IMF Working Papers

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2000/162: Forecasting Inflation in Chile Using State-Space and Regime-Switching Models

Francisco Nadal De Simone

2000/161: Technological Adaptation, Trade, and Growth

Alberto Chong and Luisa Zanforlin

2000/160: The Russian Default and the Contagion to Brazil

Taimur Baig and Ilan Goldfajn

2000/159: An Interest Rate Defense of a Fixed Exchange Rate?

Olivier Jeanne and Robert Flood

2000/158: Inflation Targeting Under Potential Output Uncertainty

Victor Gaiduch and Benjamin Hunt

2000/157: What Caused the 1991 Currency Crisis in India?

Sweta Saxena and Valerie Cerra

2000/156: Inside the Crisis: An Empirical Analysis of Banking Systems in Distress

Poonam Gupta, Asli Demirguc-Kunt and Enrica Detragiache

2000/155: Determinants of Barter in Russia: An Empirical Analysis

Christian Mumssen, Irina Dolinskaya, Simon Commander and Irina Tytell

2000/154: Capital Markets and External Current Accounts: What to Expect From the Euro

Jörg Decressin and Piti Disyatat

2000/153: Chile's Rapid Growth in the 1990's-Good Policies, Good Luck, or Political Change?

Esteban Jadresic and Roberto Zahler

2000/152: External Capital Structure: Theory and Evidence

Philip Lane and Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti

2000/151: Population Aging and Global Capital Flows in a Parallel Universe

Robin Brooks

2000/150: Should Subsidized Private Transfers Replace Government Social Insurance?

Connel Fullenkamp and Ralph Chami

2000/149: The Case Against Harry Dexter White: Still Not Proven

James Boughton

2000/148: How Does U.S. Monetary Policy Influence Economic Conditions in Emerging Markets?

Vivek Arora and Martin Cerisola

2000/147: The Benefits and Costs of Intervening in Banking Crises

Edward Frydl and Marc Quintyn

2000/146: Determinants of Dollarization: The Banking Side

Marco Terrones and Luis Catão

2000/145: Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia Banking Soundness and Recent Lessons

International Monetary Fund

2000/144: Filtering the Beer: A Permanent and Transitory Decomposition

Peter Clark and Ronald MacDonald

2000/143: Predictable Movements in Yen/DM Exchange Rates

Janet Kong

2000/142: Domestic Competition, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Long-Run Growth in Hong Kong Sar

Eric Zitzewitz

2000/141: The Impact of Monetary Policyon the Exchange Rate: Evidence From Three Small Open Economies

Jeromin Zettelmeyer

2000/140: Selected Issues Concerning Monetary Policy and Institutional Design for Central Banks: A Review of Theories

Christian Beddies

2000/139: Reforming Pensions: Myths, Truths, and Policy Choices

N. Barr

2000/138: The Facts About Time: To-Build

Petya Brooks

2000/137: Wage Flexibility and Economic Performance: Evidence Across Industrial Countries

Magda Kandil

2000/136: What Should Macroeconomists Know About Health Care Policy: A Primer

William Hsiao

2000/135: The Breakdown of Credit Relations Under Conditions of a Banking Crisis: A Switching Regime Approach

Sònia Muñoz

2000/134: Exchange Rate Regime Transitions

Paul Masson

2000/133: Fiscal Policy and Growth in the Context of European Integration

Paul Masson

2000/132: Corruption, Structural Reforms, and Economic Performance in the Transition Economies

George Abed and Hamid Davoodi

2000/131: The Currency Composition of Foreign Exchange Reserves: Retrospect and Prospect

Barry Eichengreen and Donald Mathieson

2000/130: Evidenceon the Fiscal and Macroeconomic Impact of Privatization

Steven Barnett

2000/129: Can Fiscal Decentralization Strengthen Social Capital?

International Monetary Fund

2000/128: Real Effective Exchange Rate and the Constant Elasticity of Substitution Assumption

Antonio Spilimbergo and Athanasios Vamvakidis

2000/127: Determinants of Inflation in the Islamic Republic of Iran: A Macroeconomic Analysis

O. Liu and Olumuyiwa Adedeji

2000/126: Life-Cycles, Dynasties, Savings: Implications for Closed and Small, Open Economies

Hamid Faruqee and Douglas Laxton

2000/125: Costly Collateral and the Public Supply of Liquidity

Philip Schellekens

2000/124: Cost of Living Adjustment and Business Cycles: Disaggregated Evidence

Magda Kandil

2000/123: The Transfer Problem Revisited: Net Foreign Assets and Real Exchange Rates

Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti and Philip Lane

2000/122: Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization: A Model of Financial Fragility

Yuri Sobolev

2000/121: Convergence of Per Capita Output Levels Across Regions of Bangladesh, 1982-97

Akhand Hossain

2000/120: External Sector Reform and Public Enterprise Restructuring

Rina Bhattacharya

2000/119: Money Demand in Guyana

Philippe Egoume Bossogo

2000/118: Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Oil Exporting Countries

Rodrigo Valdés and Eduardo Engel

2000/117: Inequality, Transfers and Growth: New Evidence From the Economic Transition in Poland

Eswar Prasad and Michael Keane

2000/116: Corruption and the Provision of Health Care and Education Services

Erwin Tiongson, Hamid Davoodi and Sanjeev Gupta

2000/115: Demographic Change in Asia: The Impacton Optimal National Saving, Investment, and the Current Account

Ian McDonald, Serge Bésanger and Ross Guest

2000/114: The Corporate Sector Dynamics of Systemic Financial Crises

Mark Stone

2000/113: Fiscal Reform Over Ten Years of Transition

George Tsibouris and Vito Tanzi

2000/112: Review of the Experience with Oil Stabilization and Savings Funds in Selected Countries

Ugo Fasano-Filho

2000/111: Bidding Behavior in Treasury Bill Auctions: Evidence From Pakistan

International Monetary Fund

2000/110: Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between Inflation and Growth

Abdelhak Senhadji and Mohsin Khan

2000/109: Budgetary Convergence in the WEAMU: Adjustment Through Revenue or Expenditure?

Jean-Claude Nachega and Ousmane Dore

2000/108: Real Exchange Rate Response to Capital Flows in Mexico: An Empirical Analysis

Marcelo Dabós and V. Juan-Ramon

2000/107: Managing Financial Crises: The Experience in East Asia

Timothy Lane, A. Javier Hamann, Marianne Schulze-Gattas, Ales Bulir, Steven Phillips, Atish Ghosh, Alex Mourmouras and Jack Boorman

2000/106: A Game-Theoretic Analysis of Corruption in Bureaucracies

Era Dabla-Norris

2000/105: Global Financial Crises: Institutions and Incentives

Manmohan Kumar, Paul Masson and Marcus Miller

2000/104: The Impact of Intersectoral Labor Reallocationon Economic Growth

Hélène Poirson

2000/103: Do Asset Prices in Transition Countries Contain Information About Future Economic Activity?

Torsten Sloek and Peter Christoffersen

2000/102: Indonesia: Implementing National Policies in a Decentralized Context: Special Purpose Programs to Protect the Poor

Ehtisham Ahmad and Luc Leruth

2000/101: International Spillovers of Macroeconomic Shocks: A Quantitative Exploration

Douglas Laxton and Eswar Prasad

2000/100: Globalization and Catching-Up: From Recession to Growth in Transition Economies

Grzegorz Kolodko

2000/099: Real Exchange Rates and Productivity: Closed-Form Solutions and Some Empirical Evidence

Jahanara Zaman

2000/098: Turkmenistan: The Burden of Current Agricultural Policies

International Monetary Fund

2000/097: Currency Boards, Credibility, and Macroeconomic Behavior

Amadou Sy and Luis Rivera-Batiz

2000/096: Aftermath of Banking Crises: Effectson Real and Monetary Variables

Poonam Gupta

2000/095: The Yen-Dollar Rate: Have Interventions Mattered?

Ramana Ramaswamy and Hossein Samiei

2000/094: Factor Reallocation and Growth in Developing Countries

Hélène Poirson

2000/093: The New Capital Adequacy Framework: Institutional Constraints and Incentive Structures

Cem Karacadag and Michael Taylor

2000/092: Financial Institutions, Financial Contagion, and Financial Crises

Haizhou Huang and Chenggang Xu

2000/091: Czech Koruna and Polish Zloty Currency Options: Information Contnent and Eu-Accession Implications

Armando Méndez Morales

2000/090: Bank Failures and Fiscal Austerity: Policy Presecriptions for a Developing Country

Andrew Feltenstein

2000/089: Stock Returns and Output Growth in Emerging and Advanced Economies

Paolo Mauro

2000/088: Spillovers Through Banking Centers: A Panel Data Analysis

International Monetary Fund

2000/087: Capital Mobility and the Output-Inflation Tradeoff

Assaf Razin, Prakash Loungani and Chi-Wa Yuen

2000/086: Centripetal forces in China's Economic Take-Off

Anuradha Dayal-Gulati and Aasim Husain

2000/085: Real Effects of High Inflation

Benedikt Braumann

2000/084: Sex Discrimination and Growth

Berta Esteve-Volart

2000/083: VIVAT, CVAT and All That: New Forms of Value-Added Tax for Federal Systems

Michael Keen

2000/082: Social Fractionalization, Political Instability, and the Size of Government

Anthony Annett

2000/081: Assessing Fiscal Sustainability in Theory and Practice

Nigel Chalk and Richard Hemming

2000/080: Seasonality and Capacity: An Application to Italy

Federico Mini and Guido de Blasio

2000/079: Emergency Liquidity Support Facilities

Dong He

2000/078: Rural Poverty in Developing Countries: Issues and Policies

Mahmood Khan

2000/077: How Accurate Are Private Sector Forecasts: Cross-Country Evidence From Consensus Forecasts of Output Growth

Prakash Loungani

2000/076: Assessing Financial System Vulnerabilities

R. Johnston, Liliana Schumacher and Jingqing Chai

2000/075: A Simple Model of An International Lender of Last Resort

Haizhou Huang and C. Goodhart

2000/074: Social Capital and Civil Society

Francis Fukuyama

2000/073: Caribbean Approaches to Economic Stabilization

Alvin Hilaire

2000/072: Terms of Trade Shocks in Africa: Are they Short-Lived or Long-Lived?

Paul Cashin and Catherine Pattillo

2000/071: Financial Market Spillovers in Transition Economies

Ratna Sahay and R. Gaston Gelos

2000/070: Institutions Matter in Transition, But so do Policies

International Monetary Fund

2000/069: Using Credit Ratings for Capital Requirementson Lending to Emerging Market Economies: Possible Impact of a New Basel Accord

Christian Mulder and Brieuc Monfort

2000/068: Banks and Monetary Shocks in Emerging Markets: How Far Can We Go with the "Credit View"?

Luis Catão and Sergio Rodriguez

2000/067: Currency Crises: In Search of Common Elements

Ranil Salgado, Jahangir Aziz and Francesco Caramazza

2000/066: Central Banks Use of Derivatives and Other Contingent Liabilities: Analytical Issues and Policy Implications

Liliana Schumacher and Mario Bléjer

2000/065: Auction Quotas with a Foreign Duopoly

Ling Hui Tan

2000/064: Does 'Grease Money' Speed Up the Wheels of Commerce?

Daniel Kaufmann and Shang-Jin Wei

2000/063: Misalignment and Managed Exchange Rates: An Application to the Thai Baht

Guay Lim