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IMF Working Papers

From International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA.
Contact information at EDIRC.

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2024/067: A Proposal to Improve Country-Level Data on Total Factor Productivity Growth Downloads
Andrew Warner
2024/066: Smooth Forecast Reconciliation Downloads
Sakai Ando
2024/065: The Economic Impacts and the Regulation of AI: A Review of the Academic Literature and Policy Actions Downloads
Mariarosaria Comunale and Andrea Manera
2024/064: Deciphering the GloBE in a Low-Tax Jurisdiction Downloads
Shafik Hebous, Cory Hillier and Andualem Mengistu
2024/063: The Dynamic Effects of Local Labor Market Shocks on Small Firms in The United States Downloads
Philip Barrett, Sophia Chen, Li Lin and Anke Weber
2024/062: Global Value Chain and Inflation Dynamics Downloads
Vu Chau, Marina Conesa Martinez, Taehoon Kim and John Spray
2024/061: High Inflation in the Baltics: Disentangling Inflation Dynamics and Its Impact on Competitiveness Downloads
Alice Fan, Bingjie Hu, Sadhna Naik, Neree Noumon and Keyra Primus
2024/060: Can Fiscal Consolidation Announcements Help Anchor Inflation Expectations? Downloads
Antonio David, Samuel Pienknagura and Juan Yepez
2024/059: Effect of Exchange Rate Movements on Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa Downloads
Laurent Kemoe, Moustapha Mbohou, Hamza Mighri and Saad Quayyum
2024/058: Climate Variability and Worldwide Migration: Empirical Evidence and Projections Downloads
Cristina Cattaneo, Emanuele Massetti, Shouro Dasgupta and Fabio Farinosi
2024/057: Efficient Economic Rent Taxation under a Global Minimum Corporate Tax Downloads
Shafik Hebous and Andualem Mengistu
2024/056: The ECB’s Future Monetary Policy Operational Framework: Corridor or Floor? Downloads
Luis Brandão-Marques and Lev Ratnovski
2024/055: Understanding Inflation Dynamics: The Role of Global Shocks in CEMAC Downloads
Johanna Tiedemann, Olivier Bizimana, Lluis Dalmau and Martin Ambassa
2024/054: Predicting IMF-Supported Programs: A Machine Learning Approach Downloads
Tsendsuren Batsuuri, Shan He, Ruofei Hu, Jonathan Leslie and Flora Lutz
2024/053: An Assessment of the 2019 and 2020 Pension Reforms in Mexico Downloads
Boele Bonthuis
2024/052: Strengthening Income Stabilization through Social Protection in Emerging and Developing Economies: The Brazilian Experience Downloads
Fernanda Brollo, Gabriel Lara Ibarra and Ricardo Campante Vale
2024/051: Specialization, Market Access and Real Income Downloads
Dominick Bartelme, Ting Lan and Andrei Levchenko
2024/050: Debt Surges—Drivers, Consequences, and Policy Implications Downloads
Florian Schuster, Marwa Alnasaa, Lahcen Bounader, Il Jung, Jeta Menkulasi and Joana da Mota
2024/049: Accounting for Climate Risks in Costing the Sustainable Development Goals Downloads
Rimjhim Aggarwal, Piergiorgio Carapella, Tewodaj Mogues and Julieth Pico-Mejia
2024/048: Geoeconomic Fragmentation and International Diversification Benefits Downloads
Tatsushi Okuda and Tomohiro Tsuruga
2024/047: Monetary Policy with Uncertain Inflation Persistence Downloads
Luis Brandão-Marques, Roland Meeks and Vina Nguyen
2024/046: Climate Policies as a Catalyst for Green FDI Downloads
Samuel Pienknagura
2024/045: Fiscal Implications of Global Decarbonization Downloads
Simon Black, Ruud de Mooij, Vitor Gaspar, Ian Parry and Karlygash Zhunussova
2024/044: Do Capital Inflows Spur Technology Diffusion? Evidence from a New Technology Adoption Index Downloads
Gabriela Cugat and Andrea Manera
2024/043: Is Inflation Good for Business? The Firm-Level Impact of Inflation Shocks in the Baltics, 1997-2021 Downloads
Serhan Cevik, Alice Fan and Sadhna Naik
2024/042: The Consequences of Falling Behind the Curve: Inflation Shocks and Policy Delays Under Rational and Behavioral Expectations Downloads
Mai Hakamada and Carl Walsh
2024/041: Trade Spillovers of Domestic Subsidies Downloads
Lorenzo Rotunno and Michele Ruta
2024/040: Inflated Concerns: Exposure to Past Inflationary Episodes and Preferences for Price Stability Downloads
Nicolas Magud and Samuel Pienknagura
2024/039: Medium-term Macroeconomic Effects of Russia’s War in Ukraine and How it Affects Energy Security and Global Emission Targets Downloads
Hugo Rojas-Romagosa
2024/038: An Integrated Policy Framework (IPF) Diagram for International Economics Downloads
Suman Basu and Gita Gopinath
2024/037: Navigating the Evolving Landscape between China and Africa’s Economic Engagements Downloads
Wenjie Chen, Michele Fornino and Henry Rawlings
2024/036: Determinants of Zombie Banks in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Downloads
Torsten Wezel, Hannah Sheldon and Zhengwei Fu
2024/035: A New Measure of Central Bank Independence Downloads
Tobias Adrian, Ashraf Khan and Lev Menand
2024/034: Political Fragility: Coups d’État and Their Drivers Downloads
Aliona Cebotari, Enrique Chueca-Montuenga, Yoro Diallo, Yunsheng Ma, Rima Turk Ariss, Weining Xin and Harold Zavarce
2024/033: Small Firm Growth and the VAT Threshold Evidence for the UK Downloads
Li Liu, Ben Lockwood and Eddy Tam
2024/032: Constraints on Trade in the LAC Region Downloads
Rina Bhattacharya and Samuel Pienknagura
2024/031: Carbon Prices and Inflation in the Euro Area Downloads
Maximilian Konradt, Thomas McGregor and Frederik Toscani
2024/030: Sectoral Debt and Global Dollar Cycles in Developing Economies Downloads
Bada Han, Rashad Ahmed, Joshua Aizenman and Yothin Jinjarak
2024/029: The Legal Foundations of Public Debt Transparency: Aligning the Law with Good Practices Downloads
Karla Vasquez, Alissa Ashcroft, Kikachukwu Alex-Okoh, Alessandro Gullo, Olya Kroytor, Yan Liu, Mia Pineda and Ron Snipeliski
2024/028: Platform Precommitment via Decentralization Downloads
Marco Reuter
2024/027: Firms’ Resilience to Energy Shocks and Response to Fiscal Incentives: Assessing the Impact of 2022 Energy Crisis Downloads
David Amaglobeli, Joaquim Guilhoto, Samir Jahan, Salma Khalid, Waikei Lam, Gregory Legoff, Brent Meyer, Xuguang Simon Sheng, Pawel Smietanka, Sonya Waddell and Daniel Weitz
2024/026: The Impact of Derivatives Collateralization on Liquidity Risk: Evidence from the Investment Fund Sector Downloads
Audrius Jukonis, Elisa Letizia and Linda Rousová
2024/025: U.S. Inflation Expectations During the Pandemic Downloads
Euihyun Bae, Andrew Hodge and Anke Weber
2024/024: Emissions Reduction, Fiscal Costs, and Macro Effects: A Model-based Assessment of IRA Climate Measures and Complementary Policies Downloads
Simon Voigts and Anne-Charlotte Paret
2024/023: The Housing Supply Channel of Monetary Policy Downloads
Bruno Albuquerque, Martin Iseringhausen and Frederic Opitz
2024/022: Who Pays the Bill? Distributional and Fiscal Consequences of Elevated Inflation in Thailand Downloads
Piyaporn Chote, Corinne Delechat, Thanaphol Kongphalee, Vatsal Nahata, Mouhamadou Sy, Pym Manopimoke and Tamon Yungvichit
2024/021: Geopolitics and International Trade: The Democracy Advantage Downloads
Serhan Cevik
2024/020: Is Schumpeter Right? Fintech and Economic Growth Downloads
Serhan Cevik
2024/019: ASAP: A Conceptual Model for Digital Asset Platforms Downloads
Victor Budau and Herve Tourpe
2024/018: In Search of the Origin of Original Sin Dissipation Downloads
Bada Han, Jangyoun Lee and Taehee Oh
2024/017: Does FinTech Increase Bank Risk Taking? Downloads
Selim Elekdag, Drilona Emrullahu and Sami Ben Naceur
2024/016: The Leisure Gains from International Trade Downloads
Agustin Velasquez
2024/015: Fueling or Following Growth? Causal Effects of Capital Inflows on Recipient Economies Downloads
Nicolas End
2024/014: U.S. Monetary Policy Spillovers to Middle East and Central Asia: Shocks, Fundamentals, and Propagations Downloads
Giovanni Ugazio and Weining Xin
2024/013: The Macroeconomic Consequences of Import Tariffs and Trade Policy Uncertainty Downloads
Lukas Boer and Malte Rieth
2024/012: Digitalization and Employment Gender Gaps During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean Downloads
Yuanchen Yang, Manuk Ghazanchyan, Silvia Granados-Ibarra and Gustavo Canavire-Bacarreza
2024/011: Automation and Welfare: The Role of Bequests and Education Downloads
Manuk Ghazanchyan, Alexei Goumilevski and Alex Mourmouras
2024/010: Costly Increases in Public Debt when r Downloads
Yongquan Cao, Vitor Gaspar and Adrian Peralta
2024/009: Monetary Policy Pass-Through to Interest Rates: Stylized Facts from 30 European Countries Downloads
Robert Beyer, Ruo Chen, Florian Misch, Claire Li, Ezgi Ozturk and Lev Ratnovski
2024/008: What Caused the Beveridge Curve to Shift Higher in the United States During the Pandemic? Downloads
Gene Kindberg-Hanlon and Michael Girard
2024/007: The Shifting and Steepening of Phillips Curves During the Pandemic Recovery: International Evidence and Some Theory Downloads
Tryggvi Gudmundsson, Chris Jackson and Rafael Portillo
2024/006: Energy Security and The Green Transition Downloads
Jaden Kim, Augustus Panton and Gregor Schwerhoff
2024/005: Did the U.S. Really Grow Out of Its World War II Debt? Downloads
Julien Acalin and Laurence Ball
2024/004: Fraying Threads: Exclusion and Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa Downloads
Hany Abdel-Latif and Mahmoud El-Gamal
2024/003: Searching for Wage Growth: Policy Responses to the “New Machine Age” Downloads
Andrew Berg, Edward Buffie, Mariarosaria Comunale, Chris Papageorgiou and Luis-Felipe Zanna
2024/002: Dissecting the Decline in Average Hours Worked in Europe Downloads
Diva Astinova, Romain Duval, Niels-Jakob Hansen, Ben Park, Ippei Shibata and Frederik Toscani
2024/001: The Return of Industrial Policy in Data Downloads
Simon Evenett, Adam Jakubik, Fernando Martín and Michele Ruta
2023/270: Divided We Fall: Differential Exposure to Geopolitical Fragmentation in Trade Downloads
Shushanik Hakobyan, Sergii Meleshchuk and Robert Zymek
2023/269: Getting to Know GMMET: The Global Macroeconomic Model for the Energy Transition Downloads
Benjamin Carton, Christopher Evans, Dirk Muir and Simon Voigts
2023/268: Emigration, Business Dynamics, and Firm Heterogeneity in North Macedonia Downloads
Ninghui Li and Thomas Gade
2023/267: Designing a Presumptive Income Tax Based on Turnover in Countries with Large Informal Sectors Downloads
Feng Wei and Jean-Francois Wen
2023/266: Flattening the Curve and the Flight of the Rich: Pandemic-Induced Shifts in US and European Housing Markets Downloads
Nina Biljanovska and Giovanni Dell'ariccia
2023/265: Non-traded Gains From Trade - Selection in the Non-Traded Sector: Evidence from Brazil Downloads
Rafael Machado Parente and Rowan Shi
2023/264: Inflation Indexation in Public Finances: A Global Dataset on Current Practices Downloads
Vybhavi Balasundharam, Arika Kayastha and Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro
2023/263: Inflation Dynamics in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC): What is the Role of External Factors? Downloads
Fozan Fareed, Abolfazl Rezghi and Charlotte Sandoz
2023/262: Household Debt and Borrower-Based Measures in Finland: Insights from a Heterogeneous Agent Model Downloads
Fumitaka Nakamura
2023/261: Fiscal Impacts of Climate Disasters in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies Downloads
Habtamu Fuje, Jiaxiong Yao, Seung Mo Choi and Hamza Mighri
2023/260: Can Fiscal Consolidation help Central Banks Fight Inflation? Downloads
Jiaqian Chen, Era Dabla-Norris, Carlos Goncalves, Zoltán Jakab and Jesper Lindé
2023/259: The Macroeconomic Effects of Large Immigration Waves Downloads
Philipp Engler, Margaux MacDonald, Roberto Piazza and Galen Sher
2023/258: How the Brady Plan Delivered on Debt Relief: Lessons and Implications Downloads
Neil Shenai and Marijn Bolhuis
2023/257: High-Dimensional Covariance Matrix Estimation: Shrinkage Toward a Diagonal Target Downloads
Sakai Ando and Mingmei Xiao
2023/256: Feeling Rich, Feeling Poor: Housing Wealth Effects and Consumption in Europe Downloads
Serhan Cevik and Sadhna Naik
2023/255: How Far Has Globalization Gone? A Tale of Two Regions Downloads
Rodolfo Campos, Samuel Pienknagura and Jacopo Timini
2023/254: Optimal Taxation of Inflation Downloads
Damien Capelle and Yang Liu
2023/253: The Dark Side of the Moon? Fintech and Financial Stability Downloads
Serhan Cevik
2023/252: Lawful Progress: Unveiling the Laws That Reshape Women’s Work Decisions Downloads
Anna Fruttero, Diego Gomes and Nishtha Sharma
2023/251: Monetary Policy Frameworks and Communication in the Caucasus and Central Asia Downloads
Omer Faruk Akbal, Klakow Akepanidtaworn, Ezequiel Cabezon, Mariarosaria Comunale, Marina Conesa Martinez and Filiz Unsal
2023/250: Climate and Cross-Border Migration Downloads
Paula Beltran and Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov
2023/249: Macro-Financial Impacts of Foreign Digital Money Downloads
Anh Le, Alexander Copestake, Brandon Tan, Shanaka Peiris and Umang Rawat
2023/248: Navigating the Well-Being Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from the Euro Area Downloads
Mehdi El Herradi and Aurélien Leroy
2023/247: Housing Affordability: A New Dataset Downloads
Nina Biljanovska, Chenxu Fu and Deniz Igan
2023/246: Climate Change Mitigation and Policy Spillovers in the EU’s Immediate Neighborhood Downloads
Serhan Cevik, Nadeem Ilahi, Krzysztof Krogulski, Grace Li, Sabiha Mohona and Yueshu Zhao
2023/245: Geoeconomic Fragmentation: What’s at Stake for the EU Downloads
Chikako Baba, Ting Lan, Aiko Mineshima, Florian Misch, Magali Pinat, Asghar Shahmoradi, Jiaxiong Yao and Rachel van Elkan
2023/244: Taming Financial Dollarization: Determinants and Effective Policies – The Case of Uruguay Downloads
Jose P Mauricio Vargas and Jesus Sanchez
2023/243: Monetary Policy Design with Recurrent Climate Shocks Downloads
Vimal Thakoor and Engin Kara
2023/242: Mitigating Climate Change at the Firm Level: Mind the Laggards Downloads
Damien Capelle, Divya Kirti, Nicola Pierri and German Villegas Bauer
2023/241: Predicting the Law: Artificial Intelligence Findings from the IMF’s Central Bank Legislation Database Downloads
Khaled AlAjmi, Jose Deodoro, Ashraf Khan and Kei Moriya
2023/240: Estimating Fiscal Multipliers Under Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes: The Case of Bolivia Downloads
Tannous Kass-Hanna, Julien Reynaud and Chris Walker
2023/239: Is FinTech Eating the Bank's Lunch? Downloads
Sami Ben Naceur, Bertrand Candelon, Selim Elekdag and Drilona Emrullahu
2023/238: Mobile Money, Perception about Cash, and Financial Inclusion: Learning from Uganda’s Micro-Level Data Downloads
Felix Simione and Tara Muehlschlegel
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