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The Macroeconomic and Welfare Benefits of Building Resilience in Disaster-Prone Developing Countries

Yehenew Endegnanew, Rafael Goncalves, Samuel Mann, Marina Mendes Tavares and Harold Zavarce

No 2025/013, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: Natural disasters often have high economic costs, setting back years of investment in developing countries. This paper develops a multi-sector DSGE model to study the macroeconomic and welfare implications of financing resilience-building using different fiscal instruments. The model includes developing countries’ macroeconomic and distributional features, such as a large unproductive rural sector, an incomplete credit market, and an informal sector. The results indicate that investing in resilience capital in a disaster-prone country improves welfare despite its high economic cost, but the financial instrument used to mobilize revenue matters.

Keywords: Resilient investment; natural disasters; macroeconomics; fiscal sustainability.; implications of financing resilience-building; resilient capital; welfare implication; revenue matter; credit market; Human capital; Consumption; Energy sector; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 46
Date: 2025-01-17
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge
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