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IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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2025/003: Drivers of Inflation in the Caucasus and Central Asia Downloads
Maria Atamanchuk, Alejandro Hajdenberg, Dalia Kadissi, Giulio Lisi and Nasir Rao
2025/002: The Scalability of Credit-Enhanced EM Climate Debt: What Role Can Guarantees, Collateralization, Securitizations, and Investment Funds Play? Downloads
Peter Lindner, Ananthakrishnan Prasad and Jean-Marie Masse
2025/001: Market Power in the Middle East Downloads
Yevgeniya Korniyenko, Ahmed Tohamy and Weining Xin
2024/264: Chinese Housing Market Sentiment Index: A Generative AI Approach and An Application to Monetary Policy Transmission Downloads
Kaiji Chen and Yunhui Zhao
2024/263: Trade Policy and Jobs in Vietnam: The Unintended Consequences of US-China Trade Tensions Downloads
Lorenzo Rotunno, Sanchari Roy, Anri Sakakibara and Pierre-Louis Vézina
2024/262: Industrial Policy and State Ownership: How Do Commercial Banks Allocate Credit in China? Downloads
Ying Xu
2024/261: On Cross-Border Crypto Flows: Measurement Drivers and Policy Implications Downloads
Pamela Cardozo, Andrés Fernández, Jerzy Jiang and Felipe Rojas
2024/260: Monetary Policy and Inflation Scares Downloads
Christopher Erceg, Jesper Lindé and Mathias Trabandt
2024/259: Industrialization and the Big Push: Theory and Evidence from South Korea Downloads
Jaedo Choi and Younghun Shim
2024/258: Chasing the Dream: Industry-Level Productivity Developments in Europe Downloads
Serhan Cevik, Sadhna Naik and Keyra Primus
2024/257: A Confidence-Financial Inclusion Nexus in the Caucasus and Central Asia? Downloads
Kalin Tintchev and Kady Keita
2024/256: The Urgency of Conflict Prevention – A Macroeconomic Perspective Downloads
Hannes Mueller, Christopher Rauh, Benjamin Seimon and Raphael Espinoza
2024/255: Size and Resilience of the Blue Economy in Pacific Island Economies Downloads
Fabien Gonguet and Junting Zhou
2024/254: G3MOD: A Multi-Country Global Forecasting Model Downloads
Iaroslav Miller, Daniel Baksa, Philippe Karam and Tugrul Vehbi
2024/253: The Dynamics of Trade Integration and Fragmentation in LAC Downloads
Rafael Machado Parente and Flavien Moreau
2024/252: Reconciling Random Walks and Predictability: A Dual- Component Model of Exchange Rate Dynamics Downloads
Bas Bakker
2024/251: Output Gap Uncertainty and Fiscal Policy Adjustment in Real-Time in Emerging Economies Downloads
Giacomo Cattelan and Boaz Nandwa
2024/250: A Bitter Aftertaste: How State Aid Affects Recipient Firms and Their Competitors in Europe Downloads
Luis Brandão-Marques and Hasan Toprak
2024/249: Industrial Policy in Europe: A Single Market Perspective Downloads
Andrew Hodge, Roberto Piazza, Fuad Hasanov, Xun Li, Maryam Vaziri, Atticus Weller and Yu Ching Wong
2024/248: The Heterogeneous Impacts of Firm Upgrading on Energy Intensity Downloads
Povilas Lastauskas, Ziran Ding and Mustapha Douch
2024/247: Effects of IMF-Supported Programs on Gender Inequality Downloads
Theo Eicher, Reina Kawai Eskimez and Monique Newiak
2024/246: Riding Unicorns: Startups and Venture Capital in Japan Downloads
Salih Fendoglu and TengTeng Xu
2024/245: The Role of Corporate Cash Holdings in the Transmission of Monetary Policy Tightening Downloads
JaeBin Ahn, Euihyun Bae and Jing Zhou
2024/244: Remittances in Times of Uncertainty: Understanding the Dynamics and Implications Downloads
Patrick Imam, Kangni Kpodar, Djoulassi Oloufade and Vigninou Gammadigbe
2024/243: Global Contagion of Financial Reforms Downloads
Nan Li, Chris Papageorgiou, Tong Xu and Tao Zha
2024/242: Bilateral Trade in Services and Exchange Rates: Evidence of Dominant Currency Pricing Downloads
Nan Li and Sergii Meleshchuk
2024/241: New Evidence on the US Excess Return on Foreign Portfolios Downloads
Carol C. Bertaut, Stephanie Curcuru, Ester Faia and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
2024/240: Implementing Risk-Based Solvency for Insurers—Lessons from Kenya, Mexico, and South Africa Downloads
Peter Windsor, Suzette Vogelsang, Christiaan Henning, Kerwin Martin, Elias Omondi, Gerardo Rubio and Jooste Steynberg
2024/239: Intimate Partner Violence and Women’s Economic Empowerment: Evidence from Indian States Downloads
Monique Newiak, Ratna Sahay and Navya Srivastava
2024/238: China’s Path to Sustainable and Balanced Growth Downloads
Dirk Muir, Natalija Novta and Anne Oeking
2024/237: Quarterly Projection Model for the Bank of Ghana: Extensions and Applications Downloads
Philip Abradu-Otoo, Joseph Acquah, James Attuquaye, Simon Harvey, Francis Loloh, Shalva Mkhatrishvili, Valeriu Nalban, Daniel Ngoh, Victor Osei and Michael Quansah
2024/236: Foreign Exchange Intervention Under the Integrated Policy Framework: The Case of India Downloads
Jesper Lindé, Patrick Schneider, Nujin Suphaphiphat and Hou Wang
2024/235: Growth Convergence and Public Finances of India and its States Downloads
Rajan Govil and Khyati Chauhan
2024/234: Citizens' Perceptions of Tax Authorities and Tax Efficiency in Africa Downloads
Telma Yamou, Alun Thomas and Kaihao Cai
2024/233: Identifying Determinants of FX Stability in Mozambique Downloads
Samuel Mann and Alexis Meyer-Cirkel
2024/232: Public Investment Management Bottlenecks in Low-income Countries Downloads
Khaled Eltokhy, Nicoletta Feruglio, Kezhou Miao, Arturo Navarro and Eivind Tandberg
2024/231: Demand for Ethanol Considering Spatially Differentiated Fuel Retailers Downloads
Simone Cuiabano
2024/230: The Political Economy of Fossil Fuel Subsidy Removal: Evidence from Bolivia and Mexico Downloads
Mariza Montes de Oca Leon, Achim Hagen and Franziska Holz
2024/229: Dynamic Development Accounting and Relative Income Traps Downloads
Patrick Imam and Jonathan Temple
2024/228: Following the Money: Who is Keeping Coal Alive? Downloads
Gregor Schwerhoff and Mouhamadou Sy
2024/227: Inelastic Demand Meets Optimal Supply of Risky Sovereign Bonds Downloads
Matías Moretti, Lorenzo Pandolfi, German Villegas Bauer, Sergio Schmukler and Tomas Williams
2024/226: Central Bank Digital Currencies and Financial Stability: Balance Sheet Analysis and Policy Choices Downloads
Romain Bouis, R. Gaston Gelos, Fumitaka Nakamura, Paavo Miettinen, Erlend Nier and Gabriel Soderberg
2024/225: Reported Social Unrest Index: September 2024 Update Downloads
Philip Barrett
2024/224: A New Dataset of High-Frequency Monetary Policy Shocks Downloads
Marijn Bolhuis, Sonali Das and Bella Yao
2024/223: Parametric Pension Reform Options in Korea Downloads
Daniel Baksa, Boele Bonthuis, Si Guo and Zsuzsa Munkacsi
2024/222: Divergence in Post-Pandemic Earnings Growth: Evidence from Micro Data Downloads
Sophia Chen and Do Lee
2024/221: IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries: Fragile versus Non-Fragile States Downloads
Kaihao Cai, Edouard Martin and Felix Vardy
2024/220: Inflation and Labor Markets: A Bottom-Up View Downloads
Sophia Chen, Deniz Igan, Do Lee and Prachi Mishra
2024/219: What Can Artificial Intelligence Do for Stagnant Productivity in Latin America and the Caribbean? Downloads
Bas Bakker, Sophia Chen, Dmitry Vasilyev, Olga Bespalova, Moya Chin, Daria Kolpakova, Archit Singhal and Yuanchen Yang
2024/218: Europe’s Shift to EVs Amid Intensifying Global Competition Downloads
Philippe Wingender, Jiaxiong Yao, Robert Zymek, Benjamin Carton, Diego Cerdeiro and Anke Weber
2024/217: Shifting Perceptions: Unpacking Public Support for Immigrant Workers Integration in the Labor Market Downloads
Silvia Albrizio, Hippolyte Balima, Bertrand Gruss, Eric Huang and Colombe Ladreit
2024/216: Private Participation and its Discontents: Insights from Large-Scale Surveys Downloads
Silvia Albrizio, Hippolyte Balima, Bertrand Gruss, Eric Huang and Colombe Ladreit
2024/215: Beyond Energy: Inflationary Effects of Metals Price Shocks in Production Networks Downloads
Jorge Miranda-Pinto, Andrea Pescatori, Martin Stuermer and Xueliang Wang
2024/214: Global Shocks Unfolding: Lessons from Fragile and Conflict-affected States Downloads
Jocelyn Boussard, Chiara Castrovillari, Tomohide Mineyama, Marta Spinella, Bilal Tabti and Maxwell Tuuli
2024/213: The Economics of Decarbonizing Electricity Production Downloads
Gregor Schwerhoff
2024/212: Measuring Soft Power: A New Global Index Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Tales Padilha
2024/211: Migration into the EU: Stocktaking of Recent Developments and Macroeconomic Implications Downloads
Francesca Caselli, Huidan Lin, Frederik Toscani and Jiaxiong Yao
2024/210: An Updated Action-based Dataset of Fiscal Consolidation Downloads
Gustavo Adler, Cian Allen, Giovanni Ganelli and Daniel Leigh
2024/209: The Economic Impact of Fiscal Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from a New Cross-Country Database Downloads
Gee Hee Hong, Shikun (Barry) Ke and Anh Nguyen
2024/208: Transfers, Excess Savings, and Large Fiscal Multipliers Downloads
Gene Kindberg-Hanlon
2024/207: Committing to Grow: The Full Impact of WTO Accessions Downloads
André Brotto, Adam Jakubik, Roberta Piermartini and Fulvio Silvy
2024/206: Mending the Crystal Ball: Enhanced Inflation Forecasts with Machine Learning Downloads
Yang Liu, Ran Pan and Rui Xu
2024/205: Chinese Banks and Their EMDE Borrowers: Have Their Relationships Changed in Times of Geoeconomic Fragmentation? Downloads
Catherine Casanova, Eugenio Cerutti and Swapan-Kumar Pradhan
2024/204: Satellite-Based Census of Residential Buildings: Application for Climate Risk Assessment Downloads
Andinet Woldemichael and Iyke Maduako
2024/203: Systemic Implications of Financial Inclusion Downloads
Sami Ben Naceur, Bertrand Candelon and Farah Mugrabi
2024/202: Rising Temperature, Nuanced Effects: Evidence from Seasonal and Sectoral Data Downloads
Ha Nguyen and Samuel Pienknagura
2024/201: Navigating Minefields and Headwinds: National Security, Demographic Shifts, Climate Change and Fiscal Policy in Lithuania Downloads
Serhan Cevik
2024/200: Fiscal Risk Sharing in China: Is It Significant and How to Further Improve It? Downloads
Fei Han, Grace Li Bin and Chenqi Zhou
2024/199: The Labor Market Impact of Artificial Intelligence: Evidence from US Regions Downloads
Yueling Huang
2024/198: Climate Policy Diffusion Across US States Downloads
Mitali Das, Manuel Linsenmeier and Gregor Schwerhoff
2024/197: Beyond the Dikes: Flood Scenarios for Financial Stability Risk Analysis Downloads
Caterina Lepore and Junghwan Mok
2024/196: A Gravity Model of Geopolitics and Financial Fragmentation Downloads
Mario Catalan, Salih Fendoglu and Tomohiro Tsuruga
2024/195: Aggregate Shocks and the Formation of Preferences and Beliefs Downloads
Paola Giuliano and Antonio Spilimbergo
2024/194: Fiscal Discourse and Fiscal Policy Downloads
Yongquan Cao, Era Dabla-Norris and Enrico Di Gregorio
2024/193: Banking Law and Climate Change: Key Legal Issues Downloads
Mario Tamez, Ender Emre and Alessandro Gullo
2024/192: Central Banks and Climate Change: Key Legal Issues Downloads
Mario Tamez, Hans Weenink and Akihiro Yoshinaga
2024/191: Managing Remittances Inflows with Foreign Exchange Intervention Downloads
Maria-Angels Oliva and Nika Khinashvili
2024/190: Regime-Switching Factor Models and Nowcasting with Big Data Downloads
Omer Faruk Akbal
2024/189: Geopolitical Proximity and the Use of Global Currencies Downloads
Jakree Koosakul, Longmei Zhang and Maryam Zia
2024/188: How do Economic Growth and Food Inflation Affect Food Insecurity? Downloads
Christian Bogmans, Andrea Pescatori and Ervin Prifti
2024/187: Overview of the New Calibrated DSGE Model of the Economy of North Macedonia Downloads
Tibor Hlédik, Joana Madjoska, Mite Miteski and Jan Vlcek
2024/186: Currencies in Turbulence: Exploring the Impact of Natural Disasters on Exchange Rates Downloads
Anh Thi Ngoc Nguyen and Ha Nguyen
2024/185: Changing Climate in Brazil: Key Vulnerabilities and Opportunities Downloads
Chen Chen, Koralai Kirabaeva, Christina Kolerus, Ian Parry and Nate Vernon-Lin
2024/184: Investing in Climate Adaptation under Trade and Financing Constraints: Balanced Strategies for Food Security Downloads
Chen Chen, Koralai Kirabaeva and Danchen Zhao
2024/183: Advancing Labor Market Reforms in Korea Downloads
Stella Tam and Xin Xu
2024/182: Financial and Business Cycles: Shall We Dance?: An Application to Kazakhstan Downloads
Gregorio Impavido
2024/181: Taming Public Debt in Europe: Outlook, Challenges, and Policy Response Downloads
Saioa Armendariz, Ezequiel Cabezon, Larry Cui, Silvia Domit, Alina Iancu, Giacomo Magistretti, Rohan Srinivas and Yu Ching Wong
2024/180: Trade Implications of China's Subsidies Downloads
Lorenzo Rotunno and Michele Ruta
2024/179: How Widespread is FDI Fragmentation? Downloads
Joanne Tan
2024/178: Shedding Light on the Local Impact of Temperature Downloads
Da Hoang, Duong Trung Le, Ha Nguyen and Nikola Spatafora
2024/177: Programmability in Payment and Settlement Downloads
Xavier Lavayssière and Nicolas Zhang
2024/176: Industrial Policies for Innovation: A Cost-Benefit Framework Downloads
Daniel Garcia-Macia and Alexandre Sollaci
2024/175: The Joint Effect of Emigration and Remittances on Economic Growth and Labor Force Participation in Latin America and the Caribbean Downloads
Alina Carare, Alejandro Fiorito Baratas, Jessie Kilembe, Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov and Wenzhang Zhang
2024/174: Fiscal R-Star: Fiscal-Monetary Tensions and Implications for Policy Downloads
Marijn Bolhuis, Jakree Koosakul and Neil Shenai
2024/173: The Role of IMF Arrangements in Restoring Access to International Capital Markets Downloads
Joseph Kogan, Romina Kazandjian, Shijia Luo, Moustapha Mbohou and Hui Miao
2024/172: Okun in the Euro: New Evidence from Structural Okun Law’s Estimates for the Euro Area, 1979-2019 Downloads
Nauro Campos, Corrado Macchiarelli and Fotios Mitropoulos
2024/171: Labor Market Gender Gaps in Türkiye: A Bird’s Eye View Downloads
Silvia Domit and Damla Kesimal
2024/170: ECB Spillovers to Emerging Europe: The Past and Current Experience Downloads
Philipp Engler, Gianluigi Ferrucci, Pawel Zabczyk and Tianxiao Zheng
2024/169: Productive Capacities, Economic Vulnerability and Growth Volatility in Sub-Saharan Africa Downloads
Aminou Yaya
2024/168: Whose Asset Sales Matter? Downloads
Rhys Bidder, Jamie Coen, Caterina Lepore and Laura Silvetri
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