International Capital Flows and National Creditworthiness: Do the Fundamental Things Apply As Time Goes By?

Paul Cashin () and Christopher McDermott

No 1998/172, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This paper examines the optimality of international capital flows to a persistent net importer of capital, Australia, during its post-capital-controls period 1984-98. The results suggest that international capital flows were larger than optimal during the 1980s, but in the 1990s such flows have been broadly consistent with those predicted by the consumption-smoothing approach to the determination of the current account. The paper also discusses the main implications arising from measures of optimal capital flows, and compares them with the implications arising from the key concepts used in the determination of national creditworthiness.

Keywords: WP; cash flow; consumption-smoothing model; present discounted value; consumption smoothing; international capital flows; structural break; Australia; consumption path; current account position; consumption-smoothing component; optimal current account; current account reversal; debtor country; model of the current account; current account datum; consumption purpose; current account path; Current account; Consumption; Current account imbalances; Consumption distribution; Current account deficits (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 41
Date: 1998-12-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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