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Convergence in Emerging Europe: Sustainability and Vulnerabilities

Athanasios Vamvakidis

No 2008/181, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: The emerging European economies have been converging rapidly towards the more advanced European economies in recent years. However, large external imbalances in parts of the region have raised questions about sustainability and concerns about vulnerabilities. Empirical evidence in this paper suggest that the convergence trend of emerging Europe is based on strong fundamentals and is expected to continue, but at a slower pace. Moreover, the convergence path may be volatile as countries with large external imbalances adjust, with risks of a hard landing in some cases.

Keywords: WP; current account deficit; real GDP; labor market; deficits Based; EU harmonization; production function; transition economy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 30
Date: 2008-07-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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