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Investment in Inflationary Economies

Eduardo Levy Yeyati

No 1996/105, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: The paper presents a model of irreversible investment under uncertainty, where investment takes place whenever a threshold level of marginal returns is reached. The threshold depends positively on price volatility; a change from high to low inflation induces an upward capital stock adjustment. In economies that move in and out of temporary stabilizations, the observed effect is a negative inflation-investment correlation that replicates previous empirical findings, due to purely short-term dynamics. I study how this correlation is affected by the expected duration of each regime. Empirical evidence from ten inflationary economies confirms the predictions of the model.

Keywords: WP; threshold investment decision rule; inflation-investment relation; CPI inflation rates; price volatility; stability-investment relationship; investment decision rule; investment-volatility relation; investment behavior; aggregate investment; Inflation; Price stabilization; Consumer price indexes (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 32
Date: 1996-09-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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