Trade Liberalization Strategies: What Could South Eastern Europe Learn From Cefta and Bfta?

Antonis Adam, James McHugh and Theodora Kosma

No 2003/239, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This paper explores the effectiveness of the Central European Free Trade Area (CEFTA) and the Baltic Free Trade Area (BFTA). Estimates from a gravity model and bilateral trade data support the view that both CEFTA and BFTA helped expand regional trade and limit the emergence of a "hub-and-spoke" relationship between the CEECs and the European Union (EU). These empirical conclusions carry some important policy implications for the "second wave" of prospective EU members among Southeastern European Countries (SEECs). The paper argues that the SEECs should reconsider their bilateral approach to trade liberalization and move towards a multilateral free-trade area as exemplified by both the CEFTA and BFTA.

Keywords: WP; BFTA agreement; EU agreement; market share; CEFTA membership; EU accession process; Trade liberalization; gravity models; stability pact; CEFTA; BFTA; EU enlargement; EU membership; BFTA country; CEFTA exports to the EU; Customs unions; Exports; Trade agreements; Trade balance; Europe; Eastern Europe; Baltics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 32
Date: 2003-12-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (26)

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