IMF Working Papers

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2003/049: Would "Cold Turkey" Work in Turkey?

R. Gaston Gelos, Alessandro Prati and Oya Celasun

2003/048: Did Output Recover From the Asian Crisis?

Valerie Cerra and Sweta Saxena

2003/047: Market Volatility As a Financial Soundness Indicator: An Application to Israel

Armando Méndez Morales and Liliana Schumacher

2003/046: Are they All in the Same Boat? the 2000-2001 Growth Slowdown and the G-7 Business Cycle Linkages

Thomas Helbling and Tamim Bayoumi

2003/045: Primary Dealers in Government Securities: Policy Issues and Selected Countries Experience

George Iden and Marco Arnone

2003/044: Estimation of the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate for South Africa

Ronald MacDonald and Luca Ricci

2003/043: Poverty and Social Impact Analysis: Linking Macroeconomic Policies to Poverty Outcomes: Summary of Early Experiences

Caroline Kende-Robb

2003/042: Taxation and Pricing of Petroleum Products in Developing Countries: A Framework for Analysis with Application to Nigeria

Shahabuddin Hossain

2003/041: Exchange Rates in the Periphery and International Adjustment Under the Gold Standard

Luis Catão and Solomos Solomou

2003/040: Foreign Aid and Consumption Smoothing: Evidence From Global Food Aid

Erwin Tiongson, Benedict Clements and Sanjeev Gupta

2003/039: Monetary Policy Rules for Financially Vulnerable Economies

Eduardo Morón and Diego Winkelried

2003/038: Do IMF-Supported Programs Help Make Fiscal Adjustment More Durable?

Soojin Moon and Ales Bulir

2003/037: The Long-Run Effects of Tradeon Income and Income Growth

Allan Brunner

2003/036: Fiscal Adjustment in Transition Countries: Evidence From the 1990's

Catriona Purfield

2003/035: A Currency Union for the Caribbean

Rupert Worrell

2003/034: Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: The Effects of Financial Liberalization

Sergio Schmukler and Graciela Kaminsky

2003/033: Performance Budgeting: Managing the Reform Process

Jack Diamond

2003/032: Early Warning Systems: A Survey and a Regime-Switching Approach

Abdul Abiad

2003/031: Some Simulation Properties of the Major Euro Area Economies in Multimod

Douglas Laxton and Benjamin Hunt

2003/030: Trade, Growth, and Poverty: A Selective Survey

Andrew Berg and Anne Krueger

2003/029: Economic Implications of China's Demographics in the 21st Century

Kevin Cheng

2003/028: The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate of the Malagasy Franc: Estimation and Assessment

John Cady

2003/027: How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles?

Ayhan Kose, Eswar Prasad and Marco Terrones

2003/026: Exchange Rate Regime Considerations in an Oil Economy: The Case of the Islamic Republic of Iran

Oya Celasun

2003/025: Some Implications for Monetary Policy of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Benjamin Hunt and Peter Isard

2003/024: Financial Infrastructure, Group Interests, and Capital Accumulation: Theory, Evidence, and Policy

Biaggio Bossone, Sandeep Mahajan and Farah Zahir

2003/023: An Analysis of the Underground Economy and its Macroeconomic Consequences

Era Dabla-Norris and Andrew Feltenstein

2003/022: Productivity Trends in India's Manufacturing Sectors in the Last Two Decades

Bulent Unel

2003/021: Medium-Term Exchange Rate Forecasting: What Can We Expect?

Guy Meredith

2003/020: Portfolio Flows Into India: Do Domestic Fundamentals Matter?

Poonam Gupta and James Gordon

2003/019: Fiscal Sustainability and Resource Mobilization in the Dominican Republic

Oscar Melhado Orellana

2003/018: Anticipating Arrears to the IMF Early Warning Systems

Chikako Oka

2003/017: What Happens After Supervisory Intervention? Considering Bank Closure Options

Mats Josefsson and Michael Andrews

2003/016: Political Economy of Oil-Revenue Sharing in a Developing Country: Illustrations from Nigeria

Ehtisham Ahmad and Raju Singh

2003/015: Information Technology and Productivity Growth in Asia

Il Lee and Yougesh Khatri

2003/014: Income Inequality and Redistributive Government Spending

International Monetary Fund

2003/013: Toward a Statutory Approach to Sovereign Debt Restructuring: Lessons From Corporate Bankruptcy Practice Around the World

Patrick Bolton

2003/012: Inflation Targeting Lite

Mark Stone

2003/011: Dollarization of Liabilities: Beyond the Usual Suspects

Adolfo Barajas and Armando Méndez Morales

2003/010: FDI to Africa: The Role of Price Stability and Currency Instability

Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff

2003/009: Inflation Targeting Regimes

Alina Carare and Mark Stone

2003/008: What Determines the Implementation of IMF-Supported Programs?

Alex Mourmouras, Anna Ivanova, George Anayiotos and Wolfgang Mayer

2003/007: Currency Demand, the Underground Economy, and, Tax Evasion—The Case of Guyana

Ebrima Faal

2003/006: Small African Stock Markets—The Case of the Lusaka Stock Exchange

Heloisa Marone

2003/005: Optimal Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy with Habit Formation and Nominal Rigidities

Yongseung Jung and Woon Gyu Choi

2003/004: What Determines the Reservation Wages of Unemployed Workers? New Evidence From German Micro Data

Eswar Prasad

2003/003: How Much Leverage is too Much, or Does Corporate Risk Determine the Severity of a Recession?

Iryna Ivaschenko

2003/002: A Comparison Between Two Public Expenditure Management Systems in Africa

Ian Lienert

2003/001: Testing the Informational Efficiency of OTC Optionson Emerging Market Currencies

Jorge Chan-Lau and Armando Méndez Morales

2002/240: Performance Budgeting—Is Accrual Accounting Required?

Jack Diamond

2002/239: Macroeconomic News and Stock Returns in the United States and Germany

Norbert Funke and Akimi Matsuda

2002/238: Stock Market Developments and Private Consumer Spending in Emerging Markets

Norbert Funke

2002/237: Firm Investment, Corporate Finance, and Taxation

Geremia Palomba

2002/236: Tax Revenue Forecasts in IMF-Supported Programs

Mikhail Golosov and John King

2002/235: Imperfect Competition and the Design of VAT Regimes: The Case of Energy Trade Between Russia and Ukraine

Clinton Shiells

2002/234: “Original Sin,” Balance Sheet Crises, and the Roles of International Lending

Jeromin Zettelmeyer and Olivier Jeanne

2002/233: Market Predictability of ECB Policy Decisions: A Comparative Examination

Kevin Ross

2002/232: Measuring Liquidity in Financial Markets

Tonny Lybek and Abdourahmane Sarr

2002/231: Leading Indicators of Growth and Inflation in Turkey

Daniel Leigh and Marco Rossi

2002/230: Compiling and Using Export and Import Price Indices

Kimberly Zieschang and Jemma Dridi

2002/229: Common and Idiosyncratic Components in Real Output: Further International Evidence

Francisco Nadal De Simone

2002/228: Why Do Many Disinflations Fail? the Importance of Luck, Timing, and Political Institutions

A. Javier Hamann and Alessandro Prati

2002/227: Central American Tax Reform: Trends and Possibilities

Janet Stotsky and Asegedech WoldeMariam

2002/226: Monetary Union in West Africa: Who Might Gain, Who Might Lose, and Why?

Paul Masson, Xavier Debrun and Catherine Pattillo

2002/225: Monetary Policy and Asset Prices: Does "Benign Neglect" Make Sense?

Olivier Jeanne and Michael Bordo

2002/224: Explaining the Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Different Prices

Hamid Faruqee, Dalia Hakura and Ehsan Choudhri

2002/223: Keynes, Cocoa, and Copper: In Search of Commodity Currencies

Ratna Sahay, Luis Cespedes and Paul Cashin

2002/222: How Symmetric Are the Shocks and the Shock Adjustment Dynamics Between the Euro Area and Central and Eastern European Countries?

Michael Frenkel and Christiane Nickel

2002/221: Income from Bonds: Treatment in the System of National Accounts 1993

Lucie Laliberté

2002/220: Monetary Policy Credibility and the Unemployment-Inflation Tradeoff: Some Evidence From 17 Industrial Countries

Papa N'Diaye and Douglas Laxton

2002/219: Welfare Effects of Transparency in Foreign Exchange Markets: The Role of Hedging Opportunities

Burkhard Drees and Bernhard Eckwert

2002/218: Financial Contagion and Investor "Learning": An Empirical Investigation

Ritu Basu

2002/217: International Liquidity and the Role of the SDR in the International Monetary System

J. Polak and Peter Clark

2002/216: Population Aging and Long-Term Fiscal Sustainability in Austria

Leif Eskesen

2002/215: Implications of Migrationon Income and Welfare of Nationals

Kenichi Ueda

2002/214: WTO Financial Services Commitments: Determinants and Impacton Financial Stability

Nico Valckx

2002/213: The Persistence of Corruption and Slow Economic Growth

Paolo Mauro

2002/212: A Political-Economic Model of the Choice of Exchange Rate Regime

Yan Sun

2002/211: An Evaluation of Monetary Regime Options for Latin America

Andrew Berg, Paolo Mauro and Eduardo Borensztein

2002/210: A Balance Sheet Approach to Financial Crisis

Brad Setser, Nouriel Roubini, Christian Keller, Mark Allen and Christoph Rosenberg

2002/209: On National or Supranational Objectives: Improving the Effectiveness of Targeted Expenditure Programs

Ping Zhang, Eivind Tandberg and Ehtisham Ahmad

2002/208: The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity: A Review of the Literature

Selma Mahfouz, Richard Hemming and Michael Kell

2002/207: Modis: A Market-Oriented Deposit Insurance Scheme

Edda Zoli, Danyang Xie and Reza Vaez-Zadeh

2002/206: The Use of Credit Ceilings in the Presence of Indirect Monetary Instruments: An Analytical Framework

Plamen Yossifov

2002/205: An Analysis of Money Demand and Inflation in the Islamic Republic of Iran

Mangal Goswami and Oya Celasun

2002/204: Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Turkey

Marco Rossi and Daniel Leigh

2002/203: Oil Revenue Assignments: Country Experiences and Issues

Eric Mottu and Ehtisham Ahmad

2002/202: International Stock Returns and Market Integration: A Regional Perspective

Marco Del Negro and Robin Brooks

2002/201: Testing the Relationship Between Government Spending and Revenue: Evidence From GCC Countries

Qing Wang and Ugo Fasano-Filho

2002/200: An Empirical Analysis of China's Export Behavior

Sweta Saxena and Valerie Cerra

2002/199: The Significance of Federal Taxes as Automatic Stabilizers

C. Di Bella

2002/198: The Economics of Post Conflict Aid

James McHugh, Theodora Kosma and Dimitri Demekas

2002/197: Modern Hyper- and High Inflations

Stanley Fischer, Ratna Sahay and Carlos Végh Gramont

2002/196: The Challenge of Diversification in the Caribbean

A. Salehizadeh, Peter Berezin and Elcior Santana

2002/195: Modeling the Macroeconomic Impact of HIV/AIDS

Markus Haacker

2002/194: Growth-Financial Intermediation Nexus in China

Jahangir Aziz and Christoph Duenwald

2002/193: Bedfellows, Hostages, or Perfect Strangers? Global Capital Markets and the Catalytic Effect of IMF Crisis Lending

Curzio Giannini and Carlo Cottarelli

2002/192: Islamic Financial Institutions and Products in the Global Financial System: Key Issues in Risk Management and Challenges Ahead

International Monetary Fund

2002/191: Quantifying the Impact of Tradeon Wages: The Role of Nontraded Goods

Stephen Tokarick

2002/190: Tunisia’s Experience with Real Exchange Rate Targeting and the Transition to a Flexible Exchange Rate Regime

International Monetary Fund