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IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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2018/280: Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence Downloads
Rudolfs Bems, Francesca Caselli, Francesco Grigoli, Bertrand Gruss and Weicheng Lian
2018/279: Can Good Governance Lower Financial Intermediation Costs? Downloads
Mariusz Jarmuzek and Tonny Lybek
2018/278: Saudi’s Growth and Financial Spillovers to Other GCC Countries: An Empirical Analysis Downloads
Olumuyiwa Adedeji, Sohaib Shahid and Ling Zhu
2018/277: China’s High Savings: Drivers, Prospects, and Policies Downloads
Longmei Zhang, R. Brooks, Ding Ding, Haiyan Ding, Hui He, Jing Lu and Rui Mano
2018/276: Transport Infrastructure, City Productivity Growth and Sectoral Reallocation: Evidence from China Downloads
Yang Yang
2018/275: A Closed Form Multivariate Linear Filter Downloads
Francis Vitek
2018/274: Media Sentiment and International Asset Prices Downloads
Samuel Fraiberger, Do Lee, Damien Puy and Romain Ranciere
2018/273: Universal Basic Income: Debate and Impact Assessment Downloads
Maura Francese and Delphine Prady
2018/272: Economic Policy Uncertainty in Turkey Downloads
La-Bhus Jirasavetakul and Antonio Spilimbergo
2018/271: Designing Sound Fiscal Relations Across Government Levels in Decentralized Countries Downloads
Robin Boadway and Luc Eyraud
2018/270: Optimal Control of a Global Model of Climate Change with Adaptation and Mitigation Downloads
Manoj Atolia, Prakash Loungani, Helmut Maurer and Willi Semmler
2018/269: International Knowledge Spillovers Downloads
Johannes Eugster, Giang Ho, Florence Jaumotte and Roberto Piazza
2018/268: Invisible Geniuses: Could the Knowledge Frontier Advance Faster? Downloads
Ruchir Agarwal and Patrick Gaulé
2018/267: The Micro Impact of Macroprudential Policies: Firm-Level Evidence Downloads
Meghana Ayyagari, Thorsten Beck and Maria Martinez Peria
2018/266: The Modern Hyperinflation Cycle: Some New Empirical Regularities Downloads
Jose Saboin
2018/265: Demographics, Pension Systems and the Saving-Investment Balance Downloads
Hua Chai and Jun Kim
2018/264: Demographics, Old-Age Transfers and the Current Account Downloads
Mai Dao and Callum Jones
2018/263: Borrowing Costs and The Role of Multilateral Development Banks: Evidence from Cross-Border Syndicated Bank Lending Downloads
Daniel Gurara, Andrea Presbitero and Miguel Sarmiento
2018/262: The Rise in Corporate Saving and Cash Holding in Advanced Economies: Aggregate and Firm Level Trends Downloads
Mai Dao and Chiara Maggi
2018/261: The Long-Run Trend of Residential Investment in China Downloads
Ding Ding and Weicheng Lian
2018/260: Overfitting in Judgment-based Economic Forecasts: The Case of IMF Growth Projections Downloads
Klaus-Peter Hellwig
2018/259: The Intensive Margin in Trade Downloads
Peter Klenow, Sergii Meleshchuk, Martha Denisse Pierola and Andres Rodriguez-Clare
2018/258: The Scarcity Effect of Quantitative Easing on Repo Rates: Evidence from the Euro Area Downloads
William Arrata, Benoît Nguyen, Imene Rahmouni-Rousseau and Miklos Vari
2018/257: Pouring Oil on Fire: Interest Deductibility and Corporate Debt Downloads
Pietro Dallari, Nicolas End, Fedor Miryugin, Alexander Tieman and Seyed Reza Yousefi
2018/256: Financial Inclusion and Bank Competition in Sub-Saharan Africa Downloads
Azanaw Mengistu and Hector Perez-Saiz
2018/255: Expenditure Conditionality in IMF-supported Programs Downloads
Sanjeev Gupta, Michela Schena and Seyed Reza Yousefi
2018/254: Structural Quarterly Projection Model for Belarus Downloads
Karel Musil, Mikhail Pranovich and Jan Vlcek
2018/253: China's Bond Market and Global Financial Markets Downloads
Eugenio Cerutti and Maurice Obstfeld
2018/252: Regional Labor Mobility in Finland Downloads
Tigran Poghosyan
2018/251: Fiscal Stimulus Impact on Firms' Profitability During the Global Financial Crisis Downloads
Carolina Correa-Caro, Leandro Medina, Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro and Bennett Sutton
2018/250: House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions Downloads
Adrian Alter, Jane Dokko and Dulani Seneviratne
2018/249: On Financing Retirement, Health, and Long-term Care in Japan Downloads
Ellen McGrattan, Kazuaki Miyachi and Adrian Peralta
2018/248: Macroeconomic Effects of Japan’s Demographics: Can Structural Reforms Reverse Them? Downloads
Mariana Colacelli and Emilio Fernández Corugedo
2018/247: Brexit Referendum and Business Investment in the UK Downloads
Lucyna Gornicka
2018/246: Personal Income Tax Progressivity: Trends and Implications Downloads
Claudia Gerber, Alexander Klemm, Li Liu and Victor Mylonas
2018/245: Populism and Civil Society Downloads
Tito Boeri, Prachi Mishra, Chris Papageorgiou and Antonio Spilimbergo
2018/244: China’s Monetary Policy Communication: Frameworks, Impact, and Recommendations Downloads
Michael McMahon, Alfred Schipke and Xiang Li
2018/243: China’s Rebalancing: Recent Progress, Prospects and Policies Downloads
Rui Mano and Jiayi Zhang
2018/242: Equilibrium Yield Curve, the Phillips Curve, and Monetary Policy Downloads
Mitsuru Katagiri
2018/241: Is Inflation Domestic or Global? Evidence from Emerging Markets Downloads
Rudolfs Bems, Francesca Caselli, Francesco Grigoli, Bertrand Gruss and Weicheng Lian
2018/240: The Price and Welfare Effects of The Value-Added Tax: Evidence from Mexico Downloads
Rodrigo Mariscal and Alejandro Werner
2018/239: A Destination-Based Allowance for Corporate Equity Downloads
Shafik Hebous and Alexander Klemm
2018/238: Accounting for Macrofinancial Fluctuations and Turbulence Downloads
Francis Vitek
2018/237: Balancing Financial Stability and Housing Affordability: The Case of Canada Downloads
Troy Matheson
2018/236: The Expansionary Lower Bound: Contractionary Monetary Easing and the Trilemma Downloads
Paolo Cavallino and Damiano Sandri
2018/235: Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Coordination Among Multiple Equilibria Downloads
Itai Agur
2018/234: Tax Revenue Mobilization Episodes in Emerging Markets and Low-Income Countries: Lessons from a New Dataset Downloads
Bernardin Akitoby, Anja Baum, Clay Hackney, Olamide Harrison, Keyra Primus and Veronique Salins
2018/233: Macro-Fiscal Implications of Climate Change: The Case of Djibouti Downloads
Alexei Kireyev
2018/232: The Labor Market Integration of Migrants in Europe: New Evidence from Micro Data Downloads
Giang Ho and Rima Turk Ariss
2018/231: The Limits of Meritocracy Downloads
John Morgan, Justin Tumlinson and Felix Vardy
2018/230: An Algorithmic Crystal Ball: Forecasts-based on Machine Learning Downloads
Jin-Kyu Jung, Manasa Patnam and Anna Ter-Martirosyan
2018/229: Measuring Competitiveness in a World of Global Value Chains Downloads
Tamim Bayoumi, Maximiliano Appendino, Jelle Barkema and Diego Cerdeiro
2018/228: The Morning After--The Impact on Collateral Supply After a Major Default Downloads
Dermot Turing and Manmohan Singh
2018/227: The Cost and Benefits of Tax Treaties with Investment Hubs: Findings from Sub-Saharan Africa Downloads
Sebastian Beer and Jan Loeprick
2018/225: Rightsizing Brazil’s Public-Sector Wage Bill Downloads
Izabela Karpowicz and Mauricio Soto
2018/224: Structural Reform Priorities for Brazil Downloads
Nina Biljanovska and Damiano Sandri
2018/223: Rethinking Development Policy: Deindustrialization, Servicification and Structural Transformation Downloads
Manoj Atolia, Prakash Loungani, Milton Marquis and Chris Papageorgiou
2018/222: The Effects of Higher Bank Capital Requirements on Credit in Peru Downloads
Xiangming Fang, David Jutrsa, Maria Martinez Peria, Andrea Presbitero, Lev Ratnovski and Felix Vardy
2018/221: Sectoral Booms and Misallocation of Managerial Talent: Evidence from the Chinese Real Estate Boom Downloads
Yu Shi
2018/220: Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Rate and Base Changes: Evidence from Fiscal Consolidations Downloads
Era Dabla-Norris and Frederico Lima
2018/219: China's Local Government Bond Market Downloads
Waikei Lam and Jingsen Wang
2018/218: The Insolvency Regime for Large Enterprises in Italy: An Economic and Legal Assessment Downloads
Nazim Belhocine, Daniel Garcia-Macia and Jose Garrido
2018/217: Cross-border Banking and the Circumvention of Macroprudential and Capital Control Measures Downloads
Eugenio Cerutti and Haonan Zhou
2018/216: China’s Capacity Reduction Reform and Its Impact on Producer Prices Downloads
Linxi Chen, Ding Ding and Rui Mano
2018/215: Who Creates New Firms When Local Opportunities Arise? Downloads
Shai Bernstein, Emanuele Colonnelli, Davide Malacrino and Tim McQuade
2018/214: Revisiting the Determinants of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets--A Survey of the Evolving Literature Downloads
Swarnali Hannan
2018/213: No Pain, All Gain? Exchange Rate Flexibility and the Expenditure-Switching Effect Downloads
Yan Carrière-Swallow, Nicolas Magud and Juan Yepez
2018/212: Closing Gender Gaps in India: Does Increasing Womens’ Access to Finance Help? Downloads
Purva Khera
2018/211: What Do Monetary Contractions Do? Evidence From Large, Unanticipated Tightenings Downloads
Tim Willems
2018/210: An Index for Transparency for Inflation-Targeting Central Banks: Application to the Czech National Bank Downloads
Rania Al-Mashat, Ales Bulir, Nazire Nergiz Dincer, Tibor Hlédik, Tomas Holub, Asya Kostanyan, Douglas Laxton, Armen Nurbekyan, Rafael Portillo and Hou Wang
2018/209: House Price Synchronization and Financial Openness: A Dynamic Factor Model Approach Downloads
Mitsuru Katagiri
2018/208: Financial Access Under the Microscope Downloads
Sumit Agarwal, Thomas Kigabo, Camelia Minoiu, Andrea Presbitero and Andre Silva
2018/207: Technology and the Future of Work Downloads
Adrian Peralta and Agustin Roitman
2018/206: Systemic Banking Crises Revisited Downloads
Luc Laeven and Fabian Valencia
2018/205: An Imperfect Financial Union With Heterogeneous Regions Downloads
Filippo Balestrieri and Suman Basu
2018/204: The Fiscal Cost of Conflict: Evidence from Afghanistan 2005-2016 Downloads
Philip Barrett
2018/203: Carbon Taxation for International Maritime Fuels: Assessing the Options Downloads
Ian Parry, Dirk Heine, Kelley Kizzier and Tristan Smith
2018/202: Cross-Border Credit Intermediation and Domestic Liquidity Provision in a Small Open Economy Downloads
Thorvardur Tjoervi Olafsson
2018/201: Fintech, Inclusive Growth and Cyber Risks: Focus on the MENAP and CCA Regions Downloads
Inutu Lukonga
2018/200: Dollarization and Financial Development Downloads
Geoffrey Bannister, Jarkko Turunen and Malin Gardberg
2018/199: External Audit Arrangements at Central Banks Downloads
Atilla Arda, Martin Gororo, Joanna Grochalska and Mowele Mohlala
2018/198: Managing Reductions in Aid Inflows: Assessing Policy Choices in Haiti Downloads
Ioana Moldovan, Marina Rousset and Chris Walker
2018/197: Macroprudential Stress Tests and Policies: Searching for Robust and Implementable Frameworks Downloads
Ron Anderson, Jon Danielsson, Chikako Baba, Udaibir Das, Heedon Kang and Miguel Segoviano
2018/196: Household Wealth and Resilience to Financial Shocks in Italy Downloads
Daniel Garcia-Macia
2018/195: The Measurement and Macro-Relevance of Corruption: A Big Data Approach Downloads
Sandile Hlatshwayo, Anne Oeking, Manuk Ghazanchyan, David Corvino, Ananya Shukla and Lamin Leigh
2018/194: Household Leverage and the Recession Downloads
Callum Jones, Virgiliu Midrigan and Thomas Philippon
2018/193: Mitigation Policies for the Paris Agreement: An Assessment for G20 Countries Downloads
Ian Parry, Victor Mylonas and Nate Vernon-Lin
2018/192: Banking in a Steady State of Low Growth and Interest Rates Downloads
Qianying Chen, Mitsuru Katagiri and Jay Surti
2018/191: Monetary Policy with Negative Interest Rates: Decoupling Cash from Electronic Money Downloads
Katrin Assenmacher and Signe Krogstrup
2018/190: Counting the Oil Money and the Elderly: Norway's Public Sector Balance Sheet Downloads
Ezequiel Cabezon and Christian Henn
2018/189: Fiscal Transparency, Borrowing Costs, and Foreign Holdings of Sovereign Debt Downloads
Laurent Kemoe and Zaijin Zhan
2018/188: Understanding Euro Area Inflation Dynamics: Why So Low for So Long? Downloads
Yasser Abdih, Li Lin and Anne-Charlotte Paret
2018/187: Foreign Direct Investment in New Member State of the EU and Western Balkans: Taking Stock and Assessing Prospects Downloads
La-Bhus Jirasavetakul and Jesmin Rahman
2018/186: Employment Protection Deregulation and Labor Shares in Advanced Economies Downloads
Gabriele Ciminelli, Romain Duval and Davide Furceri
2018/185: The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: An Appraisal Downloads
Nigel Chalk, Michael Keen and Victoria Perry
2018/184: Road to Industrialized Africa: Role of Efficient Factor Market in Firm Growth Downloads
Manabu Nose
2018/183: Assessing the Impact of Structural Reforms Through a Supply-side Framework: The Case of Argentina Downloads
Lusine Lusinyan
2018/182: Bunching at 3 Percent: The Maastricht Fiscal Criterion and Government Deficits Downloads
Francesca Caselli and Philippe Wingender
2018/181: Predicting Fiscal Crises Downloads
Svetlana Cerovic, Kerstin Gerling, Andrew Hodge and Paulo Medas
2018/180: The Term Structure of Growth-at-Risk Downloads
Tobias Adrian, Federico Grinberg, Nellie Liang and Sheheryar Malik
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