IMF Working Papers

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2004/138: Economic Integration, Business Cycle, and Productivity in North America

Ayhan Kose and Roberto Cardarelli

2004/137: Debt Maturity and the International Financial Architecture

Olivier Jeanne

2004/136: Caribbean Business Cycles

Paul Cashin

2004/135: Once Again, is Openness Good for Growth?

International Monetary Fund

2004/134: International Investment Patterns

Philip Lane and Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti

2004/133: The Role of Mature Market Mutual Funds in Emerging Markets: Myth or Mayhem?

Amadou Sy and Li Ong

2004/132: Choosing a Budget Management System: The Case of Rwanda

Ian Lienert

2004/131: When in Peril, Retrench: Testing the Portfolio Channel of Contagion

International Monetary Fund

2004/130: Zimbabwe: A Quest for a Nominal Anchor

Arto Kovanen

2004/129: Foreign Banks in Emerging Market Crises: Evidence From Malaysia

Enrica Detragiache and Poonam Gupta

2004/128: Parity Reversion in Real Exchange Rates: Fast, Slow or Not At All?

Christopher McDermott and Paul Cashin

2004/127: Stress Testing Financial Systems: What to Do When the Governor Calls

Paul Hilbers, Matthew Jones and Graham Slack

2004/126: From Fixed to Float: Operational Aspects of Moving towards Exchange Rate Flexibility

Gilda Fernandez, Cem Karacadag and Rupa Duttagupta

2004/125: Taxation Reforms and Changes in Revenue Assignments in China

Raju Singh, Ben Lockwood and Ehtisham Ahmad

2004/124: Corporate Financial Structure and Financial Stability

Mark Stone and E Davis

2004/123: The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets: The Cases of Mexico and Turkey

Cem Karacadag and Roberto Guimarães-Filho

2004/122: Monetary Policy, Monetary Areas, and Financial Development with Electronic Money

Marco Arnone and Luca Bandiera

2004/121: The Contingent Claims Approach to Corporate Vulnerability Analysis: Estimating Default Risk and Economy-Wide Risk Transfer

Yingbin Xiao, Dale Gray, Cheng Lim and Michael Gapen

2004/120: Private Finance and Public Policy

Garry Schinasi

2004/119: A New Approach to Taxing Financial Intermediation Services Under a Value Added Tax

Howell Zee

2004/118: Why India Can Grow At 7 Percent a Year or More: Projections and Reflections

Dani Rodrik and Arvind Subramanian

2004/117: On Fixed and Variable Fiscal Surplus Rules

International Monetary Fund

2004/116: Assessing the Assessment: A Critical Look At the June 2003 Assessment of the United Kingdom'S Five Tests for Euro Entry

Carlo Cottarelli and Julio Escolano

2004/115: Ambiguity, Transparency, and Institutional Strength

S. Erbas

2004/114: Sources of Growth in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: A Cointegration Approach

Matthias Cinyabuguma and Bernardin Akitoby

2004/113: An Approach to Long-Term Fiscal Policy Analysis

Papa N'Diaye and Steven Dunaway

2004/112: The Quality Effect: Does Financial Liberalization Improve the Allocation of Capital?

Abdul Abiad, Nienke Oomes and Kenichi Ueda

2004/111: Obstacles to Disinflation: What is the Role of Fiscal Expectations?

R. Gaston Gelos, Alessandro Prati and Oya Celasun

2004/110: Financial Integration: A New Methodology and An Illustration

Andrew Rose and Robert Flood

2004/109: Performance of Western Hemisphere Trading Blocs: A Cost-Corrected Gravity Approach

Enzo Croce, V. Juan-Ramon and Feng Zhu

2004/108: The End of Textiles Quotas: A Case Study of the Impacton Bangladesh

Montfort Mlachila and Yongzheng Yang

2004/107: Multinational Affiliates and Local Financial Markets

Selin Sayek, Alexander Lehmann and Hyoung Kang

2004/106: Challenging the Empirical Evidence From Present Value Models of the Current Account

Jacques Miniane and Benoît Mercereau

2004/105: Financial Crisis, Economic Recovery and Banking Development in Russia, Ukraine, and Other FSU Countries

Dalia Marin, Haizhou Huang and Chenggang Xu

2004/104: To Buy or Not to Buy? Uncertainty, Irreversibility and Heterogeneous Investment Dynamics in Italian Company Data

Domenico Lombardi and Stephen Bond

2004/103: Trade and Industrial Location with Heterogeneous Labor

International Monetary Fund

2004/102: Public Spending Management and Macroeconomic Interdependence

Giovanni Ganelli

2004/101: Toward a Framework for Safeguarding Financial Stability

International Monetary Fund

2004/100: Conditional Lending Under Altruism

Alex Mourmouras and Peter Rangazas

2004/099: Can Debt Crises Be Self-Fulfilling?

Marcos Chamon

2004/098: Toward More Effective Redistribution: Reform Options for Intergovernmental Transfers in China

International Monetary Fund

2004/097: Achieving and Maintaining Price Stability in Nigeria

Nicoletta Batini

2004/096: Robust Versus Optimal Rules in Monetary Policy: A Note

International Monetary Fund

2004/095: Economic Performance Over the Conflict Cycle

Nicholas Staines

2004/094: Money-Based Versus Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization: Is There Space for Political Opportunism?

Ari Aisen

2004/093: Debt Accumulation in the CIS-7 Countries: Bad Luck, Bad Policies, or Bad Advice?

Ashoka Mody, Ratna Sahay and Thomas Helbling

2004/092: A Cointegration Model for Search Equilibrium Wage Formation

International Monetary Fund

2004/091: Capital Income Taxation and Economic Growth in Open Economies

Geremia Palomba

2004/090: Forecasting Thailand’s Core Inflation

Tao Sun

2004/089: Does Regulatory Governance Matter for Financial System Stability? An Empirical Analysis

Udaibir Das, Marc Quintyn and Kina Chenard

2004/088: Productivity Shocks, Learning, and Open Economy Dynamics

Jacques Miniane

2004/087: Revisions Policy for Official Statistics: A Matter of Governance

Carol Carson, Sarmad Khawaja and Thomas Morrison

2004/086: Japan’s Distressed-Debt Market

Kazunari Ohashi and Manmohan Singh

2004/085: Interest Rate Defenses of Currency Pegs

Juan Sole

2004/084: Does Financial Globalization Induce Better Macroeconomic Policies?

Shang-Jin Wei and Irina Tytell

2004/083: Angola’s Fragile Stabilization

Jose Gasha and Gonzalo Pastor Campos

2004/082: Foreign Bank Supervision and Challenges to Emerging Market Supervisors

In Song

2004/081: The WTO and the Poorest Countries: The Stark Reality

Aaditya Mattoo and Arvind Subramanian

2004/080: Political Instability and Growth: The Central African Republic

Dhaneshwar Ghura and Benoît Mercereau

2004/079: Economic Geography and Wages: The Case of Indonesia

Mary Amiti and Lisa Cameron

2004/078: Empirical Modeling of Contagion: A Review of Methodologies

Mardi Dungey, Renee Fry-McKibbin, Vance Martin and Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo

2004/077: From “Hindu Growth” to Productivity Surge: The Mystery of the Indian Growth Transition

Dani Rodrik and Arvind Subramanian

2004/076: Can China Grow Faster? A Diagnosis of the Fragmentation of Its Domestic Capital Market

Shang-Jin Wei and Genevieve Boyreau-Debray

2004/075: The IMF and the force of History: Ten Events and Ten Ideas that Have Shaped the Institution

James Boughton

2004/074: The Elusive Gains from International Financial Integration

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Olivier Jeanne

2004/073: Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?

Yin-Wong Cheung, Antonio Garcia Pascual and Menzie Chinn

2004/072: Are Uniform Tariffs Optimal?

Mary Amiti

2004/071: Emerging Strains in GCC Labor Markets

Ugo Fasano-Filho and Rishi Goyal

2004/070: Credit Rationing in Emerging Economies' Access to Global Capital Markets

Edda Zoli

2004/069: Estimation of Economic Growth in France Using Business Survey Data

Alain Kabundi

2004/068: A Bayesian Approach to Model Uncertainty

Charalambos Tsangarides

2004/067: New Estimates of Government Net Capital Stocks for 22 OECD Countries 1960-2001

Christophe Kamps

2004/066: Prudential Responses to De Facto Dollarization

Alain Ize and Andrew Powell

2004/065: The Effects of Exchange Rate Change on the Trade Balance in Croatia

Tihomir Stucka

2004/064: Overview of the Indian Corporate Sector: 1989-2002

Petia Topalova

2004/063: Balance Sheets, Exchange Rate Policy, and Welfare

Selim Elekdag and Ivan Tchakarov

2004/062: Fiscal Indulgence in Central Europe: Loss of the External Anchor

George Kopits, Helge Berger and Istvan P Szekely

2004/061: Derivative Market Competition: OTC Versus Organized Derivative Exchanges

Jens Nystedt

2004/060: Economic Integration, Sectoral Diversification, and Exchange Rate Policy in a Developing Economy

Gabriel Srour

2004/059: How Has Nafta Affected the Mexican Economy? Review and Evidence

Ayhan Kose, Christopher Towe and Guy Meredith

2004/058: Does Sdds Subscription Reduce Borrowing Costs for Emerging Market Economies

John Cady

2004/057: Measuring a Roller Coaster: Evidenceon the Finnish Output Gap

Andreas Billmeier

2004/056: Growth in the Middle East and North Africa

Dalia Hakura

2004/055: Banking in Sub-Saharan Africa: What Went Wrong?

Françoise Le Gall, Roland Daumont and François Leroux

2004/054: Boom-Bust Phases in Asset Prices and Fiscal Policy Behavior

Ludger Schuknecht and Albert Jaeger

2004/053: Sovereign Debt Defaults and Financing Needs

Miguel Messmacher and Mark Kruger

2004/052: Assessing Early Warning Systems: How Have they Worked in Practice?

Andrew Berg, Eduardo Borensztein and Catherine Pattillo

2004/051: Missing Link: Volatility and the Debt Intolerance Paradox

Luis Catão and Sandeep Kapur

2004/050: The Role of Stock Markets in Current Account Dynamics: a Time-Series Approach

Benoît Mercereau

2004/049: Aid and the Dutch Disease in Low-Income Countries: Informed Diagnoses for Prudent Prognoses

Mwanza Nkusu

2004/048: Nonresident Deposits in India: In Search of Return?

Poonam Gupta and James Gordon

2004/047: When is Growth Pro-Poor? Cross-Country Evidence

Aart Kraay

2004/046: Domestic Debt Markets in Sub-Saharan Africa

Jakob Christensen

2004/045: A Multivariate Filter for Measuring Potential Output and the NAIRU Application to the Czech Republic

Jaromir Benes and Papa N'Diaye

2004/044: Debt Crises and the Development of International Capital Markets

Amadou Sy and Andrea Pescatori

2004/043: India in the 1980's and 1990's: A Triumph of Reforms

Arvind Panagariya

2004/042: Public Expenditure Management in Francophone Africa: A Cross-Country Analysis

Yaya Moussa

2004/041: Forecasting Commodity Prices: Futures Versus Judgment

Aasim Husain and Tanya Bowman

2004/040: And Schumpeter Said, "This is How Thou Shalt Grow": Further Quest for Economic Growth in Poor Countries

Philippe Beaugrand

2004/039: Autocorrelation-Corrected Standard Errors in Panel Probits: An Application to Currency Crisis Prediction

Andrew Berg and Rebecca Coke