IMF Working Papers
From International Monetary Fund International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA. Contact information at EDIRC. Bibliographic data for series maintained by Akshay Modi (). Access Statistics for this working paper series.
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- 2019/301: Immigration and Wage Dynamics in Germany

- Sabine Klinger, Anvar Musayev, Jean-Marc Natal and Enzo Weber
- 2019/300: Global Value Chains and External Adjustment: Do Exchange Rates Still Matter?

- Gustavo Adler, Sergii Meleshchuk and Carolina Osorio-Buitron
- 2019/299: Cross-Border Currency Exposures

- Agustín Bénétrix, Deepali Gautam, Luciana Juvenal and Martin Schmitz
- 2019/298: Political Costs of Tax-Based Consolidations

- Chuling Chen, Era Dabla-Norris, Jay Rappaport and Aleksandra Zdzienicka
- 2019/297: Inflation and Public Debt Reversals in Advanced Economies

- Ichiro Fukunaga, Takuji Komatsuzaki and Hideaki Matsuoka
- 2019/296: Autonomous Factor Forecast Quality: The Case of the Eurosystem

- Romain Veyrune and Shaoyu Guo
- 2019/295: Post-Crisis Changes in Global Bank Business Models: A New Taxonomy

- John Caparusso, Yingyuan Chen, Peter Dattels, Rohit Goel and Paul Hiebert
- 2019/294: Innovate to Lead or Innovate to Prevail: When do Monopolistic Rents Induce Growth?

- Roberto Piazza and Yu Zheng
- 2019/293: The Role of Board Oversight in Central Bank Governance: Key Legal Design Issues

- Wouter Bossu and Arthur D. P. Rossi
- 2019/292: Completing the Market: Generating Shadow CDS Spreads by Machine Learning

- Nan Hu, Jian Li and Alexis Meyer-Cirkel
- 2019/291: Do Fiscal Rules Cause Fiscal Discipline Over the Electoral Cycle?

- Kodjovi Eklou and Marcelin Joanis
- 2019/290: Sovereign Asset and Liability Management in Emerging Market Countries: The Case of Uruguay

- André Amante, Phillip Anderson, Thordur Jonasson, Herman Kamil and Michael Papaioannou
- 2019/289: Is the Public Investment Multiplier Higher in Developing Countries? An Empirical Exploration

- Alejandro Izquierdo, Ruy Lama, Juan Medina, Jorge Puig, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos Végh Gramont and Guillermo Vuletin
- 2019/288: Automation, Skills and the Future of Work: What do Workers Think?

- Carlos Mulas-Granados, Richard Varghese, Vizhdan Boranova, Alice deChalendar and Judith Wallenstein
- 2019/287: The Impact of Profit Shifting on Economic Activity and Tax Competition

- Alexander Klemm and Li Liu
- 2019/286: Hidden Treasure: The Impact of Automatic Exchange of Information on Cross-Border Tax Evasion

- Sebastian Beer, Maria Coelho and Sebastien Leduc
- 2019/285: Money Creation in Fiat and Digital Currency Systems

- Marco Gross and Christoph Siebenbrunner
- 2019/284: Liquidity Choice and Misallocation of Credit

- Ehsan Ebrahimy
- 2019/283: Disposal is Not Free: Fiscal Instruments to Internalize the Environmental Costs of Solid Waste

- Thornton Matheson
- 2019/282: Labor Market Dynamics: A Hidden Markov Approach

- Ippei Shibata
- 2019/281: A Three-Country Macroeconomic Model for Portugal

- Alex Pienkowski
- 2019/280: Wage Growth and Inflation in Europe: A Puzzle?

- Vizhdan Boranova, Raju Huidrom, Sylwia Nowak, Petia Topalova, Volodymyr Tulin and Richard Varghese
- 2019/279: Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows

- R. Gaston Gelos, Lucyna Gornicka, Robin Koepke, Ratna Sahay and Silvia Sgherri
- 2019/278: Explaining the Shadow Economy in Europe: Size, Causes and Policy Options

- Ben Kelmanson, Koralai Kirabaeva, Leandro Medina, Borislava Mircheva and Jason Weiss
- 2019/277: Exchange Rate Volatility and Pass-Through to Inflation in South Africa

- Ken Miyajima
- 2019/276: What is the Impact of Increased Business Competition?

- Sónia Félix and Chiara Maggi
- 2019/275: Big Data on Vessel Traffic: Nowcasting Trade Flows in Real Time

- Serkan Arslanalp, Marco Marini and Patrizia Tumbarello
- 2019/274: What Is Real and What Is Not in the Global FDI Network?

- Jannick Damgaard, Thomas Elkjaer and Niels Johannesen
- 2019/273: News-based Sentiment Indicators

- Chengyu Huang, Sean Simpson, Daria Ulybina and Agustin Roitman
- 2019/272: The Dynamics of Non-Performing Loans during Banking Crises: A New Database

- Anil Ari, Sophia Chen and Lev Ratnovski
- 2019/271: Is Digitalization Driving Domestic Inflation?

- Balázs Csontó, Yuxuan Huang and Camilo Tovar
- 2019/270: The Spending Challenge for Reaching the SDGs in Sub-Saharan Africa: Lessons Learned from Benin and Rwanda

- Delphine Prady and Mouhamadou Sy
- 2019/269: Deepening the EU’s Single Market for Services

- Christian Ebeke, Jan-Martin Frie and Louise Rabier
- 2019/268: How Do Changing U.S. Interest Rates Affect Banks in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Countries?

- Olumuyiwa Adedeji, Yacoub Alatrash and Divya Kirti
- 2019/267: Tourism In Belize: Ensuring Sustained Growth

- Julian Chow
- 2019/266: Sovereign Risk in Macroprudential Solvency Stress Testing

- Andreas Jobst and Hiroko Oura
- 2019/265: Bank Capital and the Cost of Equity

- Mohamed Belkhir, Sami Ben Naceur, Ralph Chami and Anis Semet
- 2019/264: Network Determinants of Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions

- Tatiana Didier, Sebastian Herrador and Magali Pinat
- 2019/263: China’s Productivity Convergence and Growth Potential—A Stocktaking and Sectoral Approach

- Min Zhu, Longmei Zhang and Daoju Peng
- 2019/262: Recent Shifts in Capital Flow Patterns in Korea: An Investor Base Perspective

- Niels-Jakob Hansen and Signe Krogstrup
- 2019/261: Guilt, Gender, and Work-Life Balance in Japan: A Choice Experiment

- Chie Aoyagi and Alistair Munro
- 2019/260: Productivity and Tax Evasion

- Era Dabla-Norris, Mark Gradstein, Fedor Miryugin and Florian Misch
- 2019/259: Quality Upgrading and Export Performance in the Asian Growth Miracle

- Chris Papageorgiou, Fidel Perez-Sebastian and Nikola Spatafora
- 2019/258: Assessing Macro-Financial Risks of Household Debt in China

- Fei Han, Emilia Jurzyk, Wei Guo, Yun He and Nadia Rendak
- 2019/257: Informality and Aggregate Productivity: The Case of Mexico

- Jorge Alvarez and Cian Ruane
- 2019/256: The Caribbean and its Linkages with the World: A GVAR Model Approach

- Jose P Mauricio Vargas and Daniela Hess
- 2019/255: Informality, Frictions, and Macroprudential Policy

- Moez Ben Hassine and Nooman Rebei
- 2019/254: Breaking the Bank? A Probabilistic Assessment of Euro Area Bank Profitability

- Selim Elekdag, Sheheryar Malik and Srobona Mitra
- 2019/253: Governance and State-Owned Enterprises: How Costly is Corruption?

- Anja Baum, Clay Hackney, Paulo Medas and Mouhamadou Sy
- 2019/252: Designing Central Bank Digital Currencies

- Itai Agur, Anil Ari and Giovanni Dell'ariccia
- 2019/251: Managed Trade: What Could be Possible Spillover Effects of a Potential Trade Agreement Between the U.S. and China?

- Eugenio Cerutti, Shan Chen, Pragyan Deb, Albe Gjonbalaj, Swarnali Hannan and Adil Mohommad
- 2019/250: Integrating Solvency and Liquidity Stress Tests: The Use of Markov Regime-Switching Models

- Fei Han and Mindaugas Leika
- 2019/249: Bridging the Mobile Digital Divide in Sub-Saharan Africa: Costing under Demographic Change and Urbanization

- C. Emre Alper and Michal Miktus
- 2019/248: Assessing House Prices in Canada

- Michal Andrle and Miroslav Plašil
- 2019/247: Financial Conditions and Growth at Risk in the ECCU

- Takuji Komatsuzaki and Steve Brito
- 2019/246: Macrofinancial Linkages and Growth at Risk in the Dominican Republic

- Olga Bespalova and Marina Rousset
- 2019/245: Repeated Use of IMF-Supported Programs: Determinants and Forecasting

- Martin Iseringhausen, Mwanza Nkusu and Wellian Wiranto
- 2019/244: The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China’s Shrinking Current Account Surplus

- Pragyan Deb, Albe Gjonbalaj and Swarnali Hannan
- 2019/243: Structural Unemployment in Luxembourg: Bad Luck or Rational Choice?

- William Gbohoui
- 2019/242: Back to the Future: Fiscal Rules for Regaining Sustainability

- Serhan Cevik
- 2019/241: A Quantitative Analysis of Female Employment in Senegal

- Vivian Malta, Angelica Martinez and Marina Tavares
- 2019/240: Pricing Sovereign Debt in Resource-Rich Economies

- Thomas McGregor
- 2019/239: Firm-Level Data and Monetary Policy: The Case of a Middle Income Country

- Lahcen Bounader and Mohamed Doukali
- 2019/238: Tariff Passthrough at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from US Trade Policy

- Alberto Cavallo, Gita Gopinath, Brent Neiman and Jenny Tang
- 2019/237: Granger Predictability of Oil Prices After the Great Recession

- Szilard Benk and Max Gillman
- 2019/236: Doing More with Less: How Can Brazil Foster Development While Pursuing Fiscal Consolidation?

- Valentina Flamini and Mauricio Soto
- 2019/235: German Bond Yields and Debt Supply: Is There a “Bund Premium”?

- Anne-Charlotte Paret and Anke Weber
- 2019/234: International Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy

- Silvia Albrizio, Sangyup Choi, Davide Furceri and Chansik Yoon
- 2019/233: Entry Costs and the Macroeconomy

- Germán Gutiérrez, Callum Jones and Thomas Philippon
- 2019/232: On the Substitution of Private and Public Capital in Production

- Zidong An, Alvar Kangur and Chris Papageorgiou
- 2019/231: Digitalization to Improve Tax Compliance: Evidence from VAT e-Invoicing in Peru

- Matthieu Bellon, Jillie Chang, Era Dabla-Norris, Salma Khalid, Frederico Lima, Enrique Rojas and Pilar Villena
- 2019/230: In Search of Lost Time: Examining the Duration of Sudden Stops in Capital Flows

- Antonio David and Carlos Goncalves
- 2019/229: Achieving the Bank of Japan’s Inflation Target

- Gee Hee Hong, Rahul Anand and Yaroslav Hul
- 2019/228: Machine Learning and Causality: The Impact of Financial Crises on Growth

- Andrew Tiffin
- 2019/227: Swing Pricing and Fragility in Open-end Mutual Funds

- Dunhong Jin, Marcin Kacperczyk, Bige Kahraman and Felix Suntheim
- 2019/226: Instruments of Debtstruction: A New Database of Interwar Debt

- Nicolas End, Marina Marinkov and Fedor Miryugin
- 2019/225: Reducing and Redistributing Unpaid Work: Stronger Policies to Support Gender Equality

- Cristian Alonso, Mariya Brussevich, Era Dabla-Norris, Yuko Kinoshita and Kalpana Kochhar
- 2019/224: Banks’ Holdings of Government Securities and Credit to the Private Sector in Emerging Market and Developing Economies

- Romain Bouis
- 2019/223: Do Audits Deter or Provoke Future Tax Noncompliance? Evidence on Self-employed Taxpayers

- Sebastian Beer, Matthias Kasper, Erich Kirchler and Brian Erard
- 2019/222: The Macroeconomic Effects of Labor and Product Market Reforms in Morocco

- Babacar Sarr, Mokhtar Benlamine and Zsuzsa Munkacsi
- 2019/221: Assessing Oil and Non-Oil GDP Growth from Space: An Application to Yemen 2012-17

- Majdi Debbich
- 2019/220: Interconnectedness and Contagion Analysis: A Practical Framework

- Jana Bricco ('Gieck') and TengTeng Xu
- 2019/219: A Requiem for the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level

- Roger Farmer and Pawel Zabczyk
- 2019/218: Do Financial Markets Value Quality of Fiscal Governance?

- Kady Keita, Gene Leon and Frederico Lima
- 2019/217: Macroeconomic Outcomes in Disaster-Prone Countries

- Alessandro Cantelmo, Giovanni Melina and Chris Papageorgiou
- 2019/216: Job Polarization and the Declining Fortunes of the Young: Evidence from the United Kingdom

- Era Dabla-Norris, Carlo Pizzinelli and Jay Rappaport
- 2019/215: Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis

- Matthew Kahn, Kamiar Mohaddes, Ryan Ng, Mohammad Pesaran, Mehdi Raissi and Jui-Chung Yang
- 2019/214: Macroeconomic Effects of Reforms on Three Diverse Oil Exporters: Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the UK

- Samya Beidas-Strom and Marco Lorusso
- 2019/213: An Assessment of Global Formula Apportionment

- Ruud de Mooij, Li Liu and Dinar Prihardini
- 2019/212: Japan's Public Sector Balance Sheet

- Yugo Koshima
- 2019/211: Financial Repression is Knocking at the Door, Again

- Etibar Jafarov, Rodolfo Maino and Marco Pani
- 2019/210: Digital Connectivity in sub-Saharan Africa: A Comparative Perspective

- C. Emre Alper and Michal Miktus
- 2019/209: SME Financial Inclusion for Sustained Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

- Mishel Ghassibe, Maximiliano Appendino and Samir Elsadek Mahmoudi
- 2019/208: What Happens if Central Banks Misdiagnose a Slowdown in Potential Output

- Bas Bakker
- 2019/207: The Riskiness of Credit Allocation and Financial Stability

- Luis Brandão-Marques, Qianying Chen, Claudio Raddatz, Jerome Vandenbussche and Peichu Xie
- 2019/206: Private Sector Job Creation in MENA: Prioritizing the Reform Agenda

- Benedicte Baduel, Carolin Geginat and Gaelle Pierre
- 2019/205: VAT Notches, Voluntary Registration, and Bunching: Theory and UK Evidence

- Li Liu, Ben Lockwood, Miguel Almunia and Eddy Tam
- 2019/204: Multiple Dimensions of Human Development Index and Public Social Spending for Sustainable Development

- Iana Paliova, Robert McNown and Grant Nülle
- 2019/203: How Should We Measure City Size? Theory and Evidence Within and Across Rich and Poor Countries

- Remi Jedwab, Prakash Loungani and Anthony Yezer
- 2019/202: One Ring to Rule Them All? New Evidence on World Cycles

- Eric Monnet and Damien Puy
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