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What Happened to Asian Exports During the Crisis?

Antonio Spilimbergo and Rupa Duttagupta

No 2000/200, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: After the large exchange rate depreciations following the 1997 East Asian crisis, export volumes from East Asian countries responded with a notable lag. Two main explanations for this lag have been proposed: that the policy of high interest rates limited access to domestic credit and hence limited the supply of exports; and that “competitive depreciation” neutralized the effects on demand for exports. This paper considers the plausibility of these two mechanisms using a new monthly database on exports of selected industries. We find evidence that “competitive depreciation” did play a fundamental role in the propagation of the East Asian crisis through the trade channel, even at a monthly frequency.

Keywords: WP; demand and supply; supply price; credit crunch; Cointegration; Competitive Depreciation; Export Demand and Supply; East Asia; export demand and supply equation; export supply; export equation; export volume; export decline; growth rate; export variable; export quantity; equilibrium point; demand and supply supply curve; Exports; Export prices; Depreciation; Domestic credit; Export earnings (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 31
Date: 2000-12-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (16)

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Related works:
Journal Article: What Happened to Asian Exports During the Crisis? (2004) Downloads
Working Paper: What Happened to Asian Exports During the Crisis? (2003) Downloads
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