IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
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2022/116: The Distributional Impact of a Carbon Tax in Asia and the Pacific

Cristian Alonso and Joey Kilpatrick

2022/115: The International Diffusion of Policies for Climate Change Mitigation

Manuel Linsenmeier, Adil Mohommad and Gregor Schwerhoff

2022/114: Tracking Economic and Financial Policies During COVID-19: An Announcement-Level Database

Divya Kirti, Yang Liu, Soledad Martinez Peria, Prachi Mishra and Jan Strasky

2022/113: Quantitative Easing and Credit Rating Agencies

Nordine Abidi, Matteo Falagiarda and Ixart Miquel-Flores

2022/112: Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Behavioral Open Economy Model

Marcin Kolasa, Sahil Ravgotra and Pawel Zabczyk

2022/111: Fiscal Decentralization Improves Social Outcomes When Countries Have Good Governance

Ryota Nakatani, Qianqian Zhang and Isaura Garcia Valdes

2022/110: Systematizing Macroframework Forecasting: High-Dimensional Conditional Forecasting with Accounting Identities

Sakai Ando and Taehoon Kim

2022/109: Measuring Quarterly Economic Growth from Outer Space

Robert Beyer, Yingyao Hu and Jiaxiong Yao

2022/108: Fintech, Female Employment, and Gender Inequality

Boileau Loko and Yuanchen Yang

2022/107: The Great Carbon Arbitrage

Tobias Adrian, Patrick Bolton and Alissa Kleinnijenhuis

2022/106: The Current Account Income Balance: External Adjustment Channel or Vulnerability Amplifier?

Alberto Behar and Ramin Hassan

2022/105: Voting Right Rotation, Behavior of Committee Members and Financial Market Reactions: Evidence from the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee

Michael Ehrmann, Robin Tietz and Bauke Visser

2022/104: Macroeconomic Effects of Market Structure Distortions: Evidence from French Cartels

Flavien Moreau and Ludovic Panon

2022/103: For Whom the Bell Tolls: Climate Change and Inequality

Serhan Cevik and Joao Jalles

2022/102: Rogue Waves: Climate Change and Firm Performance

Serhan Cevik and Fedor Miryugin

2022/101: Jobs Impact of Green Energy

Jaden Kim and Adil Mohommad

2022/100: Strengthening Public Expenditure Efficiency: Investment and Social Spending in Bulgaria

Jean-Jacques Hallaert and Keyra Primus

2022/099: Finance Vaccine Equity: Funding for Day-Zero of the Next Pandemic

Ruchir Agarwal and Tristan Reed

2022/098: Sovereign Eurobond Liquidity and Yields

Daniel Hardy

2022/097: Seven Finance & Trade Lessons from COVID-19 for Future Pandemics

Ruchir Agarwal and Gita Gopinath

2022/096: Do Monetary Policy Outcomes Promote Stability in Fragile Settings?

Oumar Diallo, Steve Gui-Diby and Patrick Imam

2022/095: Road Quality and Mean Speed Score

Marian Moszoro and Mauricio Soto

2022/094: Assessing Vulnerabilities to Corruption in Public Procurement and Their Price Impact

Aly Abdou, Olivier Basdevant, Elizabeth David-Barrett and Mihaly Fazekas

2022/093: Weather Shocks and Exchange Rate Flexibility

Selim Elekdag and Maxwell Tuuli

2022/092: Evolution of Remittances to CAPDR Countries and Mexico During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Aleksandra Babii, Alina Carare, Dmitry Vasilyev and Yorbol Yakhshilikov

2022/091: Inflation Dynamics in Advanced Economies: A Decomposition into Cyclical and Non-Cyclical Factors

Weicheng Lian and Andreas Freitag

2022/090: Bilateral Trade Imbalances

Alejandro Cunat and Robert Zymek

2022/089: The Japanese Labor Market During the COVID- 19 Pandemic

Shinya Kotera and Jochen M. Schmittmann

2022/088: Overcoming Data Sparsity: A Machine Learning Approach to Track the Real-Time Impact of COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa

Karim Barhoumi, Seung Mo Choi, Tara Iyer, Jiakun Li, Franck Ouattara, Andrew Tiffin and Jiaxiong Yao

2022/087: Advancing the Monetary Policy Toolkit through Outright Transfers

Sascha Buetzer

2022/086: Measuring Carbon Emissions of Foreign Direct Investment in Host Economies

Maria Borga, Achille Pegoue, Gregory Legoff, Alberto Sanchez Rodelgo, Dmitrii Entaltsev and Kenneth Egesa

2022/085: Digital Money and Central Bank Operations

Charles Kahn, Manmohan Singh and Jihad Alwazir

2022/084: Reported Social Unrest Index: March 2022 Update

Philip Barrett

2022/083: Cross-Border Central Bank Digital Currencies, Bank Runs and Capital Flows Volatility

Adina Popescu

2022/082: Fiscal Multipliers and Informality

Emilio Colombo, Davide Furceri, Pietro Pizzuto and Patrizio Tirelli

2022/081: Trade and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Lessons from French Firms

Mariya Brussevich, Chris Papageorgiou and Pauline Wibaux

2022/080: Fintech: Financial Inclusion or Exclusion?

Yoke Wang Tok and Dyna Heng

2022/079: The Impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act on Foreign Investment in the United States

Thornton Matheson, Alexander Klemm, Laura Power and Thomas Brosy

2022/078: Sovereign Cocos

Juan Carlos Hatchondo, Leonardo Martinez, Yasin Onder and Francisco Roch

2022/077: Sovereign Debt Repatriation During Crises

Serkan Arslanalp and Laura Sunder-Plassmann

2022/076: Public Debt and Real GDP: Revisiting the Impact

Constance de Soyres, Reina Kawai Eskimez and Mengxue Wang

2022/075: High Performance Export Portfolio: Design Growth-Enhancing Export Structure with Machine Learning

Natasha Che and Xuege Zhang

2022/074: Monetary Policy Transmission and Policy Coordination in China

Sonali Das and Wenting Song

2022/073: India’s Banks: Lending to Productive Firms?

Siddharth George, Divya Kirti, Soledad Martinez Peria and Rajesh Vijayaraghavan

2022/072: Shocks to Inflation Expectations

Philip Barrett and Jonathan Adams

2022/071: Corporate Vulnerabilities in the Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan in the Wake of COVID-19 Pandemic

Nordine Abidi and Mohamed Belkhir

2022/070: The Return of Expansionary Austerity: Firms’ Investment Response to Fiscal Adjustments in Emerging Markets

Nicolas Magud and Samuel Pienknagura

2022/069: Pandemic, Poverty, and Inequality: Evidence from India

Surjit Bhalla, Karan Bhasin and Arvind Virmani

2022/068: A Global Strategy to Manage the Long-Term Risks of COVID-19

Ruchir Agarwal, Gita Gopinath, Jeremy Farrar, Richard Hatchett and Peter Sands

2022/067: Monetary Policy in Disaster-Prone Developing Countries

Alessandro Cantelmo, Nikos Fatouros, Giovanni Melina and Chris Papageorgiou

2022/066: Policy Sequencing Towards Carbon Pricing - Empirical Evidence From G20 Economies and Other Major Emitters

Manuel Linsenmeier, Adil Mohommad and Gregor Schwerhoff

2022/065: What Drives Mortgage Default Risk in Europe and the U.S.?

Marco Gross, Thierry Tressel, Xiaodan Ding and Eugen Tereanu

2022/064: Household Vulnerability to Income Shocks in Emerging and Developing Asia: the Case of Cambodia, Nepal and Vietnam

Alessia De Stefani, Athene Laws and Alexandre Sollaci

2022/063: What Explains Remittance Fees? Panel Evidence

Thorsten Beck, Mathilde Janfils and Kangni Kpodar

2022/062: Social Versus Individual Work Preferences: Implications for Optimal Income Taxation

Zhiyong An and David Coady

2022/061: Shipping Costs and Inflation

Yan Carrière-Swallow, Pragyan Deb, Davide Furceri, Daniel Jiménez and Jonathan Ostry

2022/060: Crypto, Corruption, and Capital Controls: Cross-Country Correlations

Marwa Alnasaa, Nikolay Gueorguiev, Jiro Honda, Eslem Imamoglu, Paolo Mauro, Keyra Primus and Dmitriy Rozhkov

2022/059: Supply Chains and Port Congestion Around the World

András Komáromi, Diego Cerdeiro and Yang Liu

2022/058: The Stealth Erosion of Dollar Dominance: Active Diversifiers and the Rise of Nontraditional Reserve Currencies

Serkan Arslanalp, Barry Eichengreen and Chima Simpson-Bell

2022/057: Digitalization and Tax Compliance Spillovers: Evidence from a VAT e-Invoicing Reform in Peru

Matthieu Bellon, Era Dabla-Norris, Salma Khalid, Juan Carlos Paliza, Jillie Chang and Pilar Villena

2022/056: The Financial Performance and Macrofinancial Implications of Large State-Owned Enterprises in Sub-Saharan Africa

Torsten Wezel and Naly Carvalho

2022/055: Estimating the Employment and GDP Multiplier of Emergency Cash Transfers in Brazil

Daniel Cunha, Joana Pereira, Roberto Perrelli and Frederik Toscani

2022/054: Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa Fragile States: Evidence from Panel Estimations

Rodolfo Maino and Drilona Emrullahu

2022/053: The Availability, Methodological Soundness, and Scope of Consumer Price Statistics in 2020

Vanda Guerreiro, Andrew Baer and Anthony Silungwe

2022/052: Nowcasting GDP - A Scalable Approach Using DFM, Machine Learning and Novel Data, Applied to European Economies

Jean-Francois Dauphin, Kamil Dybczak, Morgan Maneely, Marzie Taheri Sanjani, Nujin Suphaphiphat, Yifei Wang and Hanqi Zhang

2022/051: South Africa: The Financial Sector-Sovereign Nexus

Heiko Hesse and Ken Miyajima

2022/050: The Nexus Between Public Enterprise Governance, Financial Performance, and Macroeconomic Vulnerabilities: An Application to Moldova

Amgad Hegazy and Arturo Navarro

2022/049: Strengthening the WAEMU Regional Fiscal Framework

Antonio David, Alexandre Nguyen-Duong and Hoda Selim

2022/048: Patterns and Drivers of Health Spending Efficiency

Mercedes Garcia-Escribano, Pedro Juarros and Tewodaj Mogues

2022/047: Financial Concerns and the Marginal Propensity to Consume in COVID Times: Evidence from UK Survey Data

Bruno Albuquerque and Georgina Green

2022/046: Has Chinese Aid Benefited Recipient Countries? Evidence from a Meta-Regression Analysis

Pierre Mandon and Martha Tesfaye Woldemichael

2022/045: Building Statistical Capacity in Fragile and Conflict-Affected States

Stephanie Medina Cas, Yasmin Alem and Jacinta Bernadette Shirakawa

2022/044: Consumption Effects of Mortgage Payment Holidays: Evidence during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Bruno Albuquerque and Alexandra Varadi

2022/043: Fix vs. Float: Evaluating the Transition to a Sustainable Equilibrium in Bolivia

Andres Gonzalez, Etibar Jafarov, Diego Rodriguez Guzman and Chris Walker

2022/042: Are Low-Skill Women Being Left Behind? Labor Market Evidence from the UK

Era Dabla-Norris, Carlo Pizzinelli and Jay Rappaport

2022/041: Watch What They Do, Not What They Say: Estimating Regulatory Costs from Revealed Preferences

Adrien Alvero, Sakai Ando and Kairong Xiao

2022/040: The Effect of Tariffs in Global Value Chains

Johannes Eugster, Florence Jaumotte, Margaux MacDonald and Roberto Piazza

2022/039: Sub-Saharan Africa: Building Resilience to Climate-Related Disasters

Eric M. Pondi Endengle, Seung Mo Choi and Pritha Mitra

2022/038: Determinants and Effects of Countries’ External Capital Structure: A Firm-Level Analysis

Uros Herman and Tobias Krahnke

2022/037: Tackling Legal Impediments to Women’s Economic Empowerment

Katharine Christopherson Puh, Audrey Yiadom, Juliet Johnson, Francisca Fernando, Hanan Yazid and Clara Thiemann

2022/036: Trust What You Hear: Policy Communication, Expectations, and Fiscal Credibility

Nicolas End and Gee Hee Hong

2022/035: Emerging Markets: Prospects and Challenges

Tryggvi Gudmundsson, Vladimir Klyuev, Leandro Medina, Boaz Nandwa, Dmitry Plotnikov, Francisco Schiffrer and Di Yang

2022/034: Digitalization and Resilience: Firm-level Evidence During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Nordine Abidi, Mehdi El Herradi and Sahra Sakha

2022/033: Preferences for Reforms: Endowments vs. Beliefs

Romain Duval, Yi Ji, Chris Papageorgiou, Ippei Shibata and Antonio Spilimbergo

2022/032: China's Declining Business Dynamism

Diego Cerdeiro and Cian Ruane

2022/031: Supply Bottlenecks: Where, Why, How Much, and What Next?

Oya Celasun, Niels-Jakob Hansen, Aiko Mineshima, Mariano Spector and Jing Zhou

2022/030: Secular Drivers of the Natural Rate of Interest in the United States: A Quantitative Evaluation

Josef Platzer and Marcel Peruffo

2022/029: 2020 Global Stocktaking of National Accounts Statistics: Availability for Policy and Surveillance

Anthony Silungwe, Andrew Baer and Vanda Guerreiro

2022/028: Dollar Invoicing, Global Value Chains, and the Business Cycle Dynamics of International Trade

David Cook and Nikhil Patel

2022/027: Falling Use of Cash and Demand for Retail Central Bank Digital Currency

Tanai Khiaonarong and David Humphrey

2022/026: Gendered Taxes: The Interaction of Tax Policy with Gender Equality

Maria Coelho, Aieshwarya Davis, Alexander Klemm and Carolina Osorio-Buitron

2022/025: Loss-of-Learning and the Post-Covid Recovery in Low-Income Countries

Edward Buffie, Christopher Adam, Luis-Felipe Zanna and Kangni Kpodar

2022/024: Exchange Rate Elasticities of International Tourism and the Role of Dominant Currency Pricing

Ding Ding and Yannick Timmer

2022/023: Impact of COVID-19 on Attitudes to Climate Change and Support for Climate Policies

Adil Mohommad and Evgenia Pugacheva

2022/022: Monetary Policy Frameworks: An Index and New Evidence

Filiz Unsal, Chris Papageorgiou and Hendre Garbers

2022/021: Usability of Bank Capital Buffers: The Role of Market Expectations

José Abad and Antonio Garcia Pascual

2022/020: Progress of the Personal Income Tax in Emerging and Developing Countries

Dora Benedek, Juan Carlos Benitez and Charles Vellutini

2022/019: E-commerce During Covid: Stylized Facts from 47 Economies

Alberto Cavallo, Prachi Mishra and Antonio Spilimbergo

2022/018: Inequality in the Spanish Labor Market During the COVID-19 Crisis

Ana Lariau and Lucy Qian Liu

2022/017: Revisiting the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Through an Industry-Level Differential Approach

Sangyup Choi, Tim Willems and Seung Yong Yoo