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Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates

Fabian Valencia, Juliana Araujo, Adina Popescu, Manasa Patnam and Weijia Yao

No 2020/067, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This paper builds a novel database on the effects of macroprudential policy drawing from 58 empirical studies, comprising over 6,000 results on a wide range of instruments and outcome variables. It encompasses information on statistical significance, standardized magnitudes, and other characteristics of the estimates. Using meta-analysis techniques, the paper estimates average effects to find i) statistically significant effects on credit, but with considerable heterogeneity across instruments; ii) weaker and more imprecise effects on house prices; iii) quantitatively stronger effects in emerging markets and among studies using micro-level data; and iii) statistically significant evidence of leakages and spillovers. Other findings include relatively stronger impacts for tightening than loosening actions and negative effects on economic activity in the near term.

Keywords: WP; standard error; Remittances; Financial inclusion; Financial Stability; Financial Development; household credit; least squares; credit growth; outcome variable; monetary policy; real GDP; house price; absolute value; Macroprudential policy; Macroprudential policy instruments; Credit; Consumer credit; Housing prices; Global; selection bias correction term; descriptive statistics; effect size (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 48
Date: 2020-05-22
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fdg, nep-mac and nep-ure
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Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2020/067