Fraying Threads: Exclusion and Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa

Hany Abdel-Latif and Mahmoud El-Gamal

No 2024/004, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This study investigates the factors leading to exclusion and their detrimental impacts in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). It employs two-levels of analysis: a macro-level estimation of the influence of exclusion and marginalization on violent conflict, and a micro-level investigation identifying the triggers of exclusion sentiments. We construct statistical summaries from multiple measures of exclusion, producing an overall exclusion index as well as social, economic, and political exclusion sub-indices. Our results show the importance of mitigating exclusion and marginalization within SSA nations, and pinpoint the most effective policy levers that governments may use to minimize destabilizing feelings of exclusion.

Keywords: Sub-Saharan Africa; Conflict; Social exclusion; Political exclusion; Economic exclusion; exclusion sentiment; IMF working paper No. 24/4; policy lever; conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa; growth effort; Financial soundness indicators; Food security; Climate change (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 35
Date: 2024-01-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr and nep-dev
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