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Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles

Vicente Tuesta (), Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez and Pau Rabanal ()

No 2009/212, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: A puzzle in international macroeconomics is that observed real exchange rates are highly volatile. Standard international real business cycle (IRBC) models cannot reproduce this fact. We show that TFP processes for the U.S. and the "rest of the world," is characterized by a vector error correction (VECM) and that adding cointegrated technology shocks to the standard IRBC model helps explaining the observed high real exchange rate volatility. Also we show that the observed increase of the real exchange rate volatility with respect to output in the last 20 year can be explained by changes in the parameter of the VECM.

Keywords: Real exchange rates; Total factor productivity; Vector error correction models; Consumption; Sustainable growth; WP,exchange rate,standard deviation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 54
Date: 2009-09-01
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Related works:
Journal Article: Cointegrated TFP processes and international business cycles (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles (2010) Downloads
Working Paper: Cointegrated TFP processes and international business cycles (2009) Downloads
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