Exchange Rate Movements, Inflation Expectations, and Currency Substitution in Turkey

Fabio Scacciavillani

No 1995/111, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This paper contains an empirical analysis of currency substitution in Turkey: a simple relationship between the share of foreign currency holdings in M2X on one side and movements in the exchange rate or inflation on the other is derived from a two-stage portfolio choice model. This relationship is estimated by band spectrum regression which allows to remove from the data the short-term cyclical components. The results show that the relationship between currency substitution depends mainly on long-term movements in the exchange rate, while the effect of inflation on currency substitution is not statistically significant.

Keywords: WP; Fourier transform; inflation differential; money balance; foreign currency holding; exchange rate movement; currency balance; price level; inflation rate; exchange rate dynamics; Dollarization; Currencies; Exchange rates; Inflation; Nominal anchors (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21
Date: 1995-11-01
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=1970 (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1995/111

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/pubs/ord_info.htm

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Akshay Modi ().