downloads
Ioana Moldovan, Shu-Chun Yang and Luis-Felipe Zanna
2025/153: Breaking Parity: Equilibrium Exchange Rates and Currency Premia Downloads
Mai Dao, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Oleg Itskhoki
2025/152: Monetary Policy Transmission to Lending Rates: Evidence from Brazil Downloads
Daniel Leigh and Rui Xu
2025/151: Sovereign Debt Auctions with Strategic Interactions Downloads
Ricardo Alves Monteiro and Stelios Fourakis
2025/150: Money Market Fund Growth During Hiking Cycles: A Global Analysis Downloads
Kleopatra Nikolaou
2025/149: Options for Strengthening Ireland’s Fiscal Framework Downloads
Rossen Rozenov, Waikei Lam, Yang Yang and Yinjie Yu
2025/148: Accounting and Fiscal Reporting in EU Countries Downloads
Sage De Clerck, Joseph Cavanagh and Mariano D'Amore
2025/147: Trade Partners’ Responses to US Tariffs Downloads
Lorenzo Rotunno and Michele Ruta
2025/146: Financial Imbalances, Systemic Stress, and Macroprudential Implications Downloads
Knarik Ayvazyan and Etienne Yehoue
2025/145: Oil Shocks and Labor Market Developments Downloads
Diego Gomes, Lisa Kolovich and Hannah Yi Wei
2025/144: Building Macroeconomic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Persistent Temperature Changes: The Case of Peru Downloads
Zamid Aligishiev and Daria Kolpakova
2025/143: Industrial Policies and Firm Performance: A Nuanced Relationship Downloads
Rafael Machado Parente, Sandra Baquie, Yueling Huang, Florence Jaumotte, Jaden Kim and Samuel Pienknagura
2025/142: The Impact of Debt and Deficits on Long-Term Interest Rates in the US Downloads
Davide Furceri, Carlos Goncalves and Hongchi Li
2025/141: Decrypting Crypto: How to Estimate International Stablecoin Flows Downloads
Marco Reuter
2025/140: Missing Imports in the Euro Area: Domestic Monetary Policy, Cross-Border Synchronization, and Demand Composition Downloads
Francesca Caselli and Allan Dizioli
2025/139: Navigating the Evolving Landscape of External Financing in Sub-Saharan Africa Downloads
Adrian Alter, Khushboo Khandelwal, Thibault Lemaire, Hamza Mighri, Can Sever and Luc Tucker
2025/138: Global Commodity Inflation Pass-through: Vulnerability of Small Island Developing States Downloads
Laron Alleyne and Patrick Blagrave
2025/137: Understanding Inflation Dynamics in Afghanistan Downloads
Karim Badr
2025/136: Financial Boom and Bust in the 19th Century: How Bad Was Germany’s Gründerkrise? Downloads
Johannes Wiegand
2025/135: A Macroeconomic Framework for Long-Term Resilience and Growth Downloads
David Bartolini, Andrew Ceber, Valerie Cerra, Pedro Juarros, Yujin Kim, Junko Mochizuki and Christine Richmond
2025/134: Estimated Monthly National Accounts for the United States Downloads
Philip Barrett
2025/133: Global Financial Spillovers of Chinese Macroeconomic Surprises Downloads
Camila Gutierrez, Javier Turen and Alejandro Vicondoa
2025/132: Time-Varying Impacts of Government Spending on CO2 Emissions Downloads
Stefano Di Bucchianico, Mario Di Serio, Matteo Fragetta and Giovanni Melina
2025/131: Strategies for Africa's Climate Resilience: Trade and Practices Downloads
Samantha Borkhoche, Eman Abdulla, Edward Gemayel, Vidhi Maheshwari and Faten Saliba
2025/130: The Drivers and Macroeconomic Impacts of Low-Carbon Innovation: A Cross-Country Exploration Downloads
Zeina Hasna, Henry Hatton, Florence Jaumotte, Jaden Kim, Kamiar Mohaddes and Samuel Pienknagura
2025/129: Demystifying Trade Patterns In A Fragmenting World Downloads
Tatjana Schulze and Weining Xin
2025/128: What Are Empirical Monetary Policy Shocks? Estimating the Term Structure of Policy News Downloads
Jonathan Adams and Philip Barrett
2025/127: Repo Market Volatility and the U.S. Debt Ceiling Downloads
Mai Dao, Brandon Tan and Jing Zhou
2025/126: Integrating Fragmented Networks: The Value of Interoperability in Money and Payments Downloads
Alexander Copestake, Divya Kirti, Maria Martinez Peria and Yao Zeng
2025/125: The EU's CBAM: Implications for Member States and Trading Partners Downloads
Geoffroy Dolphin and Gianluigi Ferrucci
2025/124: Personal Insolvency and Data Collection Systems Downloads
José Garrido, Jason Kilborn and Anjum Rosha
2025/123: Real Equilibrium Interest Rates in the Euro Area Downloads
Robert Beyer and Luis Brandão-Marques
2025/122: How Do Remittances Affect the Real Exchange Rate? An Empirical Investigation Downloads
Alina Carare, Juan Celis, Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov and Yasumasa Morito
2025/121: A Quarterly Projection Model for Tonga Downloads
Sam Ouliaris, Celine Rochon and Daniel Taumoepeau
2025/120: Global Cross-Border Payments: A $1 Quadrillion Evolving Market? Downloads
Eugenio Cerutti, Melih Firat and Martina Hengge
2025/119: Testing the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in West and Central Africa Downloads
Abdoul Wane, Carlos de Resende and Jing Xie
2025/118: Should Tax Be King? The Debate over Tax Priority in Insolvency Downloads
Irving Aw, Brendan Crowley and José Garrido
2025/117: Forging Strength: Exploring the Dynamic Interplay between Institutions and State Capacity Downloads
Patrick Imam and Joao Jalles
2025/116: Growth, Interrupted: How Crises delay Global Convergence Downloads
Patrick Imam and Jonathan Temple
2025/115: Natural Bank Reliance Downloads
Hannah Winterberg
2025/114: Making the EU’s Multiannual Financial Framework Fit for Purpose Downloads
Matthias Busse, Huidan Lin, Malhar Nabar and Jiae Yoo
2025/113: Lifting Binding Constraints on Growth in Europe: Actionable Priorities to Deepen the Single Market Downloads
Nathaniel Arnold, Allan Dizioli, Alexandra Fotiou, Jan-Martin Frie, Burcu Hacibedel, Tara Iyer, Huidan Lin, Malhar Nabar, Hui Tong and Frederik Toscani
2025/112: What is Needed for Convergence? The Role of Capital and Finance Downloads
Bryan Hardy and Can Sever
2025/111: Growth Strategies and Diversification in the Pacific Islands Countries Downloads
Gabriela Cugat
2025/110: No Quick Fix: The Recovery and Resilience Plan and External Position in Greece Downloads
Zamid Aligishiev and Robert Blotevogel
2025/109: From Text to Quantified Insights: A Large-Scale LLM Analysis of Central Bank Communication Downloads
Thiago Silva, Kei Moriya and Romain Veyrune
2025/108: Cyclical Fiscal Multipliers: Policy Mix and Financial Friction Puzzle Downloads
Zamid Aligishiev and Hamed Ghiaie
2025/107: Interest Rate Sensitivity Scenarios to Guide Monetary Policy Downloads
Allan Dizioli
2025/106: Digitalization: A Catalyst for Intergenerational Occupational Mobility? Downloads
Mame Astou Diouf, Boileau Loko and Rasmané Ouedraogo
2025/105: Scenario Synthesis and Macroeconomic Risk Downloads
Tobias Adrian, Domenico Giannone, Matteo Luciani and Mike West
2025/104: Europe’s National-Level Structural Reform Priorities Downloads
Nina Budina, Oyun Adilbish, Diego Cerdeiro, Romain Duval, Balázs Égert, Dmitriy Kovtun, Anh Thi Ngoc Nguyen, Augustus Panton and Michelle Tejada
2025/103: Long and Short-term Impact of Tourism on Growth in Small Developing States Downloads
Daniel Cunha, Rodrigo Garcia-Verdu and Pedro Juca Maciel
2025/102: Supply Chain Diversification and Resilience Downloads
JaeBin Ahn and Brandon Tan
2025/101: Fiscal Multipliers in Mongolia Downloads
Tigran Poghosyan
2025/100: Labor Market Consequences of Homicides: Evidence from Mexico Downloads
Lorenzo Aldeco Leo, Matteo Ghilardi and Hugo Tuesta
2025/099: Laying the Ground for Scaling up Climate Finance in Sub-Saharan Africa Downloads
Edward Gemayel, Samuele Rosa, Vidhi Maheshwari, Christoph Ungerer and Peter Lindner
2025/098: Do Industrial Policies Increase Trade Competitiveness? Downloads
Yueling Huang, Sandra Baquie, Florence Jaumotte, Jaden Kim, Yucheng Lu, Rafael Machado Parente and Samuel Pienknagura
2025/097: Macro-Financial Policies and Vulnerabilities in IMF-Supported Programs Downloads
Yazan Al-Karablieh, José Marzluf, Hector Perez-Saiz, Azzam Santosa and Fabian Valencia
2025/096: From Banks to Nonbanks: Macroprudential and Monetary Policy Effects on Corporate Lending Downloads
Bruno Albuquerque, Eugenio Cerutti, Nanyu Chen and Melih Firat
2025/095: QPM-Based Analysis of Weather Shocks and Monetary Policy in Developing Countries Downloads
Valeriu Nalban and Luis-Felipe Zanna
2025/094: The Rise and Retreat of US Inflation: An Update Downloads
Laurence Ball, Daniel Leigh and Prachi Mishra
2025/093: Nowcasting Global Trade from Space Downloads
Serkan Arslanalp, Seung Mo Choi, Parisa Kamali, Robin Koepke, Matthew McKetty, Michele Ruta, Mario Saraiva, Alessandra Sozzi and Jasper Verschuur
2025/092: Nowcasting Real GDP in Samoa Downloads
Geoffrey Heenan, Karras Lui, Ian Nield, Eucharist Muaulu, Viiaonaoperesi Reupena, Ivy Sabuga and Aiulu Tolovaa
2025/091: The Energy Origins of the Global Inflation Surge Downloads
Jorge Alvarez and Thomas Kroen
2025/090: Missing Home-Buyers and Rent Inflation: The Role of Interest Rates and Mortgage Underwriting Standards Downloads
Alessia De Stefani
2025/089: Leveraging Digital Technologies in Boosting Tax Collection Downloads
Manabu Nose, Nicola Pierri and Jiro Honda
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